No
There are no events that can cause the beginning of mass riots. There is no one to organize riots, because before the holding of out-of-ceremonial elections in November 2022, the Ministry of Internal Affairs detained persons involved in planning the organization of mass riots. Also, January 2023 will be much colder than January 2022 and there will be no large masses of walkers on the streets.

It is impossible to rule out the possibility of new protests, including large actions, but a repeat of the January events with the same degree of radicalism is unlikely in the near future.
Will there be new protests in Kazakhstan? Opinion of Russian experts
KNB special operation: Mass riots were planned on November 20 in Kazakhstan
Protests and the state of emergency in Kazakhstan. Main
Accuracy 30
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Nursultan Nazarbayev is gone, but not to the end
Most appointments are made for authoritarian, clan, and patronage purposes. This means that a certain person is appointed to the post of regional akim or minister, not so much because he is good at what he does and has the right level of professionalism and experience, but because he will definitely do what he is told, what the president ordered him to do. Thus, the ministers became extras who simply supported the main character, the president.

In simple terms, in order to give additional opportunities to someone (for example, small and medium-sized businesses, which are currently being talked about a lot), you need to take these opportunities away from those who use them incorrectly or incorrectly. And this already smacks of a redistribution of power. That is, in fact, there is a question of reducing the caste of untouchables and the resources controlled by it.
New Kazakhstan
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If Kazakhstan prohibits, seizes Chinese or Russian private property or prohibits companies with owners from Russia or China
The war in Ukraine began, among other things, because Ukraine began to prohibit companies with owners from Russia from working, and Russian business was forced to sell its assets in Ukraine for nothing

Astana's pro-Western course will lead to the collapse of Kazakhstan's statehood
U.S. takes control of Kazakhstan
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These reforms, which the government is trying to implement, will further exacerbate the economic problems in the country.
The problem of budget deficits is solved by levying additional taxes, not by optimizing expenditures. The reforms that are supposed to improve the tax situation in the country will worsen the economic situation and lead to higher prices. The government itself is not only not planning to reduce its costs, but will also increase them following the growth.

The VAT increase will accelerate the depletion of the national fund from 10 years to 5 years.
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