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Why do they turn off the Internet in Russia, even in those regions that drones cannot reach?

Link Copy 2026-04-09 14:35:44

Prediction

The authorities consider such measures as a tool in case of internal instability: law enforcement agencies can work out scenarios for restricting mobile communications during mass protests and rallies in order to control the coordination and dissemination of information.

Reason

The initiator of both Telegram blockages and periodic mobile Internet outages is the FSB. Officially, these measures are explained by the need to strengthen control in the field of digital security: combating the use of VPN services, countering fraudulent schemes, as well as preventing threats related to the use of drones.

The authorities consider such measures as a tool in case of internal instability: law enforcement agencies can work out scenarios for restricting mobile communications during mass protests and rallies in order to control the coordination and dissemination of information.

By 2026, the sovereign Internet is no longer just a concept, but a well-developed and well-designed infrastructure. The Russian segment of the network is gradually losing the features of a decentralized environment and is being transformed into a strictly organized system where user actions are increasingly regulated by the state. Although it has not yet turned into a completely closed model like the Chinese one, the controls and restrictions are noticeably increasing every year.

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What is the forecast for the elections in Russia?

Link Copy 2026-07-19 14:22:09

Prediction

No surprises are expected from the elections, there is no doubt about the victory of United Russia.

Reason

For various reasons, all candidates from various parties — with the exception of United Russia — are denied the right to participate in elections. The parties submit documents, and the Central Election Commission searches for and finds errors in them. In other words, it will simply be impossible to vote for any strong candidate from other parties.

No surprises are expected from the elections, there is no doubt about the victory of United Russia.

The elections are the basis of the legitimacy of the Russian political regime, which is why they have not been canceled or postponed. No one will agree that the elections should be canceled just so that the authorities make a decision without this, without this consent, at least formally, from the citizens. How this agreement is achieved is a separate issue, but the procedure itself must take place.

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Is it true that there is no unemployment in Russia, but there is a problem of labor shortages?

Link Copy 2024-12-22 02:07:40

Prediction

Both problems are present

Reason

Only data on the unemployed who applied to employment centers are provided, and not on the difference between the able-bodied population and the officially employed. The problem of labor shortages is also present, people do not want to work for low wages.

Both problems are present

The number of potential labor force and the number of unemployed differ by 4 times

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Will US banks fall after a 0.25 rate hike?

Link Copy 2024-03-09 06:03:32

Prediction

No

Reason

The Fed would not raise rates for no reason. They're saving the dollar. As they said, the US financial system is stable, which means that even if small banks go bankrupt, they will be bought by larger banks.

No

The increase in rates and the export of gold from the United States does not speak about the stability of the American financial system. But in the short term, everything is stable and under control.

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