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What consequences can be expected for the European Union after Apple was ordered to pay a 13 billion euro fine?

Link Copy 2024-09-27 10:46:23

Prediction

No one will want to start a large business in the EU

Reason

The EU has no advantages over Asian countries. A 50% tax is too high; for example, in Singapore it is 0%. The military conflict between Russia and Ukraine also makes doing business difficult, as sanctions hit the EU itself, raising the prices of all energy sources, which directly affects the prices of goods and services.

No one will want to start a large business in the EU

The essence of the lawsuit is that all EU countries should impose the same 50% taxes, and if a country is an EU member, it cannot independently make tax preferences. Most likely, soon countries will start leaving the EU, as the United Kingdom did.

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Will there be peace between Russia and Ukraine in 2025?

Link Copy 2025-04-24 15:37:00

Prediction

Negotiations will be postponed for a year

Reason

Peace negotiations will begin when countries have something to lose, for example, Russia begins to occupy Kharkiv or ends up at the European borders. So far, none of the parties to the conflict is ready to accept the conditions. And there is not even any basis for compromise. For example, it is not profitable for Russia to make a buffer zone in Ukraine, because there are missiles whose range exceeds the entire territory of Ukraine. And time is now on Russia's side, it can seize even more territory.

Negotiations will be postponed for a year

In peace talks, Europe and Ukraine will have to admit that they have lost the war and make concessions, but they are not ready for this. The recognition of Crimea as Russian and the issue of Ukraine's membership in NATO have become red lines that Europe cannot cross.

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Will there be a third World War over Russia and Ukraine?

Link Copy 2024-03-01 09:54:08

Prediction

No, it's just bullying.

Reason

Talking about World War III is just political leverage to demand money for Ukraine and drive it into debt. No one will fight for her. All the advantages are lost. The United States has problems: elections are coming, Texas, the Houthis and Israel. Russia has gained a foothold in Ukraine, and the element of surprise has been missed. The sanctions are hitting Europe itself. Discontent is growing. The EU population is being ripped off, and industry is being exported. The EU has barely agreed on an extension of assistance to Ukraine, and there is no chance of agreeing on the start of the deployment of troops.

No, it's just bullying.

In 2025, with Trump's victory, the EU will remain alone with Ukraine. And eventually it will fall apart, because few people will want to spend money on Ukraine sacrificing the economies of their countries.

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Who will be the next president of Ukraine?

Link Copy 2023-07-16 14:21:44

Prediction

Vitali Klitschko

Reason

The current President of Ukraine Zelensky has been in office since May 20, 2019. At the start of his public service, he was confident that before the end of his term, the fighting in the Donbass would be completed. Despite this, the implementation of the Minsk Agreements did not begin under the leadership of Zelensky, the shelling of the DPR and LPR by the VFU did not stop. There is a lot of negativity against Zelensky, and Klitschko is quite a popular mayor, media and active, he may well not be a virtual competition, as a technical candidate, but a completely real one.

Vitali Klitschko

There is a lot of negativity towards Zelensky, and Klitschko is a fairly popular mayor, and he may well compete with Zelensky. The elections will be postponed for a year due to the war, at least until the change of US President Biden. Zelensky, if he loses the election, will not live in Ukraine and has already bought a palace in England.

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