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What will be the next president of Russia after Putin?

Link Copy 2023-09-28 09:49:18

Prediction

Politically weak

Reason

All talk about a successor is stopped, no one wants to even think about it. Preparations for the succession are not underway, which means that the new president will be chosen spontaneously and will protect the personal interests of the ruling elite, and not the whole country. The president from alternative parties will not be allowed to win.

Politically weak

Nothing will change in the country with the change of the president. The country will continue to sell energy resources abroad. The new president will make decisions based on personal gain, hiding behind the interests of the country.

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Are the possibilities of artificial intelligence as limitless as we are told?

Link Copy 2026-01-06 13:06:05

Prediction

No, there are limits to learning. The fast results create a sense of limitlessness.

Reason

Modern artificial intelligence models require a huge amount of electricity for training and work. There are physical limitations to computing power — transistors are no longer decreasing so fast. Only a few companies in the world produce advanced chips for artificial intelligence. This means that the zoom cannot be infinite. There are also limitations in terms of global data and knowledge — the amount of data available is limited. The AI industry is also facing a shortage of skilled workers.

No, there are limits to learning. The fast results create a sense of limitlessness.

Marketing and media often exaggerate the possibilities, ignoring the limitations. AI's capabilities are limited by physics, not just imagination. Equipment, energy, and data are limited. There will be no unlimited AI without new breakthroughs in physics and cognitive sciences.

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How can the country get rid of dollar dependence?

Link Copy 2025-02-03 09:41:08

Prediction

The government needs to link its currency to some real resources and make payments not in dollars, but based on the peg.

Reason

Abandoning the dollar is a whole range of measures. From tying your currency to something tangible, preferably something that your country owns more than other countries, to banning the purchase and sale of dollars. Why is it necessary to move away from the dollar? First of all. To reduce dependence on the United States. After Trump's arrival, pressure begins on all countries. Secondly. There is a danger that the dollar will depreciate due to the problems of the United States and the European Union, because the dollar is also pegged to European currencies and an avalanche effect is possible. The third. Trump is scaring tariffs, which will further increase the negative reaction.

The government needs to link its currency to some real resources and make payments not in dollars, but based on the peg.

China and Russia are trying to create an alternative currency pegged to the territory and rare earth metals, because they feel strong pressure from the United States. The other BRICS countries don't want to move away from the dollar because they don't feel the pressure.

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Will artificial intelligence replace programmers?

Link Copy 2025-04-14 11:36:57

Prediction

No, it will not replace it, but competition for jobs will increase. And there will be a shortage of programmers in the future.

Reason

Executives at various IT companies are now publicly declaring that AI will soon replace programmers. Although the CEO of an IT company often understands little about the work of a programmer, for shareholders, the opinion of such people looks authoritative, and they believe him. Laying off programmers without losing profits is nothing more than the wet fantasies of managers and shareholders of companies. If a company cuts its programmers by a factor of five, its competitors will immediately try to overtake it, even if it costs them a couple of years of work without a profit.

No, it will not replace it, but competition for jobs will increase. And there will be a shortage of programmers in the future.

What about Google laying off programmers? It lays off expensive American programmers and immediately hires cheap Indian ones. American programmer - 4,000, Indian programmer - 1,500.

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