How will AI affect the global economy?

Despite all the fears and misgivings, AI will have a positive effect on the economy. AI will keep economic growth.

The majority of studies emphasise that AI will have a significant economic impact. Forecasts that by 2035, AI could double annual global economic growth rates. AI will drive this growth in three important ways. First, it will lead to a strong increase in labour productivity (by up to 40 %) due to innovative technologies enabling more efficient workforce-related time management. Secondly, AI will create a new virtual workforce – capable of solving problems and self-learning. Third, the economy will also benefit from the diffusion of innovation, which will affect different sectors and create new revenue streams.

AI leading to productivity gains in the near term, based on automation of routine tasks, which is likely to affect capital-intensive sectors such as manufacturing and transport. This will include extended use of technologies such as robots and autonomous vehicles. Productivity will also improve due to businesses complementing and assisting their existing workforce with AI technologies. It will require investing in software, systems and machines based on assisted, autonomous and augmented intelligence; this would not only enable the workforce to perform its tasks better and more efficiently but would also free up time allowing it to focus on more stimulating and higher value-added activities. Automation would partially remove the need for labour input, leading to productivity gains overall.

Notes from the AI frontier: Modeling the impact of AI on the world economy

Economic impacts of artificial intelligence (AI)

When will the U.S. lose its navy?

In 2060

There will be a war and they will drop an atomic bomb on the navy. After the loss of part of the fleet, a peace agreement will be signed

China intends to overtake the United States on all measures in 2035. The U.S. has become a brake on its progress. By 2060, China will still overtake the United States on all indicators. If it is not stopped, the U.S. will lose the lead. Therefore, the U.S. will pit China and Russia against each other.

Keeping up with China: the US is looking for money for the fleet

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When can China dominate the semiconductor industry?

In 2042

Although China allocates 3 times more funds to microelectronics than its main competitors. China is currently dependent on US technology, and to overtake the US, it needs to create a new conductor technology. Such technology will be invented by 2040

The U.S. is already creating some tensions with its partners and will not be able to block the supply of key components to China in the future

Exclusive: China readying $143 billion package for its chip firms in face of U.S. curbs

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Will there be a global financial crisis due to U.S. bank failures?

No, the U.S. financial system is stable, but bank stocks will fall

Next week the Fed will decide whether to raise rates or not. If the rate is lowered it will be a blow to the dollar, if it is raised it will be a blow to the banks. Most bank analysts are predicting that the rate will go up because it is more important to save the dollar. The report will be published in 3 weeks after the meeting, i.e. at the end of April. It also coincides with the publication of Q2 reports. After that there will be an avalanche of falling stocks of banks and technology companies.

In 2 months you have to sell stocks of banks and technology companies or play the downside

The outlook for the US banking system is negative

A leading technical analyst has just warned that comments from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell this week could trigger an asset sell-off

Bank of America analyst warns clients that recession shock is on the horizon

Goldman analysts no longer expect Fed rate hike in March after SVB failure

U.S. government steps in and says people with funds deposited at SVB will be able to access their money

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