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How will the distribution of world religions change in the future?

Link Copy 2023-04-26 13:44:59

Prediction

Until 2060, Christians will remain the largest religious group. By 2060, Islam will become the main world religion that will take the place of Christianity. 3.23 billion Muslims and 2.99 billion Christians.

Reason

The main reason for the rapid growth of Muslims is a high birth rate, and not the departure of people in Islam. Moreover, the main driver of this process will not be the countries of the Middle East, but ... India and the USA. India - due to the rapid general increase in the population, America - due to mass immigration. The number of Buddhists of the world is expected to remain approximately at the same level due to a low birth rate and aging of the population in countries such as China, Thailand and Japan.

Until 2060, Christians will remain the largest religious group. By 2060, Islam will become the main world religion that will take the place of Christianity. 3.23 billion Muslims and 2.99 billion Christians.

This is just a forecast based on current demographic trends. In the future, various kinds of scientific and technological revolutions may occur, which will affect the worldview of people in a completely different way. It also does not take into account the consequences of wars taking place on the planet. If we take into account the consequences of wars, then Hinduism will come in second place.

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Will taxes be raised in Russia after the elections?

Link Copy 2024-03-13 16:59:20

Prediction

Yes, a progressive tax will be introduced

Reason

Russia is short of money. For 3 months, the budget deficit is equal to the annual one. The main reason for such a budget deficit is too small revenues from the sale of hydrocarbons.

Yes, a progressive tax will be introduced

President Vladimir Putin instructed to modernize the tax system and consolidate it in a new form. He talks about it as if the choice has already been made. The tax hike will hit the Russian economy hard, as it will be easier to import than to produce. It would be better to honestly say that the money is needed for the war, and after the war we will return everything to its place.

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Why is artificial intelligence positioned as a threat?

Link Copy 2026-01-08 14:48:53

Prediction

Positioning AI as a threat allows you to increase sales and accelerate the adoption of AI, despite any prohibitions.

Reason

If the same phenomenon is presented to a person as a threat or as an opportunity, the threat causes a more intense and energetic reaction. When visionary leaders and technologists notice a disruptive process, they warn of an impending threat: the company may die if the technology brings success to its competitors. The threat must be eliminated: the company must implement the technology itself and allocate resources for its development or purchase.

Positioning AI as a threat allows you to increase sales and accelerate the adoption of AI, despite any prohibitions.

It is necessary to convince top management to take the problem seriously, and for this it is necessary to present innovative technology as a threat in the resource allocation planning process. Then responsibility for the implementation of the project must be transferred to an outside, autonomous organizational unit, which will perceive it solely as an opportunity. This is exactly what marketing departments and the media are doing now, namely positioning AI as a threat and later as a solution.

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Who will win the 2022 U.S. congressional election?

Link Copy 2022-09-05 11:35:43

Prediction

The Republican Party will win the election. Republican Party - 222 seats. Democratic Party - 213 seats.

Reason

Democrats led by Biden are blamed for the current recession

The Republican Party will win the election. Republican Party - 222 seats. Democratic Party - 213 seats.

Democrats will still have a majority in the Senate

References

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