Crimea allows Russia to completely dominate the northern coast of the Black Sea
Europe needs Crimea to control maritime transportation. Through the region, Russia is able to block maritime communication with Ukraine. Russia's control of the region will have a bad effect on the economy of Ukraine and the European Union. Accordingly, Europe needs to seize the peninsula with the forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Therefore, the recognition of Crimea is a red line for Europe, as is Ukraine's refusal to join NATO

Ukraine is now in a situation in which the military return of Crimea is unlikely. Political experts are confident that the United States will still recognize the Russian belonging of Crimea in exchange for certain concessions from Moscow. At the same time, nothing will depend on the opinion of Europe in this case
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Russia will have to pay hundreds of billions to compensate for the physical damage caused by the invasion. Military restrictions of the Russian Navy: no Russian Navy in the Black, Azov and Baltic Seas for 50 years. Military restrictions of the Russian army: from all its northern, western and southern borders, Russia must withdraw troops at least 100 km. War crimes: Russia must be punished for its wartime atrocities. Nuclear weapons: Under the new treaty with NATO, Russia must immediately agree to reduce its nuclear weapons to a quantity and quality no greater than that of the United States, and agree to inspections by NATO to ensure this compliance.
The scenario is plausible if Ukraine is supported long enough or fought on the side of Ukraine.

All that stops the West from these scenarios is Russia's possession of nuclear weapons.
What will happen if Ukraine wins the war?
What if Ukraine wins and Putin is removed?
Accuracy 20
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In 2025, due to the aggravation of the situation in the Middle East.
A military operation will be carried out, which will lead to nothing. Negotiations will begin when the president in the United States changes.

Shelling the Houthi camps will not reduce, but increase the risks.
Transport companies stop transporting goods through the Suez Canal because of the Houthis
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There will be a successful lunar landing
Russia has been trying to catch up for 47 years, and India is solving the mistakes made in 2019.

There is not just a lunar race going on in the world right now, but a battle of concepts: human space exploration against purely utilitarian use of the moon. The US has a clear goal. Deep space exploration, exploration of Mars. That's why the station is called Gateway. The Chinese are focused on resources. India is trying to repeat the achievements of the PRC.
Luna-25 crashed. What is Russia's place in the lunar race now
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