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Will Putin attend the BRICS summit?

Link Copy 2023-05-27 11:20:32

Prediction

Yes

Reason

South Africa has three more months to find a way to circumvent the ICC warrant without bringing the situation to an international scandal.

Yes

There is an opinion among experts that the International Criminal Court itself does not count on the arrest of the Russian president and the issuance of a warrant is not so much a blow to Moscow as to the BRICS as a whole.

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Who will be the next president of Ukraine?

Link Copy 2023-07-16 14:21:44

Prediction

Vitali Klitschko

Reason

The current President of Ukraine Zelensky has been in office since May 20, 2019. At the start of his public service, he was confident that before the end of his term, the fighting in the Donbass would be completed. Despite this, the implementation of the Minsk Agreements did not begin under the leadership of Zelensky, the shelling of the DPR and LPR by the VFU did not stop. There is a lot of negativity against Zelensky, and Klitschko is quite a popular mayor, media and active, he may well not be a virtual competition, as a technical candidate, but a completely real one.

Vitali Klitschko

There is a lot of negativity towards Zelensky, and Klitschko is a fairly popular mayor, and he may well compete with Zelensky. The elections will be postponed for a year due to the war, at least until the change of US President Biden. Zelensky, if he loses the election, will not live in Ukraine and has already bought a palace in England.

References
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What will happen if all countries start mining lithium at once?

Link Copy 2023-05-21 13:56:04

Prediction

The price of lithium will fall, and in countries where it is mined, environmental problems will begin

Reason

Since the beginning of the decade, lithium has risen in price by hundreds of percent and will be in short supply for more than one year due to the needs of the energy transition, which is actively going on in the West and in China. In the near future, Europe will be heavily dependent on external supplies of lithium.

The price of lithium will fall, and in countries where it is mined, environmental problems will begin

All countries want a piece of the lithium pie

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What consequences are expected for the European Union after Apple was ordered to pay a fine of 13 billion?

Link Copy 2024-09-27 10:46:23

Prediction

No one will want to open a large business in the EU

Reason

The EU has no advantages over Asian countries. The 50% tax is too high, for example, in Singapore it is 0%. Russia's military conflict with Ukraine also makes it difficult to do business, as sanctions hit the EU itself, raising prices for all energy resources, which directly affects the prices of goods and services.

No one will want to open a large business in the EU

The essence of the claim is that all EU countries must take the same taxes at 50%, and if a country is an EU member, it cannot make tax preferences on its own. Most likely, countries will soon begin to leave the EU, as the United Kingdom did.

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