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Why is Crimea so important to Europe?

Link Copy 2025-04-27 15:46:43

Prediction

Crimea allows Russia to completely dominate the northern coast of the Black Sea

Reason

Europe needs Crimea to control maritime transportation. Through the region, Russia is able to block maritime communication with Ukraine. Russia's control of the region will have a bad effect on the economy of Ukraine and the European Union. Accordingly, Europe needs to seize the peninsula with the forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Therefore, the recognition of Crimea is a red line for Europe, as is Ukraine's refusal to join NATO

Crimea allows Russia to completely dominate the northern coast of the Black Sea

Ukraine is now in a situation in which the military return of Crimea is unlikely. Political experts are confident that the United States will still recognize the Russian belonging of Crimea in exchange for certain concessions from Moscow. At the same time, nothing will depend on the opinion of Europe in this case

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Why is the ruble falling because Russia does not depend on the dollar?

Link Copy 2023-04-16 12:13:49

Prediction

This is an attempt to make money on the sale of energy resources

Reason

Russia is trying to compensate for the low volume of energy sales and the discounts they are forced to make with the high price of the dollar

This is an attempt to make money on the sale of energy resources

An important factor for the ruble is oil prices, which may affect its dynamics

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What are Russia's goals?

Link Copy 2023-05-09 14:02:11

Prediction

Putin wants to recreate the USSR in a new form, similar to the European Union.

Reason

Although after the collapse of the USSR, Russia recognized the new geopolitical realities and strengthened cooperation with all states in the post-Soviet space, the conditions are such that some allied territories cannot remain without Russian military assistance or without the Russian market.

Putin wants to recreate the USSR in a new form, similar to the European Union.

Russia has many territories, but few sales markets

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What will be Russia's response to Trump's ultimatum?

Link Copy 2025-07-18 02:12:37

Prediction

Either declare war on Ukraine, or use new weapons.

Reason

Judging by the data from the battlefield, Russia is advancing quite successfully in Ukraine and can reach any city, which affects the direct interests of the EU and the United States. The United States has already signed an agreement with Ukraine stating that its mineral resources belong to the United States. And the EU wants to transfer Ukraine to full financial management. If Russia does not stop, the plans of the United States and the EU can be forgotten. The EU threats and the US ultimatum indicate that Russia has reached a turning point in the war. If the West does not intervene, it will lose everything. That's why they're intervening.

Either declare war on Ukraine, or use new weapons.

Most likely, we are talking about some kind of demonstration of force on the part of Russia. On paper, the collective West is stronger than Russia, but Russia has 5,000 nuclear missiles, while the EU has only 300. Russia needs to be shown that its opinion must be taken into account. And, most likely, she will do it soon.

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