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Can Bloomberg forecasts be trusted?

Link Copy 2023-04-05 07:15:35

Prediction

No, Bloomberg is currently engaged in the formation of public opinion.

Reason

Once upon a time, Western rating agencies such as Bloomberg, Goldman and Flich were truly independent. It was then that they gained their popularity. Now these economic agencies are largely politicized and work at the request of governments, or rather economic clans, whose interests are protected by governments. Even the world's stock exchanges do not react much to the forecasts of these agencies.

No, Bloomberg is currently engaged in the formation of public opinion.

Bloomberg, a privately held company based in New York, is one of the top two providers of information for the financial markets. The media are actively reprinting all Bloomberg's forecasts for the economy, and traders are guided during the game on the foreign exchange market, including the statements of this company.

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Comments 0

When will the civil war in Syria end?

Link Copy 2023-04-02 14:37:30

Prediction

In 2025. US to withdraw troops from Syria

Reason

At the moment, the Democrats do not want to withdraw troops from Syria. With the advent of a new Republican president, the situation will change.

In 2025. US to withdraw troops from Syria

Syria is already starting to restore diplomatic relations with neighboring countries

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What to expect from Trump?

Link Copy 2024-11-29 08:40:09

Prediction

Trump will impose his demands and end up quarreling with everyone. He has not yet taken office, but has already promised to raise duties on non-American goods. He is expected to resolve the conflict in Ukraine, reduce spending, and escalate the trade war with China. European interests will be completely ignored.

Reason

If the U.S. imposes tariffs of 60 percent on all imports from China and raises tariffs on imports from other countries, lowers personal and corporate taxes, and deports millions of illegal immigrants, we can expect lower U.S. output, increased inflationary pressures, and increased market volatility. The U.S. economy has a strong impact on the global economy because of its size: the U.S. accounts for more than a quarter of global GDP. As a result, in the next three years, the growth rate of the world economy will decline by 2-3% per year. With global GDP growing at about 3% per year, it can be assumed that the world will stagnate at best and recession at worst.

Trump will impose his demands and end up quarreling with everyone. He has not yet taken office, but has already promised to raise duties on non-American goods. He is expected to resolve the conflict in Ukraine, reduce spending, and escalate the trade war with China. European interests will be completely ignored.

Most likely, after his rule, few people will talk to America. Non-U.S. companies will have to look for other markets because they will be pressured by tariffs. South Korea is already subsidizing its chip companies due to the start of Trump's rule.

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Will there be a nuclear war?

Link Copy 2023-09-17 05:59:27

Prediction

No

Reason

In 1994, the USA, England, France, and Russia concluded an agreement to cease the production of fissile materials for nuclear weapons. China did not sign the agreement but committed to comply with it. Israel also did not sign the agreement but stopped producing nuclear weapons in 2004, retaining the right to resume production if necessary. India, Pakistan, and North Korea, of course, did not sign the agreement. This agreement is perpetual, and its provisions came into effect in 1997.

No

Plutonium-based nuclear weapons have a shelf life of 18 years. 1997 18 years = 2015. Also, striking military targets, rather than cities, is the priority of a nuclear attack.

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