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Who can become a candidate for president of Iran?

Link Copy 2024-05-20 14:32:40

Prediction

Son of Ali Khamenei or son of Ibrahim Raisi

Reason

Ali Khamenei himself is very old and cannot become president. The new president must meet the interests of the supreme leader and Grand Ayatollah, 85-year-old Ali Khamenei. Therefore, the list of candidates will be formed from the interests of the current government, and then the people will choose from this list by voting.

Son of Ali Khamenei or son of Ibrahim Raisi

Iran will drop out of world events for 50 days, as it will be busy organizing elections. Israel must conduct an operation in Rafah within 50 days. After the change of the president, Iran's position towards Israel will remain the same. After the current Iranian president crashed in a helicopter, he will be temporarily replaced by First Vice President Mohammad Mohbera. The Speaker of the Mejlis, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, cannot be elected president, since it is he, the Vice-president, as well as the head of the country's judicial system, Gholam Hossein Mohseni Ejei, who is tasked with organizing the elections.

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What is the path of Europe?

Link Copy 2023-09-24 10:19:38

Prediction

Unification with Russia, or at least cooperation.

Reason

Therefore, now Europe is being protected from Russia in every possible way

Unification with Russia, or at least cooperation.

Therefore, now Europe is being protected from Russia in every possible way

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Will the United States withdraw from NATO?

Link Copy 2025-12-14 09:21:56

Prediction

There is no document where the United States commits to withdraw from NATO by 2027. There are strategies and projects where NATO is criticized and viewed as a burden, but this is not a decision to withdraw. The United States will remain in NATO as long as possible.

Reason

NATO will remain, but the role of the United States will change . The USA will: 1) maintain the nuclear umbrella and political leadership. NATO is turning from an American army in Europe into a coalition where the United States is the coordinator, not the main performer. 2)) Severe pressure on the allies. This is explicitly stated in the strategies. Tools: the requirement of 2% of GDP for defense, and in fact more, linking American aid to contributions, public pressure, including threats of we don't have to protect you. Europe pays and fights, the United States governs and supports. 3️) Shifting the focus to China 2025-2027 The USA will: build up the fleet and aviation in the Indo-Pacific region, reducing non-binding commitments in Europe, Japan, South Korea, Australia, and the Philippines are preparing allies. The United States needs Europe as a stable rear, not as the main theater of war. 4) Ukraine is a test model of the future of NATO. The United States tries not to fight directly . Maximum: money, weapon, intelligence service . We arm our allies, we don't fight ourselves.

There is no document where the United States commits to withdraw from NATO by 2027.
 There are strategies and projects where NATO is criticized and viewed as a burden, but this is not a decision to withdraw. The United States will remain in NATO as long as possible.

The US withdrawal from NATO: destroys the influence of the United States , frees Europe from dependence , hits the dollar and the military-industrial complex. It is much more profitable to stay , reduce costs , and maintain control . The final formula of the US strategy to remain in NATO, but to make it less American and more European. Maintain leverage without bearing the main burden.

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Will Iran go to war with Israel over the assassination of Haniyeh?

Link Copy 2024-08-03 17:02:29

Prediction

No, but in the future he will take revenge.

Reason

Iran will not let the assassination of Ismail Haniyeh, the head of the political bureau of the Palestinian Hamas movement, go unanswered, but will try to ensure that the response does not lead to a large-scale war, because it knows that Britain, Europe and the United States will be on the side of the enemy. Iran will definitely respond, because this is their idea - it is impossible not to respond to the challenge of the enemy.

No, but in the future he will take revenge.

Iran is not doing anything in a hurry, like the Israelis. Israel does not claim responsibility, and Iran has no concrete evidence.

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