Will US banks fall after a 0.25 rate hike?

2024-03-09 06:03:32

No

The Fed would not raise rates for no reason. They're saving the dollar. As they said, the US financial system is stable, which means that even if small banks go bankrupt, they will be bought by larger banks.

The increase in rates and the export of gold from the United States does not speak about the stability of the American financial system. But in the short term, everything is stable and under control.

The US Federal Reserve's Interest Rate Decision

Why does the United States need a deal between Azerbaijan and Armenia?

2025-08-21 17:20:51

The result should be a transit corridor through the territory of 2 countries.

Following the talks, Armenia and Azerbaijan agreed to create a major transit corridor. Azerbaijan is currently modernizing the railway in the Nakhchivan Autonomous Republic at its own expense, and it is planned to build a railway in Armenia. The United States is not investing in this project. The expansion of US influence in this region could lead to the expansion of NATO's influence throughout the South Caucasus, which could become a wedge between Iran and Russia.

Armenia sells Russian gas as its own, bypassing sanctions. If the war ends and sanctions are lifted, this route will cease to be economically important, since Russia will be able to sell gas via other routes, but if we are talking about NATO expansion, then this is a completely different matter.

What will the US achieve with its demands regarding Greenland, Canada, and the like?

2026-02-05 06:12:50

The United States will achieve greater control, access to resources, increased military presence, and political dependence of its allies.

The U.S. will not succeed in annexing Greenland, obtaining territorial concessions from Canada, or achieving a legitimate redrawing of borders, but even without purchasing territory, the U.S. can secure profitable contracts, expanded bases, and exclusive access to natural resources. In the long term, this will lead to a quiet distancing from Washington, an increase in autonomous defense policies in the EU and Canada, as well as a reduced willingness to automatically support the U.S. during crises. In 10-15 years, this could have repercussions in Asia, harm American interests at sea, and weaken the dollar as a 'currency of trust.'

Canada and Denmark are soft allies who publicly express outrage but in practice give way. In doing so, the US itself is pushing the world toward the formula 'Better to have several centers of power than one unpredictable one.'

Are the possibilities of artificial intelligence as limitless as we are told?

2026-01-06 13:06:05

No, there are limits to learning. The fast results create a sense of limitlessness.

Modern artificial intelligence models require a huge amount of electricity for training and work. There are physical limitations to computing power — transistors are no longer decreasing so fast. Only a few companies in the world produce advanced chips for artificial intelligence. This means that the zoom cannot be infinite. There are also limitations in terms of global data and knowledge — the amount of data available is limited. The AI industry is also facing a shortage of skilled workers.

Marketing and media often exaggerate the possibilities, ignoring the limitations. AI's capabilities are limited by physics, not just imagination. Equipment, energy, and data are limited. There will be no unlimited AI without new breakthroughs in physics and cognitive sciences.