A truce is expected in November 2025.
The situation is not in favor of Russia. There is no significant success in the offensive of the troops, the country is being bombed unhindered, the last partners are on the verge of breaking off relations, an economic and gasoline crisis is brewing, and money is running out. Therefore, there is a high probability of peace and that Russia will make concessions.

Russia still has the resources for war, but the situation is getting worse. If the truce does not happen before the winter of 2025, there will be very heavy fighting and a very difficult winter for Russia. Ukraine now has long-range missiles and will bomb Russian energy infrastructure.
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There is a 30% chance that China will launch military operations. After Pelosi's visit, China's maneuvers resulted in an economic blockade of Taiwan.
If war breaks out, China will fight against Taiwan, America, Japan and Nato. India may join the conflict. China can seize the island by force, but it will be an empty island destroyed by war, which will have to be rebuilt. Sanctions will be imposed on China. Because of the sanctions, all of China's economic and scientific successes will be nullified. China is also monitoring the outcome of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine.

And what Taiwan is preparing for. The 20th Congress of the Communist Party of China is about to take place, where very serious decisions on Taiwan can be made. Therefore, Taiwan shows in advance that it is ready for negotiations.
Taiwan Relations Act
Like Huawei, but only for everyone: the US has tightened sanctions on the sale of semiconductors to China. What does this threaten the PRC
An island of discord. How does the conflict between the US and China over Taiwan risk depriving the whole world of familiar goods?
The danger of the approach of China's military equipment to Taiwan was appreciated
Accuracy 40
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From 2030
Anamal floods and anamal heat waves have already begun in some countries

Weather anomalies will only get worse
It will begin in 2030: what global natural disaster scientists predicted
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Four years old
Everything was done to make this war unstoppable. At least it will last until January 2029, when Trump leaves office, or earlier if he is assassinated.

It will be very difficult to stop this war with negotiations.
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