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Will there be a US technical default in 2023?

Link Copy 2023-05-17 20:18:24

Prediction

No, raise the debt ceiling

Reason

Both Republicans and Democrats are in favor of raising the national debt ceiling, but Republicans demand to cut spending

No, raise the debt ceiling

In 2011, it was possible to agree on raising the amount of debt only three days before the “deadline”. The compromise was eventually reached after President Barack Obama's administration agreed to cut defense and other spending.

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Why does America dominate the world?

Link Copy 2023-04-22 13:55:24

Prediction

They live off the rest of the world

Reason

America was virtually unaffected by World War II. Their currency was chosen as a reserve. The country has the strongest army in the world to protect its interests. The country controls world science and can attract the best talent from all over the world. Competitor countries - no.

They live off the rest of the world

That's why they intervene wherever they can: THEY NEED TO SAVE IT ALL.

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Will there be a global financial crisis due to U.S. bank failures?

Link Copy 2023-03-29 11:59:43

Prediction

No, the U.S. financial system is stable, but bank stocks will fall

Reason

Next week the Fed will decide whether to raise rates or not. If the rate is lowered it will be a blow to the dollar, if it is raised it will be a blow to the banks. Most bank analysts are predicting that the rate will go up because it is more important to save the dollar. The report will be published in 3 weeks after the meeting, i.e. at the end of April. It also coincides with the publication of Q2 reports. After that there will be an avalanche of falling stocks of banks and technology companies.

No, the U.S. financial system is stable, but bank stocks will fall

In 2 months you have to sell stocks of banks and technology companies or play the downside

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What will be Russia's response to Trump's ultimatum?

Link Copy 2025-07-18 02:12:37

Prediction

Either declare war on Ukraine, or use new weapons.

Reason

Judging by the data from the battlefield, Russia is advancing quite successfully in Ukraine and can reach any city, which affects the direct interests of the EU and the United States. The United States has already signed an agreement with Ukraine stating that its mineral resources belong to the United States. And the EU wants to transfer Ukraine to full financial management. If Russia does not stop, the plans of the United States and the EU can be forgotten. The EU threats and the US ultimatum indicate that Russia has reached a turning point in the war. If the West does not intervene, it will lose everything. That's why they're intervening.

Either declare war on Ukraine, or use new weapons.

Most likely, we are talking about some kind of demonstration of force on the part of Russia. On paper, the collective West is stronger than Russia, but Russia has 5,000 nuclear missiles, while the EU has only 300. Russia needs to be shown that its opinion must be taken into account. And, most likely, she will do it soon.

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