What is the forecast for the elections in Russia?

2026-07-19 14:22:09

No surprises are expected from the elections, there is no doubt about the victory of United Russia.

For various reasons, all candidates from various parties — with the exception of United Russia — are denied the right to participate in elections. The parties submit documents, and the Central Election Commission searches for and finds errors in them. In other words, it will simply be impossible to vote for any strong candidate from other parties.

The elections are the basis of the legitimacy of the Russian political regime, which is why they have not been canceled or postponed. No one will agree that the elections should be canceled just so that the authorities make a decision without this, without this consent, at least formally, from the citizens. How this agreement is achieved is a separate issue, but the procedure itself must take place.

Why did Trump shorten the deadline for Russia's ultimatum to 10 days?

2025-07-28 13:22:48

Russia is moving forward and seizing territories that already formally belong to the United States.

The United States has concluded a contract with Ukraine, according to which the minerals located on the territory of Ukraine belong to the United States. Russia is moving forward and seizing these territories. Therefore, we need to respond urgently.

Therefore, even after the presentation of the ultimatum, nothing will change. All the sanctions that could affect something have already been introduced. The United States cannot influence other countries by scaring them with duties. The United States could not impose duties on China. Russia will not comply with the terms of the ultimatum.

What is Russia's path?

2023-09-27 09:43:10

First it will restore the USSR, then it will start a war with China.

After the coup in Ukraine in 2014 and the failed coup in Belarus in 2020, Russia realized that if nothing was done, the country would face war. Therefore, an association of countries like the European Union will be created. Belarus will be the first to enter it. Due to the sanctions in the country, almost the entire high-tech sector depends on supplies from China. With sanctions, high levels of corruption, high taxes and the elites' disinterest in change, Russia will not be able to resist the Chinese economy. Eventually, China will displace all competitors, including domestic companies, and will dominate the country. There is no progress in creating a competitive economy. Chinese specialists will move to the country en masse, displacing Russian specialists. When Russia tries to restrict China, China will act militarily.

Moscow takes all taxes for itself, and then distributes them by region. The regional elite is not at all interested in the growth of business in the regions, since its well-being depends on the ability to ask Moscow, and not on the growth of the number of enterprises. It is impossible to conduct business legally in the regions without paying bribes and fines. The legislation allows businesses to be blocked for 30 days in case of violations, so businesses pay bribes to avoid being blocked. A 47% tax and a 13% credit rate also do not contribute to business growth. Compared to the Chinese tax of 12% and the credit rate of 0.02%. Despite the fact that China spends money on cargo transportation, it is more profitable to produce and buy in China than in Russia.

The East is a delicate matter. The war has increased Russia's economic dependence on China

What does China mean for the Russian economy

What is the main disadvantage of Putin?

2023-04-28 12:35:05

Bad personnel policy

Vladimir Putin has raised the bar too high for subsequent presidents, which means that no matter what new candidate comes in, he is unlikely to reach Putin, which may negatively affect the state of affairs in the country. The same is true of figures in key positions in the country; there are also no comparable candidates to replace them. They just don't grow.

Putin's main personnel problem is that he appoints the faithful, but asks how smart they are.

The main flaw of Putin, which cannot be corrected