Who can become a candidate for president of Iran?

Son of Ali Khamenei or son of Ibrahim Raisi

Ali Khamenei himself is very old and cannot become president. The new president must meet the interests of the supreme leader and Grand Ayatollah, 85-year-old Ali Khamenei. Therefore, the list of candidates will be formed from the interests of the current government, and then the people will choose from this list by voting.

Iran will drop out of world events for 50 days, as it will be busy organizing elections. Israel must conduct an operation in Rafah within 50 days. After the change of the president, Iran's position towards Israel will remain the same. After the current Iranian president crashed in a helicopter, he will be temporarily replaced by First Vice President Mohammad Mohbera. The Speaker of the Mejlis, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, cannot be elected president, since it is he, the Vice-president, as well as the head of the country's judicial system, Gholam Hossein Mohseni Ejei, who is tasked with organizing the elections.

What happens if China starts a war with Taiwan?

There is a 30% chance that China will launch military operations. After Pelosi's visit, China's maneuvers resulted in an economic blockade of Taiwan.

If war breaks out, China will fight against Taiwan, America, Japan and Nato. India may join the conflict. China can seize the island by force, but it will be an empty island destroyed by war, which will have to be rebuilt. Sanctions will be imposed on China. Because of the sanctions, all of China's economic and scientific successes will be nullified. China is also monitoring the outcome of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine.

And what Taiwan is preparing for. The 20th Congress of the Communist Party of China is about to take place, where very serious decisions on Taiwan can be made. Therefore, Taiwan shows in advance that it is ready for negotiations.

Taiwan Relations Act

Like Huawei, but only for everyone: the US has tightened sanctions on the sale of semiconductors to China. What does this threaten the PRC

An island of discord. How does the conflict between the US and China over Taiwan risk depriving the whole world of familiar goods?

The danger of the approach of China's military equipment to Taiwan was appreciated

Accuracy 40

Will there be a truce between Ukraine and Russia?

A truce is expected in November 2025.

The situation is not in favor of Russia. There is no significant success in the offensive of the troops, the country is being bombed unhindered, the last partners are on the verge of breaking off relations, an economic and gasoline crisis is brewing, and money is running out. Therefore, there is a high probability of peace and that Russia will make concessions.

Russia still has the resources for war, but the situation is getting worse. If the truce does not happen before the winter of 2025, there will be very heavy fighting and a very difficult winter for Russia. Ukraine now has long-range missiles and will bomb Russian energy infrastructure.

When will Russia run out of oil for export?

If production rates are not reduced and new deposits are not discovered, then in 2040

Russian Energy Minister Novak noted in 2018 that oil production in Russia, in the absence of incentives, could fall by 44% by 2035. Taking into account the coronavirus infection in 2019 and sanctions, these deadlines have shifted to 2040.

Russia has one of the highest taxes on the oil industry in the world, which makes it difficult to stimulate production.

Novak: oil production in Russia in the absence of incentives may fall by 44% by 2035