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Will there be a US technical default in 2023?

Link Copy 2023-05-17 20:18:24

Prediction

No, raise the debt ceiling

Reason

Both Republicans and Democrats are in favor of raising the national debt ceiling, but Republicans demand to cut spending

No, raise the debt ceiling

In 2011, it was possible to agree on raising the amount of debt only three days before the “deadline”. The compromise was eventually reached after President Barack Obama's administration agreed to cut defense and other spending.

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What will Putin and Trump talk about at the meeting?

Link Copy 2025-08-07 15:18:34

Prediction

About the conditions of peace

Reason

The United States has signed an agreement with Ukraine on the use of its mineral resources. These territories are already partially under Russian control. Most likely, the United States and Russia have agreed that Russia will cede these territories to the United States in exchange for guarantees of non-aggression. But the question is what to offer Ukraine for the territories currently occupied by Russia, as this effectively means the loss of sovereignty.

About the conditions of peace

Most likely, Ukraine will be offered EU membership, and these are the concessions that Russia will have to make.

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Will there be a war between the United States and Venezuela?

Link Copy 2025-11-14 15:20:43

Prediction

No, the United States will continue military and financial pressure, but without a full-scale invasion.

Reason

Risks for the United States : Intervention can be expensive and the consequences unpredictable. Hidden goals 1. Pressure on the Venezuelan government is to show that the United States can strike at naval facilities even near their territory. 2. Technology and tactics testing — drones, missiles, precision strikes, real-time reconnaissance. 3. Economic and military pressure on the Caribbean countries. 4. A political show of force within the United States is to show the electorate that “drug cartels are under control” without an official declaration of war.

No, the United States will continue military and financial pressure, but without a full-scale invasion.

What the United States calls the “fight against drug trafficking”: in practice, it is a military operation with pinpoint strikes, accompanied by the death of civilians and suspects without trial, At the same time, it serves as a geopolitical pressure on Venezuela and neighboring countries.

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Will the U.S. Be Able to Isolate China?

Link Copy 2025-04-17 10:39:30

Prediction

The United States has already missed China's development, and now no protective duties will help

Reason

The United States is trying to create an anti-Chinese coalition. The implementation of the American plan will fail due to the scale of the Chinese economy and the unwillingness of countries to act at the behest of the Americans. China opposes the escalation of the trade war and responds to the imposition of duties on its goods in the United States. China has also raised tariffs on U.S. products and imposed restrictions on mineral exports to the United States.

The United States has already missed China's development, and now no protective duties will help

The White House is seeking to force dozens of countries to abandon trade with China. The Americans are offering to strike a deal with Washington in exchange for lower import duties, but other countries are already benefiting more from trade with China than from U.S. trade

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