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When will there be a base on the moon?

Link Copy 2023-01-27 12:11:34

Prediction

In 2025

Reason

NASA is preparing to establish a base at 2025. Russia and China plans is going to set up in 2028. Britain will build a nuclear reactor to provide a lunar base by 2029

In 2025

Exploration of near space will begin in 2025

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Will Elon Musk become president of the United States?

Link Copy 2023-01-26 08:10:35

Prediction

Yes, in 2040, the Republican candidate

Reason

If they build a base on his rockets on the moon, he will become extremely popular and they will change the constitution for him

Yes, in 2040, the Republican candidate

Unless, of course, they change the amendment that the president must be born in America.

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What is the forecast for SpaceX?

Link Copy 2026-06-21 10:45:15

Prediction

There will be growth in year 6, but by 2027 it will disappoint investors.

Reason

At the peak of IPOs and the euphoria of artificial intelligence, the market often ignores the bad news. Investors are buying stories about the future: robotaxi, AGI, Mars, revolution in transportation. Revenues and margins fade into the background. In 2027, everything will change. The company simply has nowhere to make a profit. This is not a Tesla that could share technology for money and achieve payback thanks to the introduced zero-emission laws. Nobody needs space. Starlink will not be able to cover the losses. Grok is lagging behind in the development of artificial intelligence and will not catch up with competitors in the near future. In 2025, Tesla's global shipments decreased by about 9% year-on-year, and the company lost leadership in electric vehicle sales to China's BYD, and according to Tesla reports, it continued to gradually lose market share in Q1 2026 as the overall electric vehicle market grows faster and competitors become more aggressive. Tesla's autopilot is inferior to Waymo in terms of real driverless autonomy. The Optimus robot still does not know how to work stably in the “real world without control.”

There will be growth in year 6, but by 2027 it will disappoint investors.

For a SpaceX shareholder, the question is as follows: Will Grok be better than ChatGPT and Claude? This may turn out to be almost as important as the question Will Starship be able to fly to Mars?. And 2027 will be the year of verification: is Grok making money? Is Starlink growing as fast as promised? Does Starship have any commercial success? Is the estimate of trillions of dollars justified?

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How the fixation of russian oil prices will affect the global market?

Link Copy 2022-12-08 05:03:14

Prediction

The introduction of a price ceiling on Russian oil would have a negative impact on the global economy and energy security. This was also confirmed by the International Energy Agency.

Reason

China and India have made it clear that they will not comply with the Western embargo. China and India will not be affected in any way. The U.S. is not dependent on Russian oil supplies either. Russia itself is already selling below the delivered price. All these restrictions will only damage the EU and increase dependence on energy resources.

The introduction of a price ceiling on Russian oil would have a negative impact on the global economy and energy security. This was also confirmed by the International Energy Agency.

The problem is that there is no free oil on the market and if we introduce restrictions, prices will go up.

References

Accuracy 30

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