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When will a quantum computer be developed for personal use?

Link Copy 2024-05-03 10:39:08

Prediction

A fundamentally new chip manufacturing technology will be developed by 2040

Reason

The current chip printing technology will exhaust its resource

A fundamentally new chip manufacturing technology will be developed by 2040

Some scientists believe that in real work, a quantum computer has no advantages over an ordinary powerful computer

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Will Putin change in 2024?

Link Copy 2023-06-28 12:33:56

Prediction

No, he will stay.

Reason

A source close to the Kremlin, who wished to remain anonymous, spoke about Vladimir Putin's plans. He denied rumors that the allegedly incumbent President plans to leave his post. He assures that other candidates are out of the question.

No, he will stay.

After the elections, little will change in the country

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Will Pavel Durov, the owner of Telegram, be imprisoned?

Link Copy 2024-08-27 09:57:53

Prediction

No

Reason

Durov's guilt in the eyes of Western intelligence services in this aspect lies in the insufficient moderation of the platform, which allows him to be accused of collusion and complicity in all crimes that are committed using the messenger. In terms of the amount of charges in France, he faces about 20 years in prison, but lawyers note that the courts usually distinguish between the perpetrator and the accomplice. Before him, not a single owner of the social network had been convicted of insufficient moderation.

No

If arrested, France will be under pressure and investors will avoid doing business with the country. Durov's arrest has already set a precedent, making crypto investors and Big Tech representatives very nervous. The President of France shifted all responsibility to the judges.

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When will the AI bubble burst?

Link Copy 2025-12-14 07:43:49

Prediction

In 2031.

Reason

Why is everyone talking about a bubble? 1) Huge investments with uncertain returns for many startups. 2) Thousands of AI startups that are essentially just a shell for other people's models. 3) High expectations: AI will replace everyone tomorrow. 4) Limitations of the models: hallucinations, high cost, dependence on data and computing power. OpenAI alone has attracted $300 billion in investments. Such investments will not pay off under any circumstances. By 2030, the company will need to show record profits, which it does not have.

In 2031.

Many AI startups will close or be absorbed . Investors will become stricter: we need a real business case, not we have AI

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