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Why did a large number of houses fall in Turkey during the earthquake?

Link Copy 2023-02-11 01:57:45

Prediction

Low quality of construction

Reason

Houses were massively built with violations

Low quality of construction

The reason for such destruction is the lack of supervision, as the construction process has become a tool for making money

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When will peace talks between Ukraine and Russia take place?

Link Copy 2023-06-02 01:27:36

Prediction

In the fall of 2023. They will end in nothing.

Reason

In the summer of 2023 there will be fierce battles in Ukraine and terrorist attacks on the territory of Russia. Türkiye is already trying to arrange negotiations between Russia and Ukraine. But now these negotiations are not beneficial for Russia, because in fact it is a loss in the war. In 2024, elections in Ukraine, Russia and the United States. Before the elections, it is necessary to end the war, because if there is a war, Zelensky has little chance of winning the elections. Biden will also have few trump cards before the electorate in the elections.

In the fall of 2023. They will end in nothing.

The United States is trying with all its might to freeze the conflict for 10 years. In 2024, the election campaign will begin in America and no one will be engaged in Ukraine. 2023 is the last year when Ukraine will receive military assistance from the United States. Without military assistance, the war will not end, but hostilities will weaken. The current presidents of Russia and Ukraine will not sit down at the same negotiating table. In order for the signing of a peace treaty to happen, at least one president must be replaced.

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When will the euro disappear?

Link Copy 2024-01-29 06:34:34

Prediction

In 2034

Reason

There is a massive outflow of capital from Europe, which is flowing into dollar assets. Accordingly, euro positions are declining, while the dollar and yuan are strengthening. The Chinese yuan is starting to surpass the euro as a global currency. And this cannot be changed anymore.

In 2034

After any member leaves the EU or if the EU collapses, the euro will be worthless to anyone. The dollar will strengthen in the short term because savings will need to be shifted to some more stable currencies. Europe will not buy American goods due to the crisis, and there will be no one to sell them to. China and Russia will not buy because of sanctions. India currently does not buy, relying on its own market. Asia also does not need American goods. The East will not buy goods in large volumes. Moreover, the dollar index is calculated based on the euro. Right now, the euro is being artificially sustained despite the crisis—it is not falling—but in the event of the EU's collapse, it will no longer be possible to hold it up.

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Will there be a global financial crisis due to U.S. bank failures?

Link Copy 2023-03-29 11:59:43

Prediction

No, the U.S. financial system is stable, but bank stocks will fall

Reason

Next week the Fed will decide whether to raise rates or not. If the rate is lowered it will be a blow to the dollar, if it is raised it will be a blow to the banks. Most bank analysts are predicting that the rate will go up because it is more important to save the dollar. The report will be published in 3 weeks after the meeting, i.e. at the end of April. It also coincides with the publication of Q2 reports. After that there will be an avalanche of falling stocks of banks and technology companies.

No, the U.S. financial system is stable, but bank stocks will fall

In 2 months you have to sell stocks of banks and technology companies or play the downside

References

Accuracy 20

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