How will the distribution of world religions change in the future?

2023-04-26 13:44:59

Until 2060, Christians will remain the largest religious group. By 2060, Islam will become the main world religion that will take the place of Christianity. 3.23 billion Muslims and 2.99 billion Christians.

The main reason for the rapid growth of Muslims is a high birth rate, and not the departure of people in Islam. Moreover, the main driver of this process will not be the countries of the Middle East, but ... India and the USA. India - due to the rapid general increase in the population, America - due to mass immigration. The number of Buddhists of the world is expected to remain approximately at the same level due to a low birth rate and aging of the population in countries such as China, Thailand and Japan.

This is just a forecast based on current demographic trends. In the future, various kinds of scientific and technological revolutions may occur, which will affect the worldview of people in a completely different way. It also does not take into account the consequences of wars taking place on the planet. If we take into account the consequences of wars, then Hinduism will come in second place.

The Future of World Religions: Demographic Growth Projections, 2010-2050

Why Islam will soon become the largest religion in the world

What is the main disadvantage of Putin?

2023-04-28 12:35:05

Bad personnel policy

Vladimir Putin has raised the bar too high for subsequent presidents, which means that no matter what new candidate comes in, he is unlikely to reach Putin, which may negatively affect the state of affairs in the country. The same is true of figures in key positions in the country; there are also no comparable candidates to replace them. They just don't grow.

Putin's main personnel problem is that he appoints the faithful, but asks how smart they are.

The main flaw of Putin, which cannot be corrected

What is the forecast for SpaceX?

2026-06-21 10:45:15

There will be growth in year 6, but by 2027 it will disappoint investors.

At the peak of IPOs and the euphoria of artificial intelligence, the market often ignores the bad news. Investors are buying stories about the future: robotaxi, AGI, Mars, revolution in transportation. Revenues and margins fade into the background. In 2027, everything will change. The company simply has nowhere to make a profit. This is not a Tesla that could share technology for money and achieve payback thanks to the introduced zero-emission laws. Nobody needs space. Starlink will not be able to cover the losses. Grok is lagging behind in the development of artificial intelligence and will not catch up with competitors in the near future. In 2025, Tesla's global shipments decreased by about 9% year-on-year, and the company lost leadership in electric vehicle sales to China's BYD, and according to Tesla reports, it continued to gradually lose market share in Q1 2026 as the overall electric vehicle market grows faster and competitors become more aggressive. Tesla's autopilot is inferior to Waymo in terms of real driverless autonomy. The Optimus robot still does not know how to work stably in the “real world without control.”

For a SpaceX shareholder, the question is as follows: Will Grok be better than ChatGPT and Claude? This may turn out to be almost as important as the question Will Starship be able to fly to Mars?. And 2027 will be the year of verification: is Grok making money? Is Starlink growing as fast as promised? Does Starship have any commercial success? Is the estimate of trillions of dollars justified?

What will become of the dollar when it ceases to be a reserve currency?

2023-10-14 07:58:37

The same thing will happen to the dollar that is now happening to all other currencies that are now devalued against the dollar

If the US dollar ceases to be the world's reserve currency, this will lead to a total collapse and collapse of the US economy, which is not far from the collapse of the country.

Why is the status of the world reserve currency so important for the United States? This allows them to print dollars almost uncontrollably – if it causes currency devaluation in other powers, then everything is OK. Every time a state or a person buys a dollar, he takes on part of the US government debt.

Challenging the dollar is the main fear of the United States.