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Will the US go to war with China?

Link Copy 2023-04-01 13:15:01

Prediction

So far, the United States is only preparing for war, increasing the military budget in 2024. They will not fight on 2 fronts with Russia and China.

Reason

The US strategy is to support the conflicting parties, but not to intervene in the war itself

So far, the United States is only preparing for war, increasing the military budget in 2024. They will not fight on 2 fronts with Russia and China.

Until the war in Ukraine ends, there will be no war with China.

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Will the BRICS currency affect the US dollar?

Link Copy 2024-12-07 13:11:47

Prediction

Even if there is a currency, no one will abandon the dollar, the further dominance of the dollar depends on the United States itself.

Reason

Russia, China, India and other countries accept the dollar and do not plan to abandon it 100%, settlements are also carried out in terms of dollars. The well-being of the dollar depends on the United States itself, if they act from a position of strength, then the rejection of the dollar will accelerate and a new currency will be issued. The BRICS countries will be more active in expanding trade in national currencies, as the use of the dollar as a sanctions stick has undermined confidence in it

Even if there is a currency, no one will abandon the dollar, the further dominance of the dollar depends on the United States itself.

Most likely, the BRICS will have to abandon India. Since she does not like to trade for the yuan, she does not want to give up the dollar. Because of this, the decisions of the BRICS groups, including the creation of a currency, are very difficult, at least that's how it is presented in the news. If the BRICS currency is backed by real resources, including land and rare earth metals, Russia will regret it in the future. Because it will not be able to compete with China, which will eventually be able to demand land in exchange for currency.

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When will South and North Korea unite?

Link Copy 2023-01-30 02:12:13

Prediction

In 2053

Reason

The United Korea can become one of the most powerful countries in Asia, and then the U.S. troops will simply not be needed there. This directly affects the U.S. position in Asia. The U.S. will never agree to this, unless the U.S. maintains or, better, increases its troop contingent in an already unified Korea. A troop buildup might be needed for a war with China.

In 2053

Negotiations to unite the two Koreas are already underway

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Accuracy 10

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Why is OpenAI buying up all the components?

Link Copy 2026-01-10 03:25:39

Prediction

In practice, large-scale purchases of GPUs and memory, buying up the best AI labs, and poaching top researchers are a powerful tool for eliminating competitors, especially small and medium-sized players.

Reason

In part, this destruction of competitors is not direct, but through economic and technological strangulation. OpenAI and Microsoft do not have to want to harm others - it is enough for them to maximize their progress, and the market itself will exclude the weak. The goal is that the future of AI is determined by 2-3 corporations, not a community of scientists, startups and public organizations.

In practice, large-scale purchases of GPUs and memory, buying up the best AI labs, and poaching top researchers are a powerful tool for eliminating competitors, especially small and medium-sized players.

The main threat is not from AI as a technology, but from the one who owns it.

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