How does the United States benefit from the war?

2026-01-03 09:46:51

The weakening of Russia as a geopolitical rival, the severing of Europe's energy and political ties with Russia, the increasing dependence of Europe on the United States in the field of security and resources, the growth of exports of American weapons and energy resources, the strengthening of US leadership in NATO and the demonstration of global influence without direct participation in hostilities.

US benefits from the end of the war: consolidating achieved results (a weakened Russia, Europe tied to the US, Ukraine in the Western sphere), reducing financial and political costs, lowering the risk of direct escalation, stabilizing the global economy, and the opportunity to focus on a more priority rival—China, while retaining the role of key global arbiter.

Other countries also benefit from conflict, but the difference is that the United States has more resources, more influence, and more severe consequences from any crisis.

What is Russia's path?

2023-09-27 09:43:10

First it will restore the USSR, then it will start a war with China.

After the coup in Ukraine in 2014 and the failed coup in Belarus in 2020, Russia realized that if nothing was done, the country would face war. Therefore, an association of countries like the European Union will be created. Belarus will be the first to enter it. Due to the sanctions in the country, almost the entire high-tech sector depends on supplies from China. With sanctions, high levels of corruption, high taxes and the elites' disinterest in change, Russia will not be able to resist the Chinese economy. Eventually, China will displace all competitors, including domestic companies, and will dominate the country. There is no progress in creating a competitive economy. Chinese specialists will move to the country en masse, displacing Russian specialists. When Russia tries to restrict China, China will act militarily.

Moscow takes all taxes for itself, and then distributes them by region. The regional elite is not at all interested in the growth of business in the regions, since its well-being depends on the ability to ask Moscow, and not on the growth of the number of enterprises. It is impossible to conduct business legally in the regions without paying bribes and fines. The legislation allows businesses to be blocked for 30 days in case of violations, so businesses pay bribes to avoid being blocked. A 47% tax and a 13% credit rate also do not contribute to business growth. Compared to the Chinese tax of 12% and the credit rate of 0.02%. Despite the fact that China spends money on cargo transportation, it is more profitable to produce and buy in China than in Russia.

The East is a delicate matter. The war has increased Russia's economic dependence on China

What does China mean for the Russian economy

Why are so many wars happening right now?

2026-03-14 15:04:30

Because of the recession, because of the expectation of quick victories, because of ambitions

Sometimes war is used to distract from internal problems. The struggle for resources (oil, gas, water, rare metals) intensifies. This is especially noticeable in regions with unstable politics. Very often wars begin when a country's leadership believes that victory will be quick and cheap. For example, Russia-Ukraine. Sometimes countries start a war when they believe the international situation is favorable to them. Like the USA-Iran or USA-Venezuela. Regional conflicts and escalation. Like India-Pakistan, Israel-Gaza Strip, Cambodian-Thai conflict, Afghan-Pakistani war.

After the end of the Cold War in 1991, the world became less predictable. Previously, two superpowers — the United States of America and the Soviet Union — restrained each other. Now several centers of power are emerging: China, Russia, the USA, regional powers like Iran and Turkey. When forces are distributed among many players, there are usually more conflicts.

Why did Trump shorten the deadline for Russia's ultimatum to 10 days?

2025-07-28 13:22:48

Russia is moving forward and seizing territories that already formally belong to the United States.

The United States has concluded a contract with Ukraine, according to which the minerals located on the territory of Ukraine belong to the United States. Russia is moving forward and seizing these territories. Therefore, we need to respond urgently.

Therefore, even after the presentation of the ultimatum, nothing will change. All the sanctions that could affect something have already been introduced. The United States cannot influence other countries by scaring them with duties. The United States could not impose duties on China. Russia will not comply with the terms of the ultimatum.