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What is the goal of the war with Iran?

Link Copy 2025-06-25 11:04:26

Prediction

They want Iran to block the Strait of Hormuz.

Reason

The Strait of Hormuz is one of the planet's key transport arteries, through which millions of barrels of oil and millions of tons of liquefied natural gas pass daily. Closing the strait, even for a short period, can lead to a surge in oil prices, fluctuations in global markets, and serious supply disruptions. If the strait is closed, Europe will be forced to buy gas from the U.S. as Russian gas is cut off for them. Pressure on Iran will increase Europe's dependence on the U.S. And in the U.S. itself, any laws can be passed in sync with Iran's attacks, as the media daily bombards the population with news about the war with Iran. At the same time, arms can be sold to Israel.

They want Iran to block the Strait of Hormuz.

No one has imposed sanctions against the USA and Israel yet.

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Will Russia be able to carry out import substitution of electronics by 2030?

Link Copy 2022-12-12 08:25:20

Prediction

If we are talking about the purchase of obsolete equipment, then yes. If we are talking about the production of semiconductors with 0, then no.

Reason

Lack of specialists. There is a critical dependence of the design and production processes on foreign technologies, including software, and materials (in particular, high-purity chemistry and silicon). Low investment attractiveness of the industry. Lack of production capacity.

If we are talking about the purchase of obsolete equipment, then yes. If we are talking about the production of semiconductors with 0, then no.

3.19 trillion rubles will be enough only to buy obsolete equipment. ASML spent $6 billion a year to become an industry leader. But she had specialists, there were no sanctions and there was no urgent need. In the current situation, the amount needs to be tripled.

References

Accuracy 30

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What are the true goals of the green protests?

Link Copy 2023-03-09 13:16:26

Prediction

The goal remains the same: halting the progress of developing countries

Reason

Rich countries can afford to abandon economic growth, for developing countries everything looks different: this is their only chance to overcome poverty. Ambitious climate goals, as set by green activists, make this task virtually impossible.

The goal remains the same: halting the progress of developing countries

All shares are sponsored through funds by the richest people on the planet

References

Accuracy 10

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What should countries involved in the forestry business do after the EU ban on the sale of products related to deforestation?

Link Copy 2023-05-15 11:00:01

Prediction

Refocus on other activities and cut costs

Reason

The state should partially cover the costs of companies while the reorientation is underway. It should have anticipated this situation

Refocus on other activities and cut costs

The state should partially cover the costs of companies while the reorientation is underway. It should have foreseen this situation

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