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Will there be a full-scale war between India and Pakistan?

Link Copy 2025-05-08 11:05:59

Prediction

The current exchange of blows between the countries is another aggravation of the conflict between the countries, which will drag on for 2 years.

Reason

A similar previous conflict in 2016 ended in 20 months with an agreement to fully implement the 2003 ceasefire agreement and stop cross-border shelling.

The current exchange of blows between the countries is another aggravation of the conflict between the countries, which will drag on for 2 years.

The Kashmir conflict led to tensions between the two countries, which generally persist to this day.

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What will Kazakhstan's current policy towards Russia lead to?

Link Copy 2023-07-13 15:46:58

Prediction

Russia, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan have agreed to launch a new multimodal Southern Transport Corridor, which will bypass the territory of Kazakhstan. The new route solves two tasks: to avoid obstacles arising on the Kazakh border for goods going to the markets of the Russian Federation, and to transfer part of the cargo flow to the port of Astrakhan. This will deal a blow to Astana's plans to make Kazakhstan a full-fledged transport hub in Central Asia and the Caspian region. The route from China through Kyrgyzstan will become a very serious competitor to the route on Kazakhstan railways.

Reason

Russia, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan have agreed to launch a new multimodal Southern Transport Corridor, which will bypass the territory of Kazakhstan. The new route solves two tasks: to avoid obstacles arising on the Kazakh border for goods going to the markets of the Russian Federation, and to transfer part of the cargo flow to the port of Astrakhan. This will deal a blow to Astana's plans to make Kazakhstan a full-fledged transport hub in Central Asia and the Caspian region. The route from China through Kyrgyzstan will become a very serious competitor to the route on Kazakhstan railways.

Russia, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan have agreed to launch a new multimodal Southern Transport Corridor, which will bypass the territory of Kazakhstan. The new route solves two tasks: to avoid obstacles arising on the Kazakh border for goods going to the markets of the Russian Federation, and to transfer part of the cargo flow to the port of Astrakhan. This will deal a blow to Astana's plans to make Kazakhstan a full-fledged transport hub in Central Asia and the Caspian region. The route from China through Kyrgyzstan will become a very serious competitor to the route on Kazakhstan railways.

Moreover, this blow to the plans of the President of Kazakhstan is inflicted from the Kazakh side, and not from Russia or Kyrgyzstan. If the transit of goods went without delays, then no one would be against using the territory of Kazakhstan as a hub. Astana's decision not to violate Western sanctions imposed against Russia was only a catalyst for the initiative to create an alternative transport corridor bypassing Kazakhstan

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Will there be a war between the United States and Venezuela?

Link Copy 2025-11-14 15:20:43

Prediction

No, the United States will continue military and financial pressure, but without a full-scale invasion.

Reason

Risks for the United States : Intervention can be expensive and the consequences unpredictable. Hidden goals 1. Pressure on the Venezuelan government is to show that the United States can strike at naval facilities even near their territory. 2. Technology and tactics testing — drones, missiles, precision strikes, real-time reconnaissance. 3. Economic and military pressure on the Caribbean countries. 4. A political show of force within the United States is to show the electorate that “drug cartels are under control” without an official declaration of war.

No, the United States will continue military and financial pressure, but without a full-scale invasion.

What the United States calls the “fight against drug trafficking”: in practice, it is a military operation with pinpoint strikes, accompanied by the death of civilians and suspects without trial, At the same time, it serves as a geopolitical pressure on Venezuela and neighboring countries.

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What is Trump's plan to end the war in Ukraine really?

Link Copy 2024-11-09 13:49:13

Prediction

Freezing the conflict for 20 years

Reason

Trump's advisers are considering a plan to end the conflict between Moscow and Kiev, which involves freezing the front line, creating a demilitarized zone and abandoning Ukraine's bid to join NATO for 20 years in exchange for continued arms supplies. Trump intends to put pressure on Ukraine and Russia in the form of an ultimatum. Two of Trump's military advisers have offered to force Ukraine into peace talks, threatening to cut off arms supplies. At the same time, they said that Russia's refusal to negotiate would lead to increased support for Ukraine from the United States. A plan to resolve the conflict will be presented after the inauguration on January 20. In the meantime, Trump is considering various options presented by his advisers.

Freezing the conflict for 20 years

The problem will not be solved, but postponed for 20 years in order to restore and arm Ukraine. Signing peace on such terms is unacceptable for Russia.

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