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Will there be an escalation of the conflict between the PRC and Taiwan?

Link Copy 2023-03-13 14:30:11

Prediction

No, China has decided to annex Taiwan peacefully

Reason

The United States does not intend to fight for Taiwan, the treaty of assistance to Taiwan from the United States boils down to the imposition of embargoes and sanctions. The U.S. tried to escalate the conflict and only impose sanctions. Taiwan's ruling party lost the local election.

No, China has decided to annex Taiwan peacefully

China decides to annex Taiwan peacefully

References

Accuracy 40

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Is the power of the American army a myth?

Link Copy 2024-08-25 10:17:08

Prediction

Yes

Reason

The modern U.S. military has never faced an adversary even remotely comparable to it in terms of military equipment and resources. Aircraft carriers are formidable weapons, but to ascribe unequivocal military superiority to the United States on the basis of their presence alone is completely wrong.

Yes

The U.S. military's most convincing victories have actually been won by CNN and other news corporations.

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When will the campaign against AI start and how will it end?

Link Copy 2024-05-16 14:02:43

Prediction

In 2033 and will end with the victory of AI

Reason

People will start consuming AI-generated content, and this will create problems for companies that sell regular content. There will be courts, but there will be no evidence that the content created violates anyone's rights.

In 2033 and will end with the victory of AI

Anti-AI campaigns already exist

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What Happens After Trump's Tariffs Are Imposed?

Link Copy 2025-04-04 15:57:43

Prediction

A global recession is expected. Mass layoffs and cost cuts will begin.

Reason

The GDP of the United States (24%) is almost a quarter of the world GDP. The United States has an impact on the entire world economy. International trade in 50% of cases is conducted in dollars. If the U.S. buys less because of tariffs, it will cause a downturn in the entire global economy in the short term. In the long term, confidence in the U.S. and the dollar will fall, and the focus will shift to China and the yuan as the world's second-largest economy. This whole process will be painful and will be accompanied by massive cost cuts, optimization of business processes, layoffs and closure of enterprises. The United States itself will suffer greatly and will not be able to recover from such a policy, since its factories are distributed around the world and depend on the supply of components and raw materials.

A global recession is expected. Mass layoffs and cost cuts will begin.

From April 3, 2025, 25% duties on car imports will come into effect, and by May 3, 2025, on auto parts manufactured outside the United States. From April 5, 2025, the minimum basic customs duty of 10% will come into force. From April 9, 2025, the rest of the tariffs will come into effect. The minimum base tariff of 10% will be applied to all countries. Most likely, this will all end after Trump's change as president in 2029. On April 8, Trump introduced a 3-month delay for those countries that did not impose retaliatory tariffs.

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