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When will the new world order come?

Link Copy 2023-03-27 08:52:27

Prediction

When the US loses its fleet and allies in 2050

Reason

The United States will be afraid of the superiority of China and pit China against Russia. In parallel, it will fight with Russia on behalf of Ukraine. Russia, forced to fight on 2 fronts, will use nuclear weapons on the US fleet. As a result of the outbreak at sea, England and Japan, allies of the United States, will be flooded. A peace treaty will be signed immediately.

When the US loses its fleet and allies in 2050

Changing the world order is usually accompanied by war.

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What will be the consequences of the deal between Intel and Qualcomm?

Link Copy 2024-09-26 14:37:08

Prediction

The deplorable, desktop x64 processors will be destroyed, and only Arm will remain.

Reason

Even if Intel's management agrees, it will take several years for international regulators to approve the deal, and eventually Qualcomm itself will sink to the bottom.

The deplorable, desktop x64 processors will be destroyed, and only Arm will remain.

Intel is in a financial hole - in the first quarter of 2023, it posted a record net loss of almost $3 billion, and in the second quarter of 2024, it tried to repeat this achievement, bringing its net debt to $1.61 billion.

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What is the real danger of artificial intelligence?

Link Copy 2023-12-18 04:04:19

Prediction

Degradation of man and society

Reason

Why solve the problem on your own if you can assign it to a neural network? The problem will be solved, and solved correctly. But the brain will not receive the proper load, accordingly, it will not develop. And intellectual abilities need constant development, or at least support of the existing level. Without stress, the human brain relaxes. This is especially dangerous for young people and teenagers. Experts have long argued that humanity is rapidly becoming stupid due to the achievements of the technical process. Neural networks will speed up the process.

Degradation of man and society

We need to understand that AI is just another tool in human hands and how we use it depends only on ourselves.

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Will Russia be able to carry out import substitution of electronics by 2030?

Link Copy 2022-12-12 08:25:20

Prediction

If we are talking about the purchase of obsolete equipment, then yes. If we are talking about the production of semiconductors with 0, then no.

Reason

Lack of specialists. There is a critical dependence of the design and production processes on foreign technologies, including software, and materials (in particular, high-purity chemistry and silicon). Low investment attractiveness of the industry. Lack of production capacity.

If we are talking about the purchase of obsolete equipment, then yes. If we are talking about the production of semiconductors with 0, then no.

3.19 trillion rubles will be enough only to buy obsolete equipment. ASML spent $6 billion a year to become an industry leader. But she had specialists, there were no sanctions and there was no urgent need. In the current situation, the amount needs to be tripled.

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Accuracy 30

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