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Will there be a US technical default in 2023?

Link Copy 2023-05-17 20:18:24

Prediction

No, raise the debt ceiling

Reason

Both Republicans and Democrats are in favor of raising the national debt ceiling, but Republicans demand to cut spending

No, raise the debt ceiling

In 2011, it was possible to agree on raising the amount of debt only three days before the “deadline”. The compromise was eventually reached after President Barack Obama's administration agreed to cut defense and other spending.

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Why was President Kennedy assassinated?

Link Copy 2023-07-10 04:33:39

Prediction

A few months before Kennedy's death, he signed Decree No. 11110, which allowed the US Treasury to issue the national currency bypassing the Federal Reserve System (FRS).

Reason

The Fed's monopoly on the issue of dollars rests on one legislative act signed by President W. Wilson in 1913. One such act is enough to destroy the monopoly. Kennedy decided to return the function of issuing money to the American state, to start issuing the national currency bypassing the Fed.

A few months before Kennedy's death, he signed Decree No. 11110, which allowed the US Treasury to issue the national currency bypassing the Federal Reserve System (FRS).

5 years after the death of his brother John, Robert Kennedy ran for president. And on the day when he won the primaries from his party, he was killed under extremely suspicious circumstances.

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Elon Musk wants to start producing his own phones, can he beat Apple and Google?

Link Copy 2025-04-11 06:05:27

Prediction

Musk can establish the production of phones if he wants, and he can even compete, but he cannot defeat the world giants

Reason

The United States has imposed protective tariffs on all countries. Apple and Google phones are not made in America, but in other countries. In the near future, their prices will skyrocket. Musk wants to establish production in the United States, making phones at competitive prices. But the main problem is that his reputation is ruined. And there are more and more competitors, and they are already putting pressure on his business, especially on the business of electric vehicles. And because of the trade war, goods and services from the United States will be less in demand. And this is already a trend.

Musk can establish the production of phones if he wants, and he can even compete, but he cannot defeat the world giants

The analytical divisions of UBS, Mizuho and Goldman Sachs revised downward the target levels of Tesla shares. Experts note that the slowdown in the global economy and the strengthening of trade barriers may continue to put pressure on Tesla quotes.

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Why is the war in Ukraine not ending?

Link Copy 2025-11-01 03:50:32

Prediction

The most likely scenario for concluding peace is an agreement mediated by third countries, if both sides consider it beneficial, but this option was postponed by the United States, ending negotiations for at least 6 months. The countries' goals are mutually exclusive, and neither side is yet ready to make concessions that the other deems acceptable.

Reason

Possible scenarios for the end of the war 1. Military exhaustion of one or both sides. 2. Political change is a change of government or an external course in one of the countries. 3. An agreement mediated by third countries, if both sides consider it beneficial. 4. Frozen conflict - cessation of active hostilities without final peace. 5. Victory in the war. Russia - if it starts mass mobilization and mass offensives. Ukraine - if the West starts fighting for it. Currently, the West (the United States, the EU, and NATO) supports Ukraine with weapons, intelligence, and finances, but it is not fighting for it.

The most likely scenario for concluding peace is an agreement mediated by third countries, if both sides consider it beneficial, but this option was postponed by the United States, ending negotiations for at least 6 months. The countries' goals are mutually exclusive, and neither side is yet ready to make concessions that the other deems acceptable.

Instead of starting negotiations, Ukraine was again pumped with weapons and money. They probably expect the Russian president to be overthrown.

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