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Can the yuan become the world's reserve currency?

Link Copy 2023-04-12 14:12:14

Prediction

Currently no

Reason

The yuan is not a freely convertible currency. It can only buy Chinese goods.

Currently no

The PRC is the world leader in the production of most industrial goods. This is facilitated by the weak exchange rate of the yuan against the dollar. If the yuan becomes the world's reserve currency, it will strengthen against the dollar, which means that China's industry will lose its competitive advantages.

References
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When will the euro disappear?

Link Copy 2024-01-29 06:34:34

Prediction

In 2034

Reason

There is a massive outflow of capital from Europe, which flows into dollar assets. Accordingly, the positions of the euro are declining, and the dollar and yuan are strengthening. The Chinese yuan is beginning to overtake the euro as a world currency. And this cannot be changed.

In 2034

After the exit of any member from the EU or the collapse of the EU, no one will need the euro. The dollar will strengthen in the short term, since it will be necessary to shift savings to some more stable currencies. Europe will not buy American goods because of the crisis, and there will be no one to sell them to. China, Russia will not buy because of the sanctions. It still does not buy from India, hoping for its own market. Asia also does not need American goods. The East will not buy goods in large volumes. In addition, the dollar index is calculated based on the euro. And now the euro is being artificially held, despite the crisis, it is not falling, but with the collapse of the EU, it will no longer be possible to keep it.

References
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When will there be a change of the ruling elite in Russia?

Link Copy 2023-07-28 14:26:17

Prediction

In 2024, the transition period to this change will only come.

Reason

The sanctions did not discourage the elite's aspirations to the West, but they gave rise to a desire to somehow circumvent the sanctions and quickly cancel or at least weaken part of them. The path to the West for the Russian elite remains the main one, despite the statement of insurmountable differences with the elites of the West. There is simply no other option comparable in terms of profitability. The reduction of the resource base sowed confusion in the elites and required the arbitrator to remove certain players from the number of active clans by force.

In 2024, the transition period to this change will only come.

When will there be a change of the ruling elite in Russia?

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When will earth run out of coal?

Link Copy 2023-01-29 11:02:40

Prediction

At current consumption levels, the digitalis will begin in 2075

Reason

The need for coal is growing. The growth of world coal production was influenced by India and China. Also, if the European Union refuses to purchase Russian gas, it will be necessary to look for alternative suppliers and again return to coal.

At current consumption levels, the digitalis will begin in 2075

The Chinese economy is heavily dependent on global coal supplies

References

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