Will there be a full-scale war between India and Pakistan?

2025-05-08 11:05:59

Prediction

The current exchange of blows between the countries is another aggravation of the conflict between the countries, which will drag on for 2 years.

Reason

A similar previous conflict in 2016 ended in 20 months with an agreement to fully implement the 2003 ceasefire agreement and stop cross-border shelling.

The current exchange of blows between the countries is another aggravation of the conflict between the countries, which will drag on for 2 years.

The Kashmir conflict led to tensions between the two countries, which generally persist to this day.

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When will Israel's war with Hamas end?

2024-04-10 10:25:39

Prediction

The truce will be concluded in early 2025

Reason

In the end, the United States tells Israel to end the war after the elections, reinforcing this demand by stopping the supply of weapons and stopping financing. The problem for the Biden administration is that it cannot twist the arms of Benjamin Netanyahu's government too much, because in an election year this could reduce Joe Biden's own chances of re-election, since the Israeli lobby has strong positions in the American elite.

The truce will be concluded in early 2025

The Israeli military leadership makes it clear that the war is far from over. The country's authorities insist only on a temporary pause in hostilities, after which they will be ready to resume the offensive, and then only after pressure from the United States. Also, Israel does not have a clear plan for what will happen to the Gaza Strip after the end of hostilities. The head of the Israeli National Security Council, Tzachi Hanegbi, has already announced the prospects of war with the Lebanese Hezbollah group after the successful fight against Hamas. A war with Iran is also possible.