What is the goal of the war with Iran?

2025-06-25 11:04:26

They want Iran to block the Strait of Hormuz.

The Strait of Hormuz is one of the planet's key transport arteries, through which millions of barrels of oil and millions of tons of liquefied natural gas pass daily. Closing the strait, even for a short period, can lead to a surge in oil prices, fluctuations in global markets, and serious supply disruptions. If the strait is closed, Europe will be forced to buy gas from the U.S. as Russian gas is cut off for them. Pressure on Iran will increase Europe's dependence on the U.S. And in the U.S. itself, any laws can be passed in sync with Iran's attacks, as the media daily bombards the population with news about the war with Iran. At the same time, arms can be sold to Israel.

No one has imposed sanctions against the USA and Israel yet.

Will the United States withdraw from NATO?

2025-12-14 09:21:56

There is no document where the United States commits to withdraw from NATO by 2027. There are strategies and projects where NATO is criticized and viewed as a burden, but this is not a decision to withdraw. The United States will remain in NATO as long as possible.

NATO will remain, but the role of the United States will change . The USA will: 1) maintain the nuclear umbrella and political leadership. NATO is turning from an American army in Europe into a coalition where the United States is the coordinator, not the main performer. 2)) Severe pressure on the allies. This is explicitly stated in the strategies. Tools: the requirement of 2% of GDP for defense, and in fact more, linking American aid to contributions, public pressure, including threats of we don't have to protect you. Europe pays and fights, the United States governs and supports. 3️) Shifting the focus to China 2025-2027 The USA will: build up the fleet and aviation in the Indo-Pacific region, reducing non-binding commitments in Europe, Japan, South Korea, Australia, and the Philippines are preparing allies. The United States needs Europe as a stable rear, not as the main theater of war. 4) Ukraine is a test model of the future of NATO. The United States tries not to fight directly . Maximum: money, weapon, intelligence service . We arm our allies, we don't fight ourselves.

The US withdrawal from NATO: destroys the influence of the United States , frees Europe from dependence , hits the dollar and the military-industrial complex. It is much more profitable to stay , reduce costs , and maintain control . The final formula of the US strategy to remain in NATO, but to make it less American and more European. Maintain leverage without bearing the main burden.

What Happens After Trump's Tariffs Are Imposed?

2025-04-04 15:57:43

A global recession is expected. Mass layoffs and cost cuts will begin.

The GDP of the United States (24%) is almost a quarter of the world GDP. The United States has an impact on the entire world economy. International trade in 50% of cases is conducted in dollars. If the U.S. buys less because of tariffs, it will cause a downturn in the entire global economy in the short term. In the long term, confidence in the U.S. and the dollar will fall, and the focus will shift to China and the yuan as the world's second-largest economy. This whole process will be painful and will be accompanied by massive cost cuts, optimization of business processes, layoffs and closure of enterprises. The United States itself will suffer greatly and will not be able to recover from such a policy, since its factories are distributed around the world and depend on the supply of components and raw materials.

From April 3, 2025, 25% duties on car imports will come into effect, and by May 3, 2025, on auto parts manufactured outside the United States. From April 5, 2025, the minimum basic customs duty of 10% will come into force. From April 9, 2025, the rest of the tariffs will come into effect. The minimum base tariff of 10% will be applied to all countries. Most likely, this will all end after Trump's change as president in 2029. On April 8, Trump introduced a 3-month delay for those countries that did not impose retaliatory tariffs.

How will the world economy change in the next 5 years?

2023-11-17 14:37:10

The influence of Asian countries on the global economic market is expected to increase and the European market is expected to decline sharply.

Because of the sanctions, Europe and the United States lost the Russian market, and it was occupied by companies from China. Many manufacturers have changed their minds about building their factories in Europe due to rising resource prices. Meanwhile, Russia is strengthening trade relations with India, China, Iran and creating new trade routes bypassing Europe.

Asia will surpass the USA and Europe

Changing forecasts. What awaits the world and Russian economy?