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How does the United States benefit from the war?

Link Copy 2026-01-03 09:46:51

Prediction

The weakening of Russia as a geopolitical rival, the severing of Europe's energy and political ties with Russia, the increasing dependence of Europe on the United States in the field of security and resources, the growth of exports of American weapons and energy resources, the strengthening of US leadership in NATO and the demonstration of global influence without direct participation in hostilities.

Reason

US benefits from the end of the war: consolidating achieved results (a weakened Russia, Europe tied to the US, Ukraine in the Western sphere), reducing financial and political costs, lowering the risk of direct escalation, stabilizing the global economy, and the opportunity to focus on a more priority rival—China, while retaining the role of key global arbiter.

The weakening of Russia as a geopolitical rival, the severing of Europe's energy and political ties with Russia, the increasing dependence of Europe on the United States in the field of security and resources, the growth of exports of American weapons and energy resources, the strengthening of US leadership in NATO and the demonstration of global influence without direct participation in hostilities.

Other countries also benefit from conflict, but the difference is that the United States has more resources, more influence, and more severe consequences from any crisis.

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What is the future of Iran?

Link Copy 2023-05-04 12:53:17

Prediction

Water shortage, war with Israel, going nuclear

Reason

Iran has asked Russia for help in developing its nuclear program, which, according to the West, is aimed at creating nuclear weapons. To prevent Iran from obtaining nuclear weapons in the first place should be the joint efforts of the United States and Israel. At the moment, out of 304 cities in Iran facing a water crisis, 101 cities are in the red zone - experiencing severe water shortages.

Water shortage, war with Israel, going nuclear

With a nuclear weapon, Iran will become more aggressive, US allies in the Middle East, sensing a real threat, will be forced to get along with Tehran, the ability of the United States to promote and protect its interests in the region will be weakened.

References
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Will there be peace between Russia and Ukraine in 2025?

Link Copy 2025-04-24 15:37:00

Prediction

Negotiations will be postponed for a year

Reason

Peace negotiations will begin when countries have something to lose, for example, Russia begins to occupy Kharkiv or ends up at the European borders. So far, none of the parties to the conflict is ready to accept the conditions. And there is not even any basis for compromise. For example, it is not profitable for Russia to make a buffer zone in Ukraine, because there are missiles whose range exceeds the entire territory of Ukraine. And time is now on Russia's side, it can seize even more territory.

Negotiations will be postponed for a year

In peace talks, Europe and Ukraine will have to admit that they have lost the war and make concessions, but they are not ready for this. The recognition of Crimea as Russian and the issue of Ukraine's membership in NATO have become red lines that Europe cannot cross.

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What will the consumer society lead to?

Link Copy 2024-09-06 10:00:58

Prediction

To the Death of Civilization

Reason

If consumption continues to rise in the near future, we will face the depletion of natural resources and wars over them.

To the Death of Civilization

Inflating consumption for the sake of more consumption cannot continue indefinitely. The depletion of resources will lead to their shortage, and uncontrolled lending will lead to the depreciation of money. The result could be a crisis never seen before, with people fighting for food and starving to death, and endless rows of coffee makers and televisions piled up on store shelves.

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