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When will a quantum computer be developed for personal use?

Link Copy 2024-05-03 10:39:08

Prediction

A fundamentally new chip manufacturing technology will be developed by 2040

Reason

The current chip printing technology will exhaust its resource

A fundamentally new chip manufacturing technology will be developed by 2040

Some scientists believe that in real work, a quantum computer has no advantages over an ordinary powerful computer

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Who is being trained to replace Zelensky and what will happen if he is not replaced?

Link Copy 2025-04-28 13:01:40

Prediction

The kind of person with whom you can always negotiate. Deputy of the Verkhovna Rada Anna Skorokhod, Kyiv Mayor Vitali Klitschko are being considered for replacement. Klitschko, by the way, has already stated that part of the territories will have to be given away.

Reason

It will be very difficult for Ukraine to return to the borders of 2014, it will have to cede territory in any peace agreement. To begin with, Ukraine will have to fulfill all Russia's demands: lay down arms, stop terror, imprison the Nazis, and approve a non-aligned status. Under Zelensky, this is impossible. If it is not replaced, then the war will drag on and the entire NATO bloc will inevitably be drawn into it. But there are already red lines of the United States, which does not want World War III.

The kind of person with whom you can always negotiate. Deputy of the Verkhovna Rada Anna Skorokhod, Kyiv Mayor Vitali Klitschko are being considered for replacement. Klitschko, by the way, has already stated that part of the territories will have to be given away.

Now they will convince Zelensky and scare him that if he does not make concessions, then the territory will be completely captured by Russia, and if he gives up part of the territories and does not sign an agreement with the United States, then the remaining territory will be taken by the EU. If he does not make concessions within a reasonable time, the question of his replacement will be raised, up to murder.

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When will the campaign against AI start and how will it end?

Link Copy 2024-05-16 14:02:43

Prediction

In 2033 and will end with the victory of AI

Reason

People will start consuming AI-generated content, and this will create problems for companies that sell regular content. There will be courts, but there will be no evidence that the content created violates anyone's rights.

In 2033 and will end with the victory of AI

Anti-AI campaigns already exist

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Will Russia be able to carry out import substitution of electronics by 2030?

Link Copy 2022-12-12 08:25:20

Prediction

If we are talking about the purchase of obsolete equipment, then yes. If we are talking about the production of semiconductors with 0, then no.

Reason

Lack of specialists. There is a critical dependence of the design and production processes on foreign technologies, including software, and materials (in particular, high-purity chemistry and silicon). Low investment attractiveness of the industry. Lack of production capacity.

If we are talking about the purchase of obsolete equipment, then yes. If we are talking about the production of semiconductors with 0, then no.

3.19 trillion rubles will be enough only to buy obsolete equipment. ASML spent $6 billion a year to become an industry leader. But she had specialists, there were no sanctions and there was no urgent need. In the current situation, the amount needs to be tripled.

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