Will Iran go to war with Israel over the assassination of Haniyeh?

No, but in the future he will take revenge.

Iran will not let the assassination of Ismail Haniyeh, the head of the political bureau of the Palestinian Hamas movement, go unanswered, but will try to ensure that the response does not lead to a large-scale war, because it knows that Britain, Europe and the United States will be on the side of the enemy. Iran will definitely respond, because this is their idea - it is impossible not to respond to the challenge of the enemy.

Iran is not doing anything in a hurry, like the Israelis. Israel does not claim responsibility, and Iran has no concrete evidence.

What will happen if Russia wins the war?

There will be a truce for a few years, and then the war will start again

A peace treaty will be signed with Ukraine with the renunciation of territories and other negative consequences for Ukraine. Ukraine will unite with Poland and the war will break out according to a new one, because Poland did not sign any treaties. The territory of Ukraine will be restored at the expense of frozen Russian assets. NATO will increase its reliance on U.S. support, as will the concerned, threatened Eastern European countries that find themselves frontline states along an expanded and uncertain line of contact with Russia, including Belarus and Russian-controlled parts of Ukraine.

Sanctions will not be lifted

POLAND IS PREPARING ITS REFERENDUM IN WESTERN UKRAINE

What if Russia wins?

Putin on the possibility of concluding a peace treaty with Ukraine: our goodwill is known

The Kremlin opposed the restoration of Ukraine at the expense of Russia's gold reserves

Named the amount of restoration of Ukraine with the help of Russia

Accuracy 50

What is the forecast for SpaceX?

There will be growth in year 6, but by 2027 it will disappoint investors.

At the peak of IPOs and the euphoria of artificial intelligence, the market often ignores the bad news. Investors are buying stories about the future: robotaxi, AGI, Mars, revolution in transportation. Revenues and margins fade into the background. In 2027, everything will change. The company simply has nowhere to make a profit. This is not a Tesla that could share technology for money and achieve payback thanks to the introduced zero-emission laws. Nobody needs space. Starlink will not be able to cover the losses. Grok is lagging behind in the development of artificial intelligence and will not catch up with competitors in the near future. In 2025, Tesla's global shipments decreased by about 9% year-on-year, and the company lost leadership in electric vehicle sales to China's BYD, and according to Tesla reports, it continued to gradually lose market share in Q1 2026 as the overall electric vehicle market grows faster and competitors become more aggressive. Tesla's autopilot is inferior to Waymo in terms of real driverless autonomy. The Optimus robot still does not know how to work stably in the “real world without control.”

For a SpaceX shareholder, the question is as follows: Will Grok be better than ChatGPT and Claude? This may turn out to be almost as important as the question Will Starship be able to fly to Mars?. And 2027 will be the year of verification: is Grok making money? Is Starlink growing as fast as promised? Does Starship have any commercial success? Is the estimate of trillions of dollars justified?

Why is there no change for the better in Kazakhstan under the new president?

Nursultan Nazarbayev is gone, but not to the end

Most appointments are made for authoritarian, clan, and patronage purposes. This means that a certain person is appointed to the post of regional akim or minister, not so much because he is good at what he does and has the right level of professionalism and experience, but because he will definitely do what he is told, what the president ordered him to do. Thus, the ministers became extras who simply supported the main character, the president.

In simple terms, in order to give additional opportunities to someone (for example, small and medium-sized businesses, which are currently being talked about a lot), you need to take these opportunities away from those who use them incorrectly or incorrectly. And this already smacks of a redistribution of power. That is, in fact, there is a question of reducing the caste of untouchables and the resources controlled by it.

New Kazakhstan