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When can China dominate the semiconductor industry?

Link Copy 2023-01-19 08:30:36

Prediction

In 2042

Reason

Although China allocates 3 times more funds to microelectronics than its main competitors. China is currently dependent on US technology, and to overtake the US, it needs to create a new conductor technology. Such technology will be invented by 2040

In 2042

The U.S. is already creating some tensions with its partners and will not be able to block the supply of key components to China in the future

References

Accuracy 10

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Could Russia's bet on China be wrong?

Link Copy 2022-11-01 04:18:56

Prediction

Yes, China is transferring harmful production and incomplete assembly to Russia. Key components such as sensors, control electronics, and scientific developments remain in China. China is not interested in creating a competitor in Russia. Moreover, China is about to be sanctioned.

Reason

Like the former European factories in Russia, Chinese factories are simply assembly plants working for the Chinese economy. That is, the research, engineers and key components of the production are located in China.

Yes, China is transferring harmful production and incomplete assembly to Russia. Key components such as sensors, control electronics, and scientific developments remain in China. China is not interested in creating a competitor in Russia. Moreover, China is about to be sanctioned.

Russia will be even more dependent on China, because in the event of China's withdrawal from Russia, it will not be able to establish production at Chinese factories. The situation will repeat as with European factories. Their own engineers and developments are not funded.

References

Accuracy 20

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When will South and North Korea unite?

Link Copy 2023-01-30 02:12:13

Prediction

In 2053

Reason

The United Korea can become one of the most powerful countries in Asia, and then the U.S. troops will simply not be needed there. This directly affects the U.S. position in Asia. The U.S. will never agree to this, unless the U.S. maintains or, better, increases its troop contingent in an already unified Korea. A troop buildup might be needed for a war with China.

In 2053

Negotiations to unite the two Koreas are already underway

References

Accuracy 10

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When will the colony on Venus be established?

Link Copy 2023-01-27 13:08:53

Prediction

In 2110

Reason

They will figure out how to terrorize the planet to make it fit for human life

In 2110

So far we are only talking about launching probes

References

Accuracy 10

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