Why is Crimea so important to Europe?
2025-04-27 15:46:43
Crimea allows Russia to completely dominate the northern coast of the Black Sea
Europe needs Crimea to control maritime transportation. Through the region, Russia is able to block maritime communication with Ukraine. Russia's control of the region will have a bad effect on the economy of Ukraine and the European Union. Accordingly, Europe needs to seize the peninsula with the forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Therefore, the recognition of Crimea is a red line for Europe, as is Ukraine's refusal to join NATO
Ukraine is now in a situation in which the military return of Crimea is unlikely. Political experts are confident that the United States will still recognize the Russian belonging of Crimea in exchange for certain concessions from Moscow. At the same time, nothing will depend on the opinion of Europe in this case
Scan the QR code to open on your mobile device
When will there be a change of the ruling elite in Russia?
2023-07-28 14:26:17
In 2024, the transition period to this change will only come.
The sanctions did not discourage the elite's aspirations to the West, but they gave rise to a desire to somehow circumvent the sanctions and quickly cancel or at least weaken part of them. The path to the West for the Russian elite remains the main one, despite the statement of insurmountable differences with the elites of the West. There is simply no other option comparable in terms of profitability. The reduction of the resource base sowed confusion in the elites and required the arbitrator to remove certain players from the number of active clans by force.
When will there be a change of the ruling elite in Russia?
A rapid large-scale purge or replacement of the elite with a new composition? What Is Putin's Choice?
Scan the QR code to open on your mobile device
Will Ukraine attack Belarus?
2024-10-10 12:13:37
Not in the near future
An information war is being waged against Russia, among other things. Proposals for a Ukrainian attack on Belarus are a test of the reaction of Russia and Belarus to such a step.
If the war drags on, there is a prospect of an attack, as Belarus is one of the few countries that support Russia.
Scan the QR code to open on your mobile device
When will cargo transportation through the Suez Canal resume?
2023-12-30 12:45:12
In 2025, due to the aggravation of the situation in the Middle East.
A military operation will be carried out, which will lead to nothing. Negotiations will begin when the president in the United States changes.
Shelling the Houthi camps will not reduce, but increase the risks.
Transport companies stop transporting goods through the Suez Canal because of the Houthis
Scan the QR code to open on your mobile device
