No
There are no events that can cause the beginning of mass riots. There is no one to organize riots, because before the holding of out-of-ceremonial elections in November 2022, the Ministry of Internal Affairs detained persons involved in planning the organization of mass riots. Also, January 2023 will be much colder than January 2022 and there will be no large masses of walkers on the streets.

It is impossible to rule out the possibility of new protests, including large actions, but a repeat of the January events with the same degree of radicalism is unlikely in the near future.
Will there be new protests in Kazakhstan? Opinion of Russian experts
KNB special operation: Mass riots were planned on November 20 in Kazakhstan
Protests and the state of emergency in Kazakhstan. Main
Accuracy 30
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Tokayev wants another term, despite constitutional restrictions
The introduction of a single parliament in Kazakhstan requires amendments to the Constitution. After the amendments are made, the powers of the president can be extended, because now the new Constitution and the term can be counted from scratch.

Similarly, in Russia, through a constitutional amendment, the restriction on the prohibition of two consecutive terms in presidential elections was circumvented.
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In 2035
In 2035, Kazakhstan will not be able to pay off the national debt with China. China will demand land.

According to the government's analytical report, there can be no problems until 2050. The national debt will amount to 32% of GDP.
Devaluation will not help: how to give Kazakhstan the growing national debt? - Economists
Kazakhstan's national debt will eat a third of the country's revenues in 2023
Accuracy 20
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Vote for construction
The country is in dire need of cheap electricity

Turnout will be low. 52% will vote for construction
Referendum on nuclear power plants
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