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Why is Biden withdrawing his candidacy for president?

Link Copy 2024-07-20 12:56:35

Prediction

Because he can't win

Reason

Biden is under serious pressure within his party. The American president is being forced to drop out of the election race as soon as this coming weekend. The White House claims that Biden is capable of serving a second term as president, provided he is elected, but he has little chance of defeating Trump.

Because he can't win

The Democratic Party's presidential candidate will be chosen at the party's national convention, which will be held from August 19-22 in Chicago. And it will not be Vice President Kamala Harris. Biden is one of Ukraine's main sponsors. President Zelensky has already stated that by the end of the year the war will end its active phase, which means they are preparing for a change in the US leadership.

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Will Russia be able to carry out import substitution of electronics by 2030?

Link Copy 2022-12-12 08:25:20

Prediction

If we are talking about the purchase of obsolete equipment, then yes. If we are talking about the production of semiconductors with 0, then no.

Reason

Lack of specialists. There is a critical dependence of the design and production processes on foreign technologies, including software, and materials (in particular, high-purity chemistry and silicon). Low investment attractiveness of the industry. Lack of production capacity.

If we are talking about the purchase of obsolete equipment, then yes. If we are talking about the production of semiconductors with 0, then no.

3.19 trillion rubles will be enough only to buy obsolete equipment. ASML spent $6 billion a year to become an industry leader. But she had specialists, there were no sanctions and there was no urgent need. In the current situation, the amount needs to be tripled.

References

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Who will be the next president of France after Macron?

Link Copy 2023-07-08 08:02:58

Prediction

Le Pen in 2027

Reason

The current president cannot run because he has been president twice.

Le Pen in 2027

Most likely, a person from a different party than Macron will be chosen, since his rule was marked by a lot of unrest in the country, as well as by making extremely unprofitable decisions for the people of France.

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When will Russia run out of oil for export?

Link Copy 2023-10-09 03:18:52

Prediction

If production rates are not reduced and new deposits are not discovered, then in 2040

Reason

Russian Energy Minister Novak noted in 2018 that oil production in Russia, in the absence of incentives, could fall by 44% by 2035. Taking into account the coronavirus infection in 2019 and sanctions, these deadlines have shifted to 2040.

If production rates are not reduced and new deposits are not discovered, then in 2040

Russia has one of the highest taxes on the oil industry in the world, which makes it difficult to stimulate production.

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