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What is the likely target for Russia's atomic weapons?

Link Copy 2023-11-26 14:03:59

Prediction

Norfolk and Newport News

Reason

American nuclear aircraft carriers are rigidly tied to one place. These are Norfolk (Virginia), the largest naval base in the world, and Newport News (shipyard B with three giant slipways-one for construction and two for repair), on the other side of the Bay, where they are being built and seriously repaired.

Norfolk and Newport News

The time of the floating giants will end

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Will taxes be raised in Russia after the elections?

Link Copy 2024-03-13 16:59:20

Prediction

Yes, a progressive tax will be introduced

Reason

Russia is short of money. For 3 months, the budget deficit is equal to the annual one. The main reason for such a budget deficit is too small revenues from the sale of hydrocarbons.

Yes, a progressive tax will be introduced

President Vladimir Putin instructed to modernize the tax system and consolidate it in a new form. He talks about it as if the choice has already been made. The tax hike will hit the Russian economy hard, as it will be easier to import than to produce. It would be better to honestly say that the money is needed for the war, and after the war we will return everything to its place.

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When will there be a change of the ruling elite in Russia?

Link Copy 2023-07-28 14:26:17

Prediction

In 2024, the transition period to this change will only come.

Reason

The sanctions did not discourage the elite's aspirations to the West, but they gave rise to a desire to somehow circumvent the sanctions and quickly cancel or at least weaken part of them. The path to the West for the Russian elite remains the main one, despite the statement of insurmountable differences with the elites of the West. There is simply no other option comparable in terms of profitability. The reduction of the resource base sowed confusion in the elites and required the arbitrator to remove certain players from the number of active clans by force.

In 2024, the transition period to this change will only come.

When will there be a change of the ruling elite in Russia?

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Is there democracy in Russia and Kazakhstan?

Link Copy 2023-10-03 09:46:24

Prediction

Yes, there is

Reason

Were the elections alternative? Yes. Is the right to vote equal for everyone? Yes. Do you directly choose the president and deputies? Yes. Do you elect periodically? Yes. Are you being forced to participate in elections? No. Is voting open and public? Yes. Secretly? Yes.

Yes, there is

In the current most “democratic” country of the USA, voters cannot even directly elect a president, only through intermediaries-electors. Suddenly they will vote the wrong way. Moreover, the opinion of voters is only a recommendation for the elector to vote, he may not follow it. Thus, the voices of ordinary Americans are a dummy. Just a cheap farce and brainwashing. In Russia and Kazakhstan, local election commissions are such intermediaries, no matter how you vote, they will calculate how you need to. In fact, this is an autocracy, the basis of which is based on the unlimited control of power by one person or by a council, like a one-party parliament or a presidential republic, whose decisions are not subject to external legal restrictions or orderly mechanisms of popular control (except for the possible hidden threat of a coup d'etat or popular uprising).

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