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What will Kazakhstan's current policy towards Russia lead to?

Link Copy 2023-07-13 15:46:58

Prediction

Russia, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan have agreed to launch a new multimodal Southern Transport Corridor, which will bypass the territory of Kazakhstan. The new route solves two tasks: to avoid obstacles arising on the Kazakh border for goods going to the markets of the Russian Federation, and to transfer part of the cargo flow to the port of Astrakhan. This will deal a blow to Astana's plans to make Kazakhstan a full-fledged transport hub in Central Asia and the Caspian region. The route from China through Kyrgyzstan will become a very serious competitor to the route on Kazakhstan railways.

Reason

Russia, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan have agreed to launch a new multimodal Southern Transport Corridor, which will bypass the territory of Kazakhstan. The new route solves two tasks: to avoid obstacles arising on the Kazakh border for goods going to the markets of the Russian Federation, and to transfer part of the cargo flow to the port of Astrakhan. This will deal a blow to Astana's plans to make Kazakhstan a full-fledged transport hub in Central Asia and the Caspian region. The route from China through Kyrgyzstan will become a very serious competitor to the route on Kazakhstan railways.

Russia, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan have agreed to launch a new multimodal Southern Transport Corridor, which will bypass the territory of Kazakhstan. The new route solves two tasks: to avoid obstacles arising on the Kazakh border for goods going to the markets of the Russian Federation, and to transfer part of the cargo flow to the port of Astrakhan. This will deal a blow to Astana's plans to make Kazakhstan a full-fledged transport hub in Central Asia and the Caspian region. The route from China through Kyrgyzstan will become a very serious competitor to the route on Kazakhstan railways.

Moreover, this blow to the plans of the President of Kazakhstan is inflicted from the Kazakh side, and not from Russia or Kyrgyzstan. If the transit of goods went without delays, then no one would be against using the territory of Kazakhstan as a hub. Astana's decision not to violate Western sanctions imposed against Russia was only a catalyst for the initiative to create an alternative transport corridor bypassing Kazakhstan

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What is the path of Europe?

Link Copy 2023-09-24 10:19:38

Prediction

Unification with Russia, or at least cooperation.

Reason

Therefore, now Europe is being protected from Russia in every possible way

Unification with Russia, or at least cooperation.

Therefore, now Europe is being protected from Russia in every possible way

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What will be Russia's response to Trump's ultimatum?

Link Copy 2025-07-18 02:12:37

Prediction

Either declare war on Ukraine, or use new weapons.

Reason

Judging by the data from the battlefield, Russia is advancing quite successfully in Ukraine and can reach any city, which affects the direct interests of the EU and the United States. The United States has already signed an agreement with Ukraine stating that its mineral resources belong to the United States. And the EU wants to transfer Ukraine to full financial management. If Russia does not stop, the plans of the United States and the EU can be forgotten. The EU threats and the US ultimatum indicate that Russia has reached a turning point in the war. If the West does not intervene, it will lose everything. That's why they're intervening.

Either declare war on Ukraine, or use new weapons.

Most likely, we are talking about some kind of demonstration of force on the part of Russia. On paper, the collective West is stronger than Russia, but Russia has 5,000 nuclear missiles, while the EU has only 300. Russia needs to be shown that its opinion must be taken into account. And, most likely, she will do it soon.

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What are the strategic mistakes of Russia?

Link Copy 2023-04-21 08:50:24

Prediction

Continuation of the resource-based economy model, the beginning of the NWO and the return of the market to China, management without a clear and precise development strategy for the long term.

Reason

The Russian elite preferred to keep its cozy little world of “cuts”, “reforms” and “kickbacks”, content with the status of a raw material appendage of the West and China. The NWO turned out to be poorly prepared, not adequately provided with reserves. The problems it has to deal with will only be delayed, not fully resolved. Russia will not be able to fully control Ukraine, and even after the signing of peace, the threat of an attack by Ukraine will remain.

Continuation of the resource-based economy model, the beginning of the NWO and the return of the market to China, management without a clear and precise development strategy for the long term.

In the long term, these factors will hit Russia very hard.

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