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Why is Crimea so important to Europe?

Link Copy 2025-04-27 15:46:43

Prediction

Crimea allows Russia to completely dominate the northern coast of the Black Sea

Reason

Europe needs Crimea to control maritime transportation. Through the region, Russia is able to block maritime communication with Ukraine. Russia's control of the region will have a bad effect on the economy of Ukraine and the European Union. Accordingly, Europe needs to seize the peninsula with the forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Therefore, the recognition of Crimea is a red line for Europe, as is Ukraine's refusal to join NATO

Crimea allows Russia to completely dominate the northern coast of the Black Sea

Ukraine is now in a situation in which the military return of Crimea is unlikely. Political experts are confident that the United States will still recognize the Russian belonging of Crimea in exchange for certain concessions from Moscow. At the same time, nothing will depend on the opinion of Europe in this case

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Will the Russian president be overthrown as a result of an uprising?

Link Copy 2024-09-19 13:56:11

Prediction

No, he will remain in power, despite the rallies and discontent.

Reason

Despite the dissatisfaction of the generals with the Russian president for the appointment of a "non-military" Minister of Defense. He will not be overthrown until at least the end of 2024 for the simple reason that it is still better with a president than without him. Moreover, the president has already made concessions, signing an order to expand the staff and increase state support for the army.

No, he will remain in power, despite the rallies and discontent.

But if the war drags on, then it is quite possible to expect an overthrow as a result of an uprising.

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How will the world economy change in the next 5 years?

Link Copy 2023-11-17 14:37:10

Prediction

The influence of Asian countries on the global economic market is expected to increase and the European market is expected to decline sharply.

Reason

Because of the sanctions, Europe and the United States lost the Russian market, and it was occupied by companies from China. Many manufacturers have changed their minds about building their factories in Europe due to rising resource prices. Meanwhile, Russia is strengthening trade relations with India, China, Iran and creating new trade routes bypassing Europe.

The influence of Asian countries on the global economic market is expected to increase and the European market is expected to decline sharply.

Asia will surpass the USA and Europe

References
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Why is the ruble falling because Russia does not depend on the dollar?

Link Copy 2023-04-16 12:13:49

Prediction

This is an attempt to make money on the sale of energy resources

Reason

Russia is trying to compensate for the low volume of energy sales and the discounts they are forced to make with the high price of the dollar

This is an attempt to make money on the sale of energy resources

An important factor for the ruble is oil prices, which may affect its dynamics

References
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