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What is the main mistake of the USA?

Link Copy 2023-10-19 09:04:05

Prediction

They do not think about the future of the country and the planet, they only think about their interests and enrichment

Reason

After the change of the president, the new administration begins a completely new policy that negates all the previous achievements of the old administration and the president. After that, no one will talk to them.

They do not think about the future of the country and the planet, they only think about their interests and enrichment

Their affairs are now worthy of some kind of street brawl, and not affairs of a national or planetary scale.

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Will the U.S. Be Able to Isolate China?

Link Copy 2025-04-17 10:39:30

Prediction

The United States has already missed China's development, and now no protective duties will help

Reason

The United States is trying to create an anti-Chinese coalition. The implementation of the American plan will fail due to the scale of the Chinese economy and the unwillingness of countries to act at the behest of the Americans. China opposes the escalation of the trade war and responds to the imposition of duties on its goods in the United States. China has also raised tariffs on U.S. products and imposed restrictions on mineral exports to the United States.

The United States has already missed China's development, and now no protective duties will help

The White House is seeking to force dozens of countries to abandon trade with China. The Americans are offering to strike a deal with Washington in exchange for lower import duties, but other countries are already benefiting more from trade with China than from U.S. trade

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What is the forecast for SpaceX?

Link Copy 2026-06-21 10:45:15

Prediction

There will be growth in year 6, but by 2027 it will disappoint investors.

Reason

At the peak of IPOs and the euphoria of artificial intelligence, the market often ignores the bad news. Investors are buying stories about the future: robotaxi, AGI, Mars, revolution in transportation. Revenues and margins fade into the background. In 2027, everything will change. The company simply has nowhere to make a profit. This is not a Tesla that could share technology for money and achieve payback thanks to the introduced zero-emission laws. Nobody needs space. Starlink will not be able to cover the losses. Grok is lagging behind in the development of artificial intelligence and will not catch up with competitors in the near future. In 2025, Tesla's global shipments decreased by about 9% year-on-year, and the company lost leadership in electric vehicle sales to China's BYD, and according to Tesla reports, it continued to gradually lose market share in Q1 2026 as the overall electric vehicle market grows faster and competitors become more aggressive. Tesla's autopilot is inferior to Waymo in terms of real driverless autonomy. The Optimus robot still does not know how to work stably in the “real world without control.”

There will be growth in year 6, but by 2027 it will disappoint investors.

For a SpaceX shareholder, the question is as follows: Will Grok be better than ChatGPT and Claude? This may turn out to be almost as important as the question Will Starship be able to fly to Mars?. And 2027 will be the year of verification: is Grok making money? Is Starlink growing as fast as promised? Does Starship have any commercial success? Is the estimate of trillions of dollars justified?

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Who will be next after the United States at the head of the world order?

Link Copy 2023-03-31 04:31:23

Prediction

India in 2060

Reason

India will be the main supplier of food and raw materials for post-war reconstruction. India's population of 1.5 billion will be able to cope with the tasks set. The dollar and yuan will be replaced by a multi-currency package tied to gold.

India in 2060

India is acting as a key and constructive player in the creation of a new world order that can meet the challenges of tomorrow. A world order that goes beyond the purely economic and puts people and their well-being at the forefront.

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