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What will be the results of the referendum on the construction of a nuclear power plant in Kazakhstan?

Link Copy 2024-09-27 05:03:54

Prediction

Vote for construction

Reason

The country is in dire need of cheap electricity

Vote for construction

Turnout will be low. 52% will vote for construction

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When and why will there be a war between China and Russia?

Link Copy 2023-09-11 12:26:54

Prediction

In 2055. Because of the Russian territories.

Reason

When the USSR collapsed, Western goods flooded into the Russian market, and for 30 years they practically captured the entire market, receiving Russian resources in return. In 2022, Europe and the United States left the Russian market, and it turned out that the products could not be assembled at Russian factories, since they used foreign components that were not manufactured in Russia. Instead of independent development, the Russian authorities again gave the entire market to China. In 30 years, the situation will repeat. But China is not Europe and will not give up its factories just like that.

In 2055. Because of the Russian territories.

Most likely, the scenario of the collapse of the USSR will be played out again, but this time Russia will collapse. The president will be killed, then there will be referendums of disconnection from Russia and joining China. Russia will restore its territories by military means.

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Why can't Trump end the war in one day?

Link Copy 2025-01-15 02:53:54

Prediction

Because not everything depends on him.

Reason

Under Trump, the United States will no longer sponsor the war in Ukraine, but a peace treaty must be signed to end it. Russia will not do this with an illegitimate Ukrainian president. Therefore, first we need to hold elections in Ukraine. Then it is necessary to hold a referendum so that the people give up part of the territory in order to end the war. And only after that, peace negotiations will begin. That's about six months, the time limit that Trump has named.

Because not everything depends on him.

Elections in Ukraine are scheduled for May 25. 5 months. 1 month is the inauguration. 1 month is the referendum. 1 month - negotiations. A total of 8 months.

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When will the war between the United States and Israel with Iran end?

Link Copy 2026-03-29 12:54:08

Prediction

There will be no ground operation, but there will be no serious negotiations, at least not until the end of the summer.

Reason

The United States is forced to reach an agreement with Iran. Because oil prices are going up. No one wanted to fight Iran instead of the United States, including NATO allies. Trump was absolutely certain of a blitzkrieg with Iran, but it quickly became clear that the war had not gone according to plan. There was no quick victory. We will have to negotiate and pay reparations. Otherwise, oil prices will skyrocket to $250 per barrel, at the current 120 and 60 before the war. The capture of Kharq will not only lead to increased tensions throughout the Persian Gulf, including possible attacks on the energy infrastructure of the countries of the region, but will actually bury any chance of an agreement on ending the war with Tehran in the foreseeable future. Even now, these chances are extremely low, primarily because of Iran's complete distrust of the aggressors, and if American troops land on Iranian territory, they will disappear completely.

There will be no ground operation, but there will be no serious negotiations, at least not until the end of the summer.

Trump will negotiate oil purchases from the United States at a meeting with Xi Jinping in Beijing on May 15, and there will be no talk of ending the war. Most likely, China will think and then refuse, citing the country's interests in the region, and Europe will also put pressure on Trump inside the country, so we will have to negotiate.

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