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What will Kazakhstan's current policy towards Russia lead to?

Link Copy 2023-07-13 15:46:58

Prediction

Russia, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan have agreed to launch a new multimodal Southern Transport Corridor, which will bypass the territory of Kazakhstan. The new route solves two tasks: to avoid obstacles arising on the Kazakh border for goods going to the markets of the Russian Federation, and to transfer part of the cargo flow to the port of Astrakhan. This will deal a blow to Astana's plans to make Kazakhstan a full-fledged transport hub in Central Asia and the Caspian region. The route from China through Kyrgyzstan will become a very serious competitor to the route on Kazakhstan railways.

Reason

Russia, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan have agreed to launch a new multimodal Southern Transport Corridor, which will bypass the territory of Kazakhstan. The new route solves two tasks: to avoid obstacles arising on the Kazakh border for goods going to the markets of the Russian Federation, and to transfer part of the cargo flow to the port of Astrakhan. This will deal a blow to Astana's plans to make Kazakhstan a full-fledged transport hub in Central Asia and the Caspian region. The route from China through Kyrgyzstan will become a very serious competitor to the route on Kazakhstan railways.

Russia, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan have agreed to launch a new multimodal Southern Transport Corridor, which will bypass the territory of Kazakhstan. The new route solves two tasks: to avoid obstacles arising on the Kazakh border for goods going to the markets of the Russian Federation, and to transfer part of the cargo flow to the port of Astrakhan. This will deal a blow to Astana's plans to make Kazakhstan a full-fledged transport hub in Central Asia and the Caspian region. The route from China through Kyrgyzstan will become a very serious competitor to the route on Kazakhstan railways.

Moreover, this blow to the plans of the President of Kazakhstan is inflicted from the Kazakh side, and not from Russia or Kyrgyzstan. If the transit of goods went without delays, then no one would be against using the territory of Kazakhstan as a hub. Astana's decision not to violate Western sanctions imposed against Russia was only a catalyst for the initiative to create an alternative transport corridor bypassing Kazakhstan

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When will the energy crisis happen in Europe?

Link Copy 2023-09-15 00:42:40

Prediction

It will begin in the fall of 2025

Reason

With the loss of Africa, after coups d'etat and the outbreak of war in Africa, Europe will be cut off from African energy resources. After the change of leadership, the United States will have another energy program aimed at providing energy resources first for itself, and then only selling them to Europe. Cooperation between Russia and China. China will need energy resources for its growing economy. These factors will lead to an increase in energy prices worldwide. Demand will grow, but the number of offers will remain the same.

It will begin in the fall of 2025

European countries will be unevenly affected by the energy crisis. The crisis will be accompanied by a slowdown in economic growth

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Which party will win the 2024 Indian general election?

Link Copy 2023-03-31 13:00:45

Prediction

BJP to win India's May 2024 elections

Reason

In previous elections in all states, with the exception of the Dravidian Tamil Nadu, where the BJP suffered a serious defeat, this party either maintained or improved its position. In such key Hindu states as Gujarat, Rajasthan, Maharashtra, Bihar, Madhya Pradesh, the BJP's victory was total.

BJP to win India's May 2024 elections

The Indian economy is now well balanced, and the country's leadership is doing everything to develop it further.

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Will there be peace between Russia and Ukraine in 2025?

Link Copy 2025-04-24 15:37:00

Prediction

Negotiations will be postponed for a year

Reason

Peace negotiations will begin when countries have something to lose, for example, Russia begins to occupy Kharkiv or ends up at the European borders. So far, none of the parties to the conflict is ready to accept the conditions. And there is not even any basis for compromise. For example, it is not profitable for Russia to make a buffer zone in Ukraine, because there are missiles whose range exceeds the entire territory of Ukraine. And time is now on Russia's side, it can seize even more territory.

Negotiations will be postponed for a year

In peace talks, Europe and Ukraine will have to admit that they have lost the war and make concessions, but they are not ready for this. The recognition of Crimea as Russian and the issue of Ukraine's membership in NATO have become red lines that Europe cannot cross.

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