A truce is expected in November 2025.
The situation is not in favor of Russia. There is no significant success in the offensive of the troops, the country is being bombed unhindered, the last partners are on the verge of breaking off relations, an economic and gasoline crisis is brewing, and money is running out. Therefore, there is a high probability of peace and that Russia will make concessions.

Russia still has the resources for war, but the situation is getting worse. If the truce does not happen before the winter of 2025, there will be very heavy fighting and a very difficult winter for Russia. Ukraine now has long-range missiles and will bomb Russian energy infrastructure.
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We are talking about ending the war on terms unfavorable for Ukraine.
Moscow wants to get 6,000 square kilometers from Kiev, which are not yet under its control. Therefore, Russia is now preparing a massive offensive against Ukraine, deploying marines and equipment, and even replacing the commander-in-chief of the ground forces. Therefore, they put up flags, pretending that they have seized territories. The United States will put pressure on Ukraine to sign a peace agreement, threatening sanctions, etc., because they still need to resolve the issue of Chinese dominance and the problem with Israel, and there is not enough money to resolve several issues. In return, Moscow will not touch the territories with rare earth metals that the United States plans to develop in Ukraine and for which a contract has already been signed.

Russian media reports that Ukraine is allegedly waiting for specific proposals from Russia on the issue of territory exchange.
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Politically weak
All talk about a successor is stopped, no one wants to even think about it. Preparations for the succession are not underway, which means that the new president will be chosen spontaneously and will protect the personal interests of the ruling elite, and not the whole country. The president from alternative parties will not be allowed to win.

Nothing will change in the country with the change of the president. The country will continue to sell energy resources abroad. The new president will make decisions based on personal gain, hiding behind the interests of the country.
How did the war change Putin's regime? What price will Russia pay after the change of power? And is there any hope at all that Putin is not forever?
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In 2025
Under the new government specially change the constitution.

Lukashenka believes that a “normal, pragmatic” candidate will win the elections, while the opposition has no prospects. In other words, Lukashenka himself will choose a successor.
Belarus has decided on the date of the referendum on the Constitution
Belarus has decided on the date of the referendum on the Constitution
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