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Will there be new protests in Kazakhstan in January?

Link Copy 2022-12-26 06:42:51

Prediction

No

Reason

There are no events that can cause the beginning of mass riots. There is no one to organize riots, because before the holding of out-of-ceremonial elections in November 2022, the Ministry of Internal Affairs detained persons involved in planning the organization of mass riots. Also, January 2023 will be much colder than January 2022 and there will be no large masses of walkers on the streets.

No

It is impossible to rule out the possibility of new protests, including large actions, but a repeat of the January events with the same degree of radicalism is unlikely in the near future.

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What is Kazakhstan's path?

Link Copy 2023-08-26 13:27:31

Prediction

The degradation and destruction of the economy will continue until 2030. After 2035, Kazakhstan will join Russia. After 2055, Kazakhstan will become part of China.

Reason

At the moment, in all high-ranking positions there are delitants who do not understand anything in their business. There is no struggle with the first president's henchmen. Loans are being actively taken from China. Agreements are being concluded on visa-free visits by Chinese to Kazakhstan. Relations with neighboring Russia are deteriorating to please the Americans. The economy is being destroyed by raising prices for price-forming resources like water and electricity. Resource-producing enterprises and lands are being sold.

The degradation and destruction of the economy will continue until 2030. After 2035, Kazakhstan will join Russia. After 2055, Kazakhstan will become part of China.

There will be no changes for the better before the end of the current president's term. And the next president simply will not be able to solve all the accumulated problems.

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Will rallies be repeated in Kazakhstan?

Link Copy 2023-06-08 08:35:38

Prediction

Yes, in 2025

Reason

The leaders of the EAEU countries reached an agreement in principle and approved the concept of a common hydrocarbon market from 2025. And this means that the price of hydrocarbons should be equal, and electronic trading will also have to be introduced. For Kazakhstan, this means an increase in the retail price of energy resources, because at the moment it has the lowest energy prices in comparison with its neighbors. Rising prices for everything will immediately cause a repeat of the riots, as was the case in 2022.

Yes, in 2025

The riots in 2022 began due to the fact that electronic trading was introduced and someone bought up all the gas and the retail gas price doubled.

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Why does Kazakhstan need a unicameral parliament?

Link Copy 2025-09-09 11:20:00

Prediction

Tokayev wants another term, despite constitutional restrictions

Reason

The introduction of a single parliament in Kazakhstan requires amendments to the Constitution. After the amendments are made, the powers of the president can be extended, because now the new Constitution and the term can be counted from scratch.

Tokayev wants another term, despite constitutional restrictions

Similarly, in Russia, through a constitutional amendment, the restriction on the prohibition of two consecutive terms in presidential elections was circumvented.

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