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Can Bloomberg forecasts be trusted?

Link Copy 2023-04-05 07:15:35

Prediction

No, Bloomberg is currently engaged in the formation of public opinion.

Reason

Once upon a time, Western rating agencies such as Bloomberg, Goldman and Flich were truly independent. It was then that they gained their popularity. Now these economic agencies are largely politicized and work at the request of governments, or rather economic clans, whose interests are protected by governments. Even the world's stock exchanges do not react much to the forecasts of these agencies.

No, Bloomberg is currently engaged in the formation of public opinion.

Bloomberg, a privately held company based in New York, is one of the top two providers of information for the financial markets. The media are actively reprinting all Bloomberg's forecasts for the economy, and traders are guided during the game on the foreign exchange market, including the statements of this company.

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Is a nuclear escalation of the conflict and a third world war possible because of Russia and Ukraine in 2024-2025?

Link Copy 2024-10-15 11:14:58

Prediction

No

Reason

Tactical nuclear weapons are used in places where troops are concentrated. Russia can bomb Ukrainian troops and cities without nuclear weapons. If they are going to bomb Ukrainian cities with nuclear weapons, they take responsibility for the deaths of civilians and the consequences of the use of TNW. Therefore, nuclear weapons will be used as the last resort, in the event of a stalemate. But if Ukraine starts bombing Belarus, this will actually untie Russia's hands in the use of TNWs.

No

Neither Russia nor Ukraine declared war on each other. Shouts about the use of nuclear weapons are just political games, like shouts about the beginning of World War III. This is a reason to end the conflict and sit down at the negotiating table, if they continue to act in the same direction as now, the war could escalate into a confrontation with Europe with the use of TNWs.

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What will happen after a global Microsoft outage?

Link Copy 2024-07-19 14:01:11

Prediction

Microsoft shares will drop in price. It is likely that Microsoft will face lawsuits for damages. Some companies will switch to competitors' cloud services.

Reason

There are SLAs: a document that specifies the technical performance guarantees provided by the cloud service provider, the procedure for identifying and resolving disputes, as well as remedies for failures. In this case, these guarantees were violated.

Microsoft shares will drop in price. It is likely that Microsoft will face lawsuits for damages. Some companies will switch to competitors' cloud services.

Competitors will take advantage of this opportunity to lure affected companies to their cloud services. In addition, for some time, this will serve as negative publicity for Microsoft.

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When will cargo transportation through the Suez Canal resume?

Link Copy 2023-12-30 12:45:12

Prediction

In 2025, due to the aggravation of the situation in the Middle East.

Reason

A military operation will be carried out, which will lead to nothing. Negotiations will begin when the president in the United States changes.

In 2025, due to the aggravation of the situation in the Middle East.

Shelling the Houthi camps will not reduce, but increase the risks.

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