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Will US banks fall after a 0.25 rate hike?

Link Copy 2024-03-09 06:03:32

Prediction

No

Reason

The Fed would not raise rates for no reason. They're saving the dollar. As they said, the US financial system is stable, which means that even if small banks go bankrupt, they will be bought by larger banks.

No

The increase in rates and the export of gold from the United States does not speak about the stability of the American financial system. But in the short term, everything is stable and under control.

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Will Pavel Durov, the owner of Telegram, be imprisoned?

Link Copy 2024-08-27 09:57:53

Prediction

No

Reason

Durov's guilt in the eyes of Western intelligence services in this aspect lies in the insufficient moderation of the platform, which allows him to be accused of collusion and complicity in all crimes that are committed using the messenger. In terms of the amount of charges in France, he faces about 20 years in prison, but lawyers note that the courts usually distinguish between the perpetrator and the accomplice. Before him, not a single owner of the social network had been convicted of insufficient moderation.

No

If arrested, France will be under pressure and investors will avoid doing business with the country. Durov's arrest has already set a precedent, making crypto investors and Big Tech representatives very nervous. The President of France shifted all responsibility to the judges.

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Who will win the presidential election in Belarus?

Link Copy 2025-01-26 08:22:14

Prediction

Alexander Lukashenko

Reason

There is no opposition as such, Europe cannot influence the elections, there are no global problems in the country, because of which one can be dissatisfied with the current president of the country.

Alexander Lukashenko

No miracle will happen

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What will become of the dollar when it ceases to be a reserve currency?

Link Copy 2023-10-14 07:58:37

Prediction

The same thing will happen to the dollar that is now happening to all other currencies that are now devalued against the dollar

Reason

If the US dollar ceases to be the world's reserve currency, this will lead to a total collapse and collapse of the US economy, which is not far from the collapse of the country.

The same thing will happen to the dollar that is now happening to all other currencies that are now devalued against the dollar

Why is the status of the world reserve currency so important for the United States? This allows them to print dollars almost uncontrollably – if it causes currency devaluation in other powers, then everything is OK. Every time a state or a person buys a dollar, he takes on part of the US government debt.

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