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What will Kazakhstan's current policy towards Russia lead to?

Link Copy 2023-07-13 15:46:58

Prediction

Russia, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan have agreed to launch a new multimodal Southern Transport Corridor, which will bypass the territory of Kazakhstan. The new route solves two tasks: to avoid obstacles arising on the Kazakh border for goods going to the markets of the Russian Federation, and to transfer part of the cargo flow to the port of Astrakhan. This will deal a blow to Astana's plans to make Kazakhstan a full-fledged transport hub in Central Asia and the Caspian region. The route from China through Kyrgyzstan will become a very serious competitor to the route on Kazakhstan railways.

Reason

Russia, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan have agreed to launch a new multimodal Southern Transport Corridor, which will bypass the territory of Kazakhstan. The new route solves two tasks: to avoid obstacles arising on the Kazakh border for goods going to the markets of the Russian Federation, and to transfer part of the cargo flow to the port of Astrakhan. This will deal a blow to Astana's plans to make Kazakhstan a full-fledged transport hub in Central Asia and the Caspian region. The route from China through Kyrgyzstan will become a very serious competitor to the route on Kazakhstan railways.

Russia, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan have agreed to launch a new multimodal Southern Transport Corridor, which will bypass the territory of Kazakhstan. The new route solves two tasks: to avoid obstacles arising on the Kazakh border for goods going to the markets of the Russian Federation, and to transfer part of the cargo flow to the port of Astrakhan. This will deal a blow to Astana's plans to make Kazakhstan a full-fledged transport hub in Central Asia and the Caspian region. The route from China through Kyrgyzstan will become a very serious competitor to the route on Kazakhstan railways.

Moreover, this blow to the plans of the President of Kazakhstan is inflicted from the Kazakh side, and not from Russia or Kyrgyzstan. If the transit of goods went without delays, then no one would be against using the territory of Kazakhstan as a hub. Astana's decision not to violate Western sanctions imposed against Russia was only a catalyst for the initiative to create an alternative transport corridor bypassing Kazakhstan

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Who is being trained to replace Zelensky and what will happen if he is not replaced?

Link Copy 2025-04-28 13:01:40

Prediction

The kind of person with whom you can always negotiate. Deputy of the Verkhovna Rada Anna Skorokhod, Kyiv Mayor Vitali Klitschko are being considered for replacement. Klitschko, by the way, has already stated that part of the territories will have to be given away.

Reason

It will be very difficult for Ukraine to return to the borders of 2014, it will have to cede territory in any peace agreement. To begin with, Ukraine will have to fulfill all Russia's demands: lay down arms, stop terror, imprison the Nazis, and approve a non-aligned status. Under Zelensky, this is impossible. If it is not replaced, then the war will drag on and the entire NATO bloc will inevitably be drawn into it. But there are already red lines of the United States, which does not want World War III.

The kind of person with whom you can always negotiate. Deputy of the Verkhovna Rada Anna Skorokhod, Kyiv Mayor Vitali Klitschko are being considered for replacement. Klitschko, by the way, has already stated that part of the territories will have to be given away.

Now they will convince Zelensky and scare him that if he does not make concessions, then the territory will be completely captured by Russia, and if he gives up part of the territories and does not sign an agreement with the United States, then the remaining territory will be taken by the EU. If he does not make concessions within a reasonable time, the question of his replacement will be raised, up to murder.

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What to expect from Trump?

Link Copy 2024-11-29 08:40:09

Prediction

Trump will impose his demands and end up quarreling with everyone. He has not yet taken office, but has already promised to raise duties on non-American goods. He is expected to resolve the conflict in Ukraine, reduce spending, and escalate the trade war with China. European interests will be completely ignored.

Reason

If the U.S. imposes tariffs of 60 percent on all imports from China and raises tariffs on imports from other countries, lowers personal and corporate taxes, and deports millions of illegal immigrants, we can expect lower U.S. output, increased inflationary pressures, and increased market volatility. The U.S. economy has a strong impact on the global economy because of its size: the U.S. accounts for more than a quarter of global GDP. As a result, in the next three years, the growth rate of the world economy will decline by 2-3% per year. With global GDP growing at about 3% per year, it can be assumed that the world will stagnate at best and recession at worst.

Trump will impose his demands and end up quarreling with everyone. He has not yet taken office, but has already promised to raise duties on non-American goods. He is expected to resolve the conflict in Ukraine, reduce spending, and escalate the trade war with China. European interests will be completely ignored.

Most likely, after his rule, few people will talk to America. Non-U.S. companies will have to look for other markets because they will be pressured by tariffs. South Korea is already subsidizing its chip companies due to the start of Trump's rule.

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Who will become President of Russia in 2036?

Link Copy 2023-01-28 12:12:59

Prediction

Alexey Dyumin

Reason

Vladimir Putin will appoint his successor, who will be the main candidate of the presidential elections

Alexey Dyumin

In 2024, the terms of the current president will be reset. Putin will not give his victory to anyone.

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