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What will be Russia's response to Trump's ultimatum?

Link Copy 2025-07-18 02:12:37

Prediction

Either declare war on Ukraine, or use new weapons.

Reason

Judging by the data from the battlefield, Russia is advancing quite successfully in Ukraine and can reach any city, which affects the direct interests of the EU and the United States. The United States has already signed an agreement with Ukraine stating that its mineral resources belong to the United States. And the EU wants to transfer Ukraine to full financial management. If Russia does not stop, the plans of the United States and the EU can be forgotten. The EU threats and the US ultimatum indicate that Russia has reached a turning point in the war. If the West does not intervene, it will lose everything. That's why they're intervening.

Either declare war on Ukraine, or use new weapons.

Most likely, we are talking about some kind of demonstration of force on the part of Russia. On paper, the collective West is stronger than Russia, but Russia has 5,000 nuclear missiles, while the EU has only 300. Russia needs to be shown that its opinion must be taken into account. And, most likely, she will do it soon.

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When will there be a change of the ruling elite in Russia?

Link Copy 2023-07-28 14:26:17

Prediction

In 2024, the transition period to this change will only come.

Reason

The sanctions did not discourage the elite's aspirations to the West, but they gave rise to a desire to somehow circumvent the sanctions and quickly cancel or at least weaken part of them. The path to the West for the Russian elite remains the main one, despite the statement of insurmountable differences with the elites of the West. There is simply no other option comparable in terms of profitability. The reduction of the resource base sowed confusion in the elites and required the arbitrator to remove certain players from the number of active clans by force.

In 2024, the transition period to this change will only come.

When will there be a change of the ruling elite in Russia?

References
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What will happen at the BRICS meeting?

Link Copy 2023-06-13 08:15:07

Prediction

Expansion and increase in the share of the NDB

Reason

The BRICS Bank intends to finance more projects in national currencies to strengthen the local market and protect borrowers from the risk of currency fluctuations. Currently, the share of relevant projects in national currency in the bank's total project portfolio is about 22%, the NBR president said, adding that the bank intends to increase this figure to 30%. Currently, five BRICS countries are members of the EBRD, as well as Bangladesh, the United Arab Emirates and Egypt. Uruguay is already in the process of joining.

Expansion and increase in the share of the NDB

The BRICS summit will be followed by a powerful geopolitical shock wave for which the world will not be ready. The Western world will not be ready.

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How to solve the problem of refugees?

Link Copy 2023-07-02 12:56:46

Prediction

All states must refrain from organizing, assisting, creating, financing, encouraging or allowing armed, subversive or terrorist activities aimed at changing the order of another state through violence, as well as from interfering in the internal struggle in another state.

Reason

It is necessary to radically solve the problem of the emergence of such circumstances, as a result of which influxes of refugees are formed. The main reason is the existing and growing military conflicts in Africa and the Middle East, which are not taking place without the participation of external forces and states.

All states must refrain from organizing, assisting, creating, financing, encouraging or allowing armed, subversive or terrorist activities aimed at changing the order of another state through violence, as well as from interfering in the internal struggle in another state.

To change the situation, it is necessary to fight not with refugees, but with the policies of those countries that rudely and unceremoniously interfere in the domestic affairs of other states.

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