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Will US banks fall after a 0.25 rate hike?

Link Copy 2024-03-09 06:03:32

Prediction

No

Reason

The Fed would not raise rates for no reason. They're saving the dollar. As they said, the US financial system is stable, which means that even if small banks go bankrupt, they will be bought by larger banks.

No

The increase in rates and the export of gold from the United States does not speak about the stability of the American financial system. But in the short term, everything is stable and under control.

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How to speed up dedollarization?

Link Copy 2023-05-08 07:42:30

Prediction

Trade resources for local currencies, tie prices to gold or rare metals, trade only your own securities on the market, make the currency freely convertible

Reason

If Beijing wants to make the yuan the world's reserve currency, then it will have to first go for financial liberalization. In theory, the dollar can also be replaced by a system that is not based on a specific national currency. In this case, gold or cryptocurrencies can become a universal means of payment.

Trade resources for local currencies, tie prices to gold or rare metals, trade only your own securities on the market, make the currency freely convertible

If investors begin to massively get rid of dollar assets and return the American currency to their homeland, this will provoke a surge in inflation in the United States and a potential debt crisis. The problems of the USA will spread to the financial markets, which are still dependent on the dollar, and will cause a new round of the global economic crisis.

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Will there be a war between Russia and China?

Link Copy 2023-01-31 08:42:34

Prediction

Yes, in 2055

Reason

China intends to become a leading world power. To do this, he needs resources and a territory where he can live. Russia has it all.

Yes, in 2055

Russia will unite with Mongolia and defend its sovereignty.

References

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Will the U.S. Be Able to Isolate China?

Link Copy 2025-04-17 10:39:30

Prediction

The United States has already missed China's development, and now no protective duties will help

Reason

The United States is trying to create an anti-Chinese coalition. The implementation of the American plan will fail due to the scale of the Chinese economy and the unwillingness of countries to act at the behest of the Americans. China opposes the escalation of the trade war and responds to the imposition of duties on its goods in the United States. China has also raised tariffs on U.S. products and imposed restrictions on mineral exports to the United States.

The United States has already missed China's development, and now no protective duties will help

The White House is seeking to force dozens of countries to abandon trade with China. The Americans are offering to strike a deal with Washington in exchange for lower import duties, but other countries are already benefiting more from trade with China than from U.S. trade

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