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Will Twitter succeed under Elon Musk?

Link Copy 2022-11-12 22:02:45

Prediction

Yes, but it will no longer be Twitter.

Reason

Elon Musk wants to turn Twitter into something like WeChat

Yes, but it will no longer be Twitter.

Any product will be profitable if it is engaged and invested in

References

Accuracy 10

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What is the cause of Alexei Navalny's death?

Link Copy 2024-02-20 09:10:47

Prediction

Most likely poisoning again

Reason

They've already tried to poison him. Judging by the fact that mothers do not give away the body. His wife, Yulia Navalnaya, expressed the opinion that Navalny's body is hidden and waiting for the traces of another Putin Newcomer to disappear there. The body was sent for chemical examination, which will last 14 days.

Most likely poisoning again

Before the presidential election, the main opposition leader dies in prison under strange circumstances. This is reported to the president, although what does the president care about the fate of a simple criminal. The body is not given to the mother. His mother says that he was alive on the 12th, and died unexpectedly on the 16th. The cause of death cannot be named. The wife says she will continue her husband's business. US President Biden has ordered new sanctions against Russia in connection with Navalny's death. Navalny's death will trigger a new wave of opposition movements.

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Will Russia be able to carry out import substitution of electronics by 2030?

Link Copy 2022-12-12 08:25:20

Prediction

If we are talking about the purchase of obsolete equipment, then yes. If we are talking about the production of semiconductors with 0, then no.

Reason

Lack of specialists. There is a critical dependence of the design and production processes on foreign technologies, including software, and materials (in particular, high-purity chemistry and silicon). Low investment attractiveness of the industry. Lack of production capacity.

If we are talking about the purchase of obsolete equipment, then yes. If we are talking about the production of semiconductors with 0, then no.

3.19 trillion rubles will be enough only to buy obsolete equipment. ASML spent $6 billion a year to become an industry leader. But she had specialists, there were no sanctions and there was no urgent need. In the current situation, the amount needs to be tripled.

References

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When can China dominate the semiconductor industry?

Link Copy 2023-01-19 08:30:36

Prediction

In 2042

Reason

Although China allocates 3 times more funds to microelectronics than its main competitors. China is currently dependent on US technology, and to overtake the US, it needs to create a new conductor technology. Such technology will be invented by 2040

In 2042

The U.S. is already creating some tensions with its partners and will not be able to block the supply of key components to China in the future

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