A truce is expected in November 2025.
The situation is not in favor of Russia. There is no significant success in the offensive of the troops, the country is being bombed unhindered, the last partners are on the verge of breaking off relations, an economic and gasoline crisis is brewing, and money is running out. Therefore, there is a high probability of peace and that Russia will make concessions.

Russia still has the resources for war, but the situation is getting worse. If the truce does not happen before the winter of 2025, there will be very heavy fighting and a very difficult winter for Russia. Ukraine now has long-range missiles and will bomb Russian energy infrastructure.
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Countries that do not have Russian assets are most in favor of the confiscation of Russian assets. The investment climate in the world will deteriorate even due to the creation of a precedent.
No one will invest in a country that takes away other people's assets.

Countries that do not have Russian assets are most in favor of the confiscation of Russian assets. The investment climate in the world will deteriorate even due to the creation of a precedent.
It became known why the West has not yet confiscated Russian assets
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Crimea allows Russia to completely dominate the northern coast of the Black Sea
Europe needs Crimea to control maritime transportation. Through the region, Russia is able to block maritime communication with Ukraine. Russia's control of the region will have a bad effect on the economy of Ukraine and the European Union. Accordingly, Europe needs to seize the peninsula with the forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Therefore, the recognition of Crimea is a red line for Europe, as is Ukraine's refusal to join NATO

Ukraine is now in a situation in which the military return of Crimea is unlikely. Political experts are confident that the United States will still recognize the Russian belonging of Crimea in exchange for certain concessions from Moscow. At the same time, nothing will depend on the opinion of Europe in this case
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If Kazakhstan prohibits, seizes Chinese or Russian private property or prohibits companies with owners from Russia or China
The war in Ukraine began, among other things, because Ukraine began to prohibit companies with owners from Russia from working, and Russian business was forced to sell its assets in Ukraine for nothing

Astana's pro-Western course will lead to the collapse of Kazakhstan's statehood
U.S. takes control of Kazakhstan
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