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Will there be a recession in 2023?

Link Copy 2022-12-05 01:42:16

Prediction

The recession has already started. They just do not want to admit it.

Reason

Rising energy prices. High and rapid growth of unemployment. Supply chain disruption.

The recession has already started. They just do not want to admit it.

Trump's tariffs will cause the recession to last until 2029

References

Accuracy 30

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When will South and North Korea unite?

Link Copy 2023-01-30 02:12:13

Prediction

In 2053

Reason

The United Korea can become one of the most powerful countries in Asia, and then the U.S. troops will simply not be needed there. This directly affects the U.S. position in Asia. The U.S. will never agree to this, unless the U.S. maintains or, better, increases its troop contingent in an already unified Korea. A troop buildup might be needed for a war with China.

In 2053

Negotiations to unite the two Koreas are already underway

References

Accuracy 10

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Are Apple and Google the monopolists in the mobile ecosystem market?

Link Copy 2022-12-11 12:00:10

Prediction

Yes.

Reason

Only these two companies control the entire market. The proof of monopoly is that they set prices in the market.

Yes.

Both companies use aggressive methods against competitors and potential competitors.

References

Accuracy 40

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Will there be a global financial crisis due to U.S. bank failures?

Link Copy 2023-03-29 11:59:43

Prediction

No, the U.S. financial system is stable, but bank stocks will fall

Reason

Next week the Fed will decide whether to raise rates or not. If the rate is lowered it will be a blow to the dollar, if it is raised it will be a blow to the banks. Most bank analysts are predicting that the rate will go up because it is more important to save the dollar. The report will be published in 3 weeks after the meeting, i.e. at the end of April. It also coincides with the publication of Q2 reports. After that there will be an avalanche of falling stocks of banks and technology companies.

No, the U.S. financial system is stable, but bank stocks will fall

In 2 months you have to sell stocks of banks and technology companies or play the downside

References

Accuracy 20

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