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When will the campaign against AI start and how will it end?

Link Copy 2024-05-16 14:02:43

Prediction

In 2033 and will end with the victory of AI

Reason

People will start consuming AI-generated content, and this will create problems for companies that sell regular content. There will be courts, but there will be no evidence that the content created violates anyone's rights.

In 2033 and will end with the victory of AI

Anti-AI campaigns already exist

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Who will win in the early presidential elections in Kazakhstan?

Link Copy 2022-10-25 10:42:16

Prediction

The current president of Kazakhstan wins with the score of 79.16%. Election turnout will be 81.66%

Reason

There would be no special election if there was no intention to win. Statistically, incumbent presidents have always won. The opposition did not have time to prepare for the elections because the elections were called in a short period of time.

The current president of Kazakhstan wins with the score of 79.16%. Election turnout will be 81.66%

According to the Constitution of the Republic of Kazakhstan, the current president of Kazakhstan cannot be nominated for a second term. Participation in the election of the current president is illegal.

References

Accuracy 30

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What Happens After Trump's Tariffs Are Imposed?

Link Copy 2025-04-04 15:57:43

Prediction

A global recession is expected. Mass layoffs and cost cuts will begin.

Reason

The GDP of the United States (24%) is almost a quarter of the world GDP. The United States has an impact on the entire world economy. International trade in 50% of cases is conducted in dollars. If the U.S. buys less because of tariffs, it will cause a downturn in the entire global economy in the short term. In the long term, confidence in the U.S. and the dollar will fall, and the focus will shift to China and the yuan as the world's second-largest economy. This whole process will be painful and will be accompanied by massive cost cuts, optimization of business processes, layoffs and closure of enterprises. The United States itself will suffer greatly and will not be able to recover from such a policy, since its factories are distributed around the world and depend on the supply of components and raw materials.

A global recession is expected. Mass layoffs and cost cuts will begin.

From April 3, 2025, 25% duties on car imports will come into effect, and by May 3, 2025, on auto parts manufactured outside the United States. From April 5, 2025, the minimum basic customs duty of 10% will come into force. From April 9, 2025, the rest of the tariffs will come into effect. The minimum base tariff of 10% will be applied to all countries. Most likely, this will all end after Trump's change as president in 2029. On April 8, Trump introduced a 3-month delay for those countries that did not impose retaliatory tariffs.

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Will US banks fall after a 0.25 rate hike?

Link Copy 2024-03-09 06:03:32

Prediction

No

Reason

The Fed would not raise rates for no reason. They're saving the dollar. As they said, the US financial system is stable, which means that even if small banks go bankrupt, they will be bought by larger banks.

No

The increase in rates and the export of gold from the United States does not speak about the stability of the American financial system. But in the short term, everything is stable and under control.

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