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Will Putin attend the BRICS summit?

Link Copy 2023-05-27 11:20:32

Prediction

Yes

Reason

South Africa has three more months to find a way to circumvent the ICC warrant without bringing the situation to an international scandal.

Yes

There is an opinion among experts that the International Criminal Court itself does not count on the arrest of the Russian president and the issuance of a warrant is not so much a blow to Moscow as to the BRICS as a whole.

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What is the main disadvantage of Putin?

Link Copy 2023-04-28 12:35:05

Prediction

Bad personnel policy

Reason

Vladimir Putin has raised the bar too high for subsequent presidents, which means that no matter what new candidate comes in, he is unlikely to reach Putin, which may negatively affect the state of affairs in the country. The same is true of figures in key positions in the country; there are also no comparable candidates to replace them. They just don't grow.

Bad personnel policy

Putin's main personnel problem is that he appoints the faithful, but asks how smart they are.

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Who will become President of Russia in 2036?

Link Copy 2023-01-28 12:12:59

Prediction

Alexey Dyumin

Reason

Vladimir Putin will appoint his successor, who will be the main candidate of the presidential elections

Alexey Dyumin

In 2024, the terms of the current president will be reset. Putin will not give his victory to anyone.

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Accuracy 20

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Is Russia coping with sanctions?

Link Copy 2024-10-17 11:29:14

Prediction

The truth is somewhere in the middle

Reason

The crisis did not happen as the West expected, but not everything is as rosy as the Russian government claims. Despite all the efforts to replace imports, everything is imported by a third, no matter how hard they try to produce their own. And it is unlikely that this figure will reach half in the near future.

The truth is somewhere in the middle

Due to sanctions, Russia is forced to conclude unprofitable contracts for itself in the long term and increase its dependence on China. The impact of sanctions would have been more significant if not for the global recession.

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