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Does it even make sense to trust rating agencies?

Link Copy 2022-06-11 13:52:55

Prediction

No. Agencies do not cope with the basic task - they cannot objectively assess the creditworthiness of the borrower.

Reason

The company that is evaluated pays for the valuation. There is no transparent methodology for calculating the rating that can be verified. Rating agencies are not responsible for the ratings given. Geopolitical interests influence the ratings of agencies.

No. Agencies do not cope with the basic task - they cannot objectively assess the creditworthiness of the borrower.

Usually, rating agencies seriously overestimate ratings for the country they come from.

References

Accuracy 40

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What is the future of Iran?

Link Copy 2023-05-04 12:53:17

Prediction

Water shortage, war with Israel, going nuclear

Reason

Iran has asked Russia for help in developing its nuclear program, which, according to the West, is aimed at creating nuclear weapons. To prevent Iran from obtaining nuclear weapons in the first place should be the joint efforts of the United States and Israel. At the moment, out of 304 cities in Iran facing a water crisis, 101 cities are in the red zone - experiencing severe water shortages.

Water shortage, war with Israel, going nuclear

With a nuclear weapon, Iran will become more aggressive, US allies in the Middle East, sensing a real threat, will be forced to get along with Tehran, the ability of the United States to promote and protect its interests in the region will be weakened.

References
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Why is the StarGate project being created?

Link Copy 2025-07-13 16:23:40

Prediction

This is an attempt to control all data on the planet, or at least to monopolize AI.

Reason

Access to computing power may become a new tool of influence on the world stage. Whoever controls AI controls data and decisions. Without such infrastructure, it is difficult to develop large language models, multimodal AIs, and generative platforms that are already beginning to change medicine, business, and science.

This is an attempt to control all data on the planet, or at least to monopolize AI.

STARGATE is a project for the construction of next-generation mega data centers. Their goal is to support the most powerful and resource-intensive AI systems in the world, such as ChatGPT, advanced video generation models, simulations, digital twins, and even future AGI.

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Will Palestine be created?

Link Copy 2024-04-28 11:13:45

Prediction

No, Israel will launch a ground operation in Rafah, the last city in southern Gaza not occupied by Israeli troops, and close the issue of the creation of Palestine

Reason

The Israeli leadership has been and remains categorically opposed to the creation of Palestine.

No, Israel will launch a ground operation in Rafah, the last city in southern Gaza not occupied by Israeli troops, and close the issue of the creation of Palestine

Palestinians from Gaza will be forced to flee to Egypt under the onslaught of Israeli troops, since Rafah is directly adjacent to the Egyptian border. The postponement and negotiations are due only to the fact that the international community is exerting strong pressure on Israel and the United States. The timing of the start of the ground operation is influenced by the protests in the United States, the ICC decision and the outcome of the negotiations

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