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Who can become a candidate for president of Iran?

Link Copy 2024-05-20 14:32:40

Prediction

Son of Ali Khamenei or son of Ibrahim Raisi

Reason

Ali Khamenei himself is very old and cannot become president. The new president must meet the interests of the supreme leader and Grand Ayatollah, 85-year-old Ali Khamenei. Therefore, the list of candidates will be formed from the interests of the current government, and then the people will choose from this list by voting.

Son of Ali Khamenei or son of Ibrahim Raisi

Iran will drop out of world events for 50 days, as it will be busy organizing elections. Israel must conduct an operation in Rafah within 50 days. After the change of the president, Iran's position towards Israel will remain the same. After the current Iranian president crashed in a helicopter, he will be temporarily replaced by First Vice President Mohammad Mohbera. The Speaker of the Mejlis, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, cannot be elected president, since it is he, the Vice-president, as well as the head of the country's judicial system, Gholam Hossein Mohseni Ejei, who is tasked with organizing the elections.

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Have China and the United States agreed on tariffs?

Link Copy 2025-06-12 14:09:57

Prediction

Yes, due to Chinese restrictions on the trade of rare earth metals.

Reason

China controls rare earth elements that are necessary for almost all advanced technologies and are almost entirely produced in China. It accounts for 70% of their global production and, more importantly, over 90% of their processing. Thus, it can respond to restrictions from the USA and the EU. Therefore, negotiations will have to be made with China. Chinese media note that the supply of many important medicines in the USA is also almost entirely controlled by China.

Yes, due to Chinese restrictions on the trade of rare earth metals.

China itself is very much dependent on world trade. And foreign trade is a constant leash for China.

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Will there be a war between Iran and Israel?

Link Copy 2024-04-19 15:30:36

Prediction

Iran and Israel will continue to exchange blows, but it will not come to a third world war.

Reason

Neither Iran nor Israel is interested in a full-scale conflict. In Tel Aviv itself, many are annoyed by the result of the Israeli strike on the Iranian embassy in Syria, when Iranian generals were killed under fire. Iran was ready to forgive the attack in exchange for the condemnation of Israel by the world community. Since this did not happen, Iran, in turn, responded to these actions with a missile attack on Israel a week ago, demonstrating to the whole world its advanced weapons, and at the same time the vulnerability of the Israeli Iron Dome air defense system.

Iran and Israel will continue to exchange blows, but it will not come to a third world war.

Israel is in a more difficult position because six months of war with Hamas have not brought results. It is surrounded on all sides — Rafah, the Palestinian settlement, the Houthis and plus the Iranian problem. But fundamental changes in the region will not happen before the US elections. The elections will be held in November 2024. The United States has introduced 2 aircraft carriers into the region.

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What will the armed conflict between Cambodia and Vietnam lead to?

Link Copy 2025-07-26 14:55:59

Prediction

In the near future, the clash will be curtailed to its previous state - before the start of the shelling.

Reason

The armies of both countries are not ready for a major war. It is not beneficial for the parties to continue the conflict, as their economies are focused on tourism, and it will soon be resolved.

In the near future, the clash will be curtailed to its previous state - before the start of the shelling.

Thailand is a highly pro—American country that has been supported by the United States since the Vietnam War. As for Cambodia, this state is in the orbit of China's influence. US-China relations are at a stage of growing tension, the trade war has been put aside, but it has not ended at all, and the situation in Taiwan and the South China Sea is noticeably worsening. Therefore, Cambodia has decided that China will now support it.

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