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What will happen after the special operation?

Link Copy 2022-10-26 13:18:44

Prediction

The Russian economy will be reoriented from the Western to the Chinese economy. The Russian market will be open to Chinese companies. Ukraine will lose part of its territories. Europe will rebuild the ruined Ukraine at its own expense. It will be very difficult for companies from the EU to return to the Russian market, because it is already occupied by Russian and Chinese companies. America will be losing spheres of influence.

Reason

This military operation is in fact a division of spheres of influence. Russia, having regained its sovereignty and returned to the legitimate outcome of World War II, will inevitably restore lost territories to the borders of 1945. That is why Russia is not supported by the post-Soviet countries.

The Russian economy will be reoriented from the Western to the Chinese economy. The Russian market will be open to Chinese companies. Ukraine will lose part of its territories. Europe will rebuild the ruined Ukraine at its own expense. It will be very difficult for companies from the EU to return to the Russian market, because it is already occupied by Russian and Chinese companies. America will be losing spheres of influence.

These actions are already underway and will stretch over a period of 5 years

References

Accuracy 20

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Comments 0

Why are so many wars happening right now?

Link Copy 2026-03-14 15:04:30

Prediction

Because of the recession, because of the expectation of quick victories, because of ambitions

Reason

Sometimes war is used to distract from internal problems. The struggle for resources (oil, gas, water, rare metals) intensifies. This is especially noticeable in regions with unstable politics. Very often wars begin when a country's leadership believes that victory will be quick and cheap. For example, Russia-Ukraine. Sometimes countries start a war when they believe the international situation is favorable to them. Like the USA-Iran or USA-Venezuela. Regional conflicts and escalation. Like India-Pakistan, Israel-Gaza Strip, Cambodian-Thai conflict, Afghan-Pakistani war.

Because of the recession, because of the expectation of quick victories, because of ambitions

After the end of the Cold War in 1991, the world became less predictable. Previously, two superpowers — the United States of America and the Soviet Union — restrained each other. Now several centers of power are emerging: China, Russia, the USA, regional powers like Iran and Turkey. When forces are distributed among many players, there are usually more conflicts.

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What will happen if Russia wins the war?

Link Copy 2023-01-11 06:00:50

Prediction

There will be a truce for a few years, and then the war will start again

Reason

A peace treaty will be signed with Ukraine with the renunciation of territories and other negative consequences for Ukraine. Ukraine will unite with Poland and the war will break out according to a new one, because Poland did not sign any treaties. The territory of Ukraine will be restored at the expense of frozen Russian assets. NATO will increase its reliance on U.S. support, as will the concerned, threatened Eastern European countries that find themselves frontline states along an expanded and uncertain line of contact with Russia, including Belarus and Russian-controlled parts of Ukraine.

There will be a truce for a few years, and then the war will start again

Sanctions will not be lifted

References

Accuracy 50

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Will Ukraine attack Belarus?

Link Copy 2024-10-10 12:13:37

Prediction

Not in the near future

Reason

An information war is being waged against Russia, among other things. Proposals for a Ukrainian attack on Belarus are a test of the reaction of Russia and Belarus to such a step.

Not in the near future

If the war drags on, there is a prospect of an attack, as Belarus is one of the few countries that support Russia.

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