Collect

When will a quantum computer be developed for personal use?

Link Copy 2024-05-03 10:39:08

Prediction

A fundamentally new chip manufacturing technology will be developed by 2040

Reason

The current chip printing technology will exhaust its resource

A fundamentally new chip manufacturing technology will be developed by 2040

Some scientists believe that in real work, a quantum computer has no advantages over an ordinary powerful computer

QR code
QRcode

Scan the QR code to open on your mobile device

Comments 0

What will happen if Ukraine wins the war?

Link Copy 2023-01-11 05:38:29

Prediction

Russia will have to pay hundreds of billions to compensate for the physical damage caused by the invasion. Military restrictions of the Russian Navy: no Russian Navy in the Black, Azov and Baltic Seas for 50 years. Military restrictions of the Russian army: from all its northern, western and southern borders, Russia must withdraw troops at least 100 km. War crimes: Russia must be punished for its wartime atrocities. Nuclear weapons: Under the new treaty with NATO, Russia must immediately agree to reduce its nuclear weapons to a quantity and quality no greater than that of the United States, and agree to inspections by NATO to ensure this compliance.

Reason

The scenario is plausible if Ukraine is supported long enough or fought on the side of Ukraine.

Russia will have to pay hundreds of billions to compensate for the physical damage caused by the invasion. Military restrictions of the Russian Navy: no Russian Navy in the Black, Azov and Baltic Seas for 50 years. Military restrictions of the Russian army: from all its northern, western and southern borders, Russia must withdraw troops at least 100 km. War crimes: Russia must be punished for its wartime atrocities. Nuclear weapons: Under the new treaty with NATO, Russia must immediately agree to reduce its nuclear weapons to a quantity and quality no greater than that of the United States, and agree to inspections by NATO to ensure this compliance.

All that stops the West from these scenarios is Russia's possession of nuclear weapons.

References

Accuracy 20

QR code
QRcode

Scan the QR code to open on your mobile device

What awaits Europe in 2025?

Link Copy 2025-01-22 02:56:02

Prediction

Quarrel with the United States, trade war, difficult economic situation, shortage of energy resources, rising unemployment

Reason

Some European countries have large trade surpluses with the United States. Trump is demanding that Europe buy more American goods to smooth out this surplus. An increase in the number of American goods on the European market means the automatic displacement of European manufacturers, the potential bankruptcy of medium and small enterprises, their consolidation and monopolization by American multinational companies and, ultimately, the subordination of the European economy to the United States, which Europe, of course, will not agree to. Gas transit through Ukraine has been stopped, and Europe has lost almost its last gas source through the pipeline. The EU is purchasing Russian LNG at a record pace, and the United States is pushing its allies to ban it. The EU should increase purchases of American hydrocarbons, if the EU ignores this, it will receive protective duties on its products supplied to America. It will end with a shortage of fuel and another price increase. Trump also intends to increase the military spending of NATO countries to 5% of their GDP.

Quarrel with the United States, trade war, difficult economic situation, shortage of energy resources, rising unemployment

Trump is putting forward exorbitant demands on Europe, which will significantly affect military-economic cooperation between the United States and Europe in the direction of deterioration and cessation. Because of this, some countries will leave the EU in the future. Europe, in which every country will fight for its own well-being, will return.

QR code
QRcode

Scan the QR code to open on your mobile device

Are the possibilities of artificial intelligence as limitless as we are told?

Link Copy 2026-01-06 13:06:05

Prediction

No, there are limits to learning. The fast results create a sense of limitlessness.

Reason

Modern artificial intelligence models require a huge amount of electricity for training and work. There are physical limitations to computing power — transistors are no longer decreasing so fast. Only a few companies in the world produce advanced chips for artificial intelligence. This means that the zoom cannot be infinite. There are also limitations in terms of global data and knowledge — the amount of data available is limited. The AI industry is also facing a shortage of skilled workers.

No, there are limits to learning. The fast results create a sense of limitlessness.

Marketing and media often exaggerate the possibilities, ignoring the limitations. AI's capabilities are limited by physics, not just imagination. Equipment, energy, and data are limited. There will be no unlimited AI without new breakthroughs in physics and cognitive sciences.

QR code
QRcode

Scan the QR code to open on your mobile device

Prediction Engine 1.0.7
Feedback
What could we improve?
Was this information useful?
Events

Events

Look at the projections for the next 100 years