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Will there be an escalation of the conflict between the PRC and Taiwan?

Link Copy 2023-03-13 14:30:11

Prediction

No, China has decided to annex Taiwan peacefully

Reason

The United States does not intend to fight for Taiwan, the treaty of assistance to Taiwan from the United States boils down to the imposition of embargoes and sanctions. The U.S. tried to escalate the conflict and only impose sanctions. Taiwan's ruling party lost the local election.

No, China has decided to annex Taiwan peacefully

China decides to annex Taiwan peacefully

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Accuracy 40

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Is Dmitry Medvedev's forecast for 2023 correct?

Link Copy 2022-12-30 04:42:35

Prediction

No

Reason

There are many flaws in the forecast. In 2024, elections in the United States will be held in November. Energy prices depend on many factors, such as supply and demand, availability and number of suppliers. For such prices to appear, someone must leave the energy market. Russia itself? All decisions in the European Union on accession are made for years and simply cannot be agreed in a year.

No

This is just a favorable forecast for Russia, which could still be believed if it were announced at least for 3 years. Also, the forecast does not specify Russia itself, as well as China.

References
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Are the possibilities of artificial intelligence as limitless as we are told?

Link Copy 2026-01-06 13:06:05

Prediction

No, there are limits to learning. The fast results create a sense of limitlessness.

Reason

Modern artificial intelligence models require a huge amount of electricity for training and work. There are physical limitations to computing power — transistors are no longer decreasing so fast. Only a few companies in the world produce advanced chips for artificial intelligence. This means that the zoom cannot be infinite. There are also limitations in terms of global data and knowledge — the amount of data available is limited. The AI industry is also facing a shortage of skilled workers.

No, there are limits to learning. The fast results create a sense of limitlessness.

Marketing and media often exaggerate the possibilities, ignoring the limitations. AI's capabilities are limited by physics, not just imagination. Equipment, energy, and data are limited. There will be no unlimited AI without new breakthroughs in physics and cognitive sciences.

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What will Trump do in 2025 as president?

Link Copy 2023-09-02 14:29:02

Prediction

1. Judicial reform. 2. Economic reform. 3. Energy reform. 4. The fight against globalists. 5. The Chinese problem

Reason

1) Trump has stated that if elected, he will appoint 100 U.S. attorneys who will support his agenda after taking office. 2. The revised trade policy will be aimed at encouraging domestic production while introducing tariffs on imported goods. 3. A ban on the export of hydrocarbons to Europe to the detriment of their own country. 4. These globalists want to waste all the strength, blood and treasures of America, chasing monsters and phantoms abroad, distracting us from the chaos they create here at home. These forces are doing more damage to America than Russia and China. 5. With regard to economic and national security, his plan will include a series of bold reforms to completely eliminate dependence on China in all critical areas.

1. Judicial reform. 2. Economic reform. 3. Energy reform. 4. The fight against globalists. 5. The Chinese problem

The coronavirus prevented Trump from fulfilling all his promises, and now America has even more problems.

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