Collect

Why does Kazakhstan need a unicameral parliament?

Link Copy 2025-09-09 11:20:00

Prediction

Tokayev wants another term, despite constitutional restrictions

Reason

The introduction of a single parliament in Kazakhstan requires amendments to the Constitution. After the amendments are made, the powers of the president can be extended, because now the new Constitution and the term can be counted from scratch.

Tokayev wants another term, despite constitutional restrictions

Similarly, in Russia, through a constitutional amendment, the restriction on the prohibition of two consecutive terms in presidential elections was circumvented.

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Who will win the presidential election in Belarus?

Link Copy 2025-01-26 08:22:14

Prediction

Alexander Lukashenko

Reason

There is no opposition as such, Europe cannot influence the elections, there are no global problems in the country, because of which one can be dissatisfied with the current president of the country.

Alexander Lukashenko

No miracle will happen

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Why is Putin running for president for 3 consecutive terms, despite the constitutional ban for 2 consecutive terms?

Link Copy 2023-12-11 00:37:24

Prediction

After the amendments to the Constitution of Russia, the number of terms was reset. President Vladimir Putin has ensured that he can remain in power until 2036.

Reason

President Putin signed a law allowing him to run for two more presidential terms and rule Russia until 2036. The document was published on April 5, 2021 on the official portal of legal information and entered into force from the date of publication. Putin explained the changes in the constitution by the requirements of the time. In particular, the new basic law opened up the possibility of amending paragraph 5.1 of the law on presidential elections. Thus, the counter of Putin's presidential terms is canceled, and the main goal of the amendments is considered achieved.

After the amendments to the Constitution of Russia, the number of terms was reset. President Vladimir Putin has ensured that he can remain in power until 2036.

Putin will win the election with 74.9% of the vote.

References
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Will Russia be able to carry out import substitution of electronics by 2030?

Link Copy 2022-12-12 08:25:20

Prediction

If we are talking about the purchase of obsolete equipment, then yes. If we are talking about the production of semiconductors with 0, then no.

Reason

Lack of specialists. There is a critical dependence of the design and production processes on foreign technologies, including software, and materials (in particular, high-purity chemistry and silicon). Low investment attractiveness of the industry. Lack of production capacity.

If we are talking about the purchase of obsolete equipment, then yes. If we are talking about the production of semiconductors with 0, then no.

3.19 trillion rubles will be enough only to buy obsolete equipment. ASML spent $6 billion a year to become an industry leader. But she had specialists, there were no sanctions and there was no urgent need. In the current situation, the amount needs to be tripled.

References

Accuracy 30

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