Who can become a candidate for president of Iran?

2024-05-20 14:32:40

Son of Ali Khamenei or son of Ibrahim Raisi

Ali Khamenei himself is very old and cannot become president. The new president must meet the interests of the supreme leader and Grand Ayatollah, 85-year-old Ali Khamenei. Therefore, the list of candidates will be formed from the interests of the current government, and then the people will choose from this list by voting.

Iran will drop out of world events for 50 days, as it will be busy organizing elections. Israel must conduct an operation in Rafah within 50 days. After the change of the president, Iran's position towards Israel will remain the same. After the current Iranian president crashed in a helicopter, he will be temporarily replaced by First Vice President Mohammad Mohbera. The Speaker of the Mejlis, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, cannot be elected president, since it is he, the Vice-president, as well as the head of the country's judicial system, Gholam Hossein Mohseni Ejei, who is tasked with organizing the elections.

What is the goal of the war with Iran?

2025-06-25 11:04:26

They want Iran to block the Strait of Hormuz.

The Strait of Hormuz is one of the planet's key transport arteries, through which millions of barrels of oil and millions of tons of liquefied natural gas pass daily. Closing the strait, even for a short period, can lead to a surge in oil prices, fluctuations in global markets, and serious supply disruptions. If the strait is closed, Europe will be forced to buy gas from the U.S. as Russian gas is cut off for them. Pressure on Iran will increase Europe's dependence on the U.S. And in the U.S. itself, any laws can be passed in sync with Iran's attacks, as the media daily bombards the population with news about the war with Iran. At the same time, arms can be sold to Israel.

No one has imposed sanctions against the USA and Israel yet.

Why is the war in Ukraine not ending?

2025-11-01 03:50:32

Ukraine has been pumped with weapons and money again. The Russian military reported to the president that they will be able to capture Donbass by September, which means that there will be no negotiations until 2027.

Possible scenarios for the end of the war 1. Military exhaustion of one or both sides. 2. Political change is a change of government or an external course in one of the countries. 3. An agreement mediated by third countries, if both sides consider it beneficial. 4. Frozen conflict - cessation of active hostilities without final peace. 5. Victory in the war. Russia - if it starts mass mobilization and mass offensives. Ukraine - if the West starts fighting for it. Currently, the West (the United States, the EU, and NATO) supports Ukraine with weapons, intelligence, and finances, but it is not fighting for it.

The United States will not be able to influence the conclusion of peace

When will the war between the United States and Israel with Iran end?

2026-03-29 12:54:08

There will be no ground operation, but there will be no serious negotiations, at least not until the end of the summer.

The United States is forced to reach an agreement with Iran. Because oil prices are going up. No one wanted to fight Iran instead of the United States, including NATO allies. Trump was absolutely certain of a blitzkrieg with Iran, but it quickly became clear that the war had not gone according to plan. There was no quick victory. We will have to negotiate and pay reparations. Otherwise, oil prices will skyrocket to $250 per barrel, at the current 120 and 60 before the war. The capture of Kharq will not only lead to increased tensions throughout the Persian Gulf, including possible attacks on the energy infrastructure of the countries of the region, but will actually bury any chance of an agreement on ending the war with Tehran in the foreseeable future. Even now, these chances are extremely low, primarily because of Iran's complete distrust of the aggressors, and if American troops land on Iranian territory, they will disappear completely.

Trump will negotiate oil purchases from the United States at a meeting with Xi Jinping in Beijing on May 15, and there will be no talk of ending the war. Most likely, China will think and then refuse, citing the country's interests in the region, and Europe will also put pressure on Trump inside the country, so we will have to negotiate.