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Will Putin attend the BRICS summit?

Link Copy 2023-05-27 11:20:32

Prediction

Yes

Reason

South Africa has three more months to find a way to circumvent the ICC warrant without bringing the situation to an international scandal.

Yes

There is an opinion among experts that the International Criminal Court itself does not count on the arrest of the Russian president and the issuance of a warrant is not so much a blow to Moscow as to the BRICS as a whole.

References
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What is the main disadvantage of Putin?

Link Copy 2023-04-28 12:35:05

Prediction

Bad personnel policy

Reason

Vladimir Putin has raised the bar too high for subsequent presidents, which means that no matter what new candidate comes in, he is unlikely to reach Putin, which may negatively affect the state of affairs in the country. The same is true of figures in key positions in the country; there are also no comparable candidates to replace them. They just don't grow.

Bad personnel policy

Putin's main personnel problem is that he appoints the faithful, but asks how smart they are.

References
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Does it even make sense to trust rating agencies?

Link Copy 2022-06-11 13:52:55

Prediction

No. Agencies do not cope with the basic task - they cannot objectively assess the creditworthiness of the borrower.

Reason

The company that is evaluated pays for the valuation. There is no transparent methodology for calculating the rating that can be verified. Rating agencies are not responsible for the ratings given. Geopolitical interests influence the ratings of agencies.

No. Agencies do not cope with the basic task - they cannot objectively assess the creditworthiness of the borrower.

Usually, rating agencies seriously overestimate ratings for the country they come from.

References

Accuracy 40

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What will happen to Syria after the change of power?

Link Copy 2024-12-10 14:02:16

Prediction

It will be divided

Reason

Numerous rebel groups control various parts of the country, and they all want their share of power. A civil war is expected. In addition, other states have interests in Syria.

It will be divided

Israel has already begun to divide Syria. The Israeli military captured several towns and villages, including Aarna, Bakassm, Rimeh, Hina, Qala, Jandal, al-Husseiniyah, Jita and al-Hashab south of Damascus. They now control the entire Golan Heights, including the Syrian side of Mount Hermon. They said that they would forever retain control over the Golan Heights. The new Syrian authorities have already sent an official appeal to the UN Security Council demanding an end to the aggressive actions of the Jewish state. Qatar, Iraq, Saudi Arabia, Iran also condemned Israel's actions.

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