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Will Putin attend the BRICS summit?

Link Copy 2023-05-27 11:20:32

Prediction

Yes

Reason

South Africa has three more months to find a way to circumvent the ICC warrant without bringing the situation to an international scandal.

Yes

There is an opinion among experts that the International Criminal Court itself does not count on the arrest of the Russian president and the issuance of a warrant is not so much a blow to Moscow as to the BRICS as a whole.

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Comments 0

What consequences can be expected for the European Union after Apple was ordered to pay a 13 billion euro fine?

Link Copy 2024-09-27 10:46:23

Prediction

No one will want to start a large business in the EU

Reason

The EU has no advantages over Asian countries. A 50% tax is too high; for example, in Singapore it is 0%. The military conflict between Russia and Ukraine also makes doing business difficult, as sanctions hit the EU itself, raising the prices of all energy sources, which directly affects the prices of goods and services.

No one will want to start a large business in the EU

The essence of the lawsuit is that all EU countries should impose the same 50% taxes, and if a country is an EU member, it cannot independently make tax preferences. Most likely, soon countries will start leaving the EU, as the United Kingdom did.

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What will happen to Israel without the support of the US and Russia?

Link Copy 2023-04-03 14:55:56

Prediction

Arab world will attack Israel

Reason

The UN called on the local Jewish and Arab population to create a state for each of the national communities. But since the Arabs did not agree with this, the returnees had to wage war.

Arab world will attack Israel

The number of Christians on the planet will decrease. Other religions will dominate

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What will happen if Ukraine wins the war?

Link Copy 2023-01-11 05:38:29

Prediction

Russia will have to pay hundreds of billions to compensate for the physical damage caused by the invasion. Military restrictions of the Russian Navy: no Russian Navy in the Black, Azov and Baltic Seas for 50 years. Military restrictions of the Russian army: from all its northern, western and southern borders, Russia must withdraw troops at least 100 km. War crimes: Russia must be punished for its wartime atrocities. Nuclear weapons: Under the new treaty with NATO, Russia must immediately agree to reduce its nuclear weapons to a quantity and quality no greater than that of the United States, and agree to inspections by NATO to ensure this compliance.

Reason

The scenario is plausible if Ukraine is supported long enough or fought on the side of Ukraine.

Russia will have to pay hundreds of billions to compensate for the physical damage caused by the invasion. Military restrictions of the Russian Navy: no Russian Navy in the Black, Azov and Baltic Seas for 50 years. Military restrictions of the Russian army: from all its northern, western and southern borders, Russia must withdraw troops at least 100 km. War crimes: Russia must be punished for its wartime atrocities. Nuclear weapons: Under the new treaty with NATO, Russia must immediately agree to reduce its nuclear weapons to a quantity and quality no greater than that of the United States, and agree to inspections by NATO to ensure this compliance.

All that stops the West from these scenarios is Russia's possession of nuclear weapons.

References

Accuracy 20

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