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When will the concept of death become obsolete?

Link Copy 2023-07-03 14:38:19

Prediction

After 100 years

Reason

Fundamental research into the causes and scientifically based fight against aging is carried out by 20 laboratories around the world.

After 100 years

Now the main problem, on the contrary, is overpopulation

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Will there be a war between Iran and Israel?

Link Copy 2024-04-19 15:30:36

Prediction

Iran and Israel will continue to exchange blows, but it will not come to a third world war.

Reason

Neither Iran nor Israel is interested in a full-scale conflict. In Tel Aviv itself, many are annoyed by the result of the Israeli strike on the Iranian embassy in Syria, when Iranian generals were killed under fire. Iran was ready to forgive the attack in exchange for the condemnation of Israel by the world community. Since this did not happen, Iran, in turn, responded to these actions with a missile attack on Israel a week ago, demonstrating to the whole world its advanced weapons, and at the same time the vulnerability of the Israeli Iron Dome air defense system.

Iran and Israel will continue to exchange blows, but it will not come to a third world war.

Israel is in a more difficult position because six months of war with Hamas have not brought results. It is surrounded on all sides — Rafah, the Palestinian settlement, the Houthis and plus the Iranian problem. But fundamental changes in the region will not happen before the US elections. The elections will be held in November 2024. The United States has introduced 2 aircraft carriers into the region.

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Why is it only now that the United States has unfrozen space exploration programs after 50 years?

Link Copy 2023-04-17 14:36:42

Prediction

Because there are competitors

Reason

China plans to start manned flights to the moon and build a lunar base by 2030

Because there are competitors

China is a contender for winning the second lunar race (for the creation of the first lunar base and the resumption of manned flights to the moon after more than half a century of break) in case of failure or delay in similar plans of the United States, Russia, EU, Japan, India.

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Why is OpenAI buying up all the components?

Link Copy 2026-01-10 03:25:39

Prediction

In practice, large-scale purchases of GPUs and memory, buying up the best AI labs, and poaching top researchers are a powerful tool for eliminating competitors, especially small and medium-sized players.

Reason

In part, this destruction of competitors is not direct, but through economic and technological strangulation. OpenAI and Microsoft do not have to want to harm others - it is enough for them to maximize their progress, and the market itself will exclude the weak. The goal is that the future of AI is determined by 2-3 corporations, not a community of scientists, startups and public organizations.

In practice, large-scale purchases of GPUs and memory, buying up the best AI labs, and poaching top researchers are a powerful tool for eliminating competitors, especially small and medium-sized players.

The main threat is not from AI as a technology, but from the one who owns it.

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