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What are the strategic mistakes of Russia?

Link Copy 2023-04-21 08:50:24

Prediction

Continuation of the resource-based economy model, the beginning of the NWO and the return of the market to China, management without a clear and precise development strategy for the long term.

Reason

The Russian elite preferred to keep its cozy little world of “cuts”, “reforms” and “kickbacks”, content with the status of a raw material appendage of the West and China. The NWO turned out to be poorly prepared, not adequately provided with reserves. The problems it has to deal with will only be delayed, not fully resolved. Russia will not be able to fully control Ukraine, and even after the signing of peace, the threat of an attack by Ukraine will remain.

Continuation of the resource-based economy model, the beginning of the NWO and the return of the market to China, management without a clear and precise development strategy for the long term.

In the long term, these factors will hit Russia very hard.

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Comments 0

Will Ukraine attack Belarus?

Link Copy 2024-10-10 12:13:37

Prediction

Not in the near future

Reason

An information war is being waged against Russia, among other things. Proposals for a Ukrainian attack on Belarus are a test of the reaction of Russia and Belarus to such a step.

Not in the near future

If the war drags on, there is a prospect of an attack, as Belarus is one of the few countries that support Russia.

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Will taxes be raised in Russia after the elections?

Link Copy 2024-03-13 16:59:20

Prediction

Yes, a progressive tax will be introduced

Reason

Russia is short of money. For 3 months, the budget deficit is equal to the annual one. The main reason for such a budget deficit is too small revenues from the sale of hydrocarbons.

Yes, a progressive tax will be introduced

President Vladimir Putin instructed to modernize the tax system and consolidate it in a new form. He talks about it as if the choice has already been made. The tax hike will hit the Russian economy hard, as it will be easier to import than to produce. It would be better to honestly say that the money is needed for the war, and after the war we will return everything to its place.

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Why do they turn off the Internet in Russia, even in those regions that drones cannot reach?

Link Copy 2026-04-09 14:35:44

Prediction

The authorities consider such measures as a tool in case of internal instability: law enforcement agencies can work out scenarios for restricting mobile communications during mass protests and rallies in order to control the coordination and dissemination of information.

Reason

The initiator of both Telegram blockages and periodic mobile Internet outages is the FSB. Officially, these measures are explained by the need to strengthen control in the field of digital security: combating the use of VPN services, countering fraudulent schemes, as well as preventing threats related to the use of drones.

The authorities consider such measures as a tool in case of internal instability: law enforcement agencies can work out scenarios for restricting mobile communications during mass protests and rallies in order to control the coordination and dissemination of information.

By 2026, the sovereign Internet is no longer just a concept, but a well-developed and well-designed infrastructure. The Russian segment of the network is gradually losing the features of a decentralized environment and is being transformed into a strictly organized system where user actions are increasingly regulated by the state. Although it has not yet turned into a completely closed model like the Chinese one, the controls and restrictions are noticeably increasing every year.

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