A truce is expected in November 2025.
The situation is not in favor of Russia. There is no significant success in the offensive of the troops, the country is being bombed unhindered, the last partners are on the verge of breaking off relations, an economic and gasoline crisis is brewing, and money is running out. Therefore, there is a high probability of peace and that Russia will make concessions.

Russia still has the resources for war, but the situation is getting worse. If the truce does not happen before the winter of 2025, there will be very heavy fighting and a very difficult winter for Russia. Ukraine now has long-range missiles and will bomb Russian energy infrastructure.
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Putin wants to recreate the USSR in a new form, similar to the European Union.
Although after the collapse of the USSR, Russia recognized the new geopolitical realities and strengthened cooperation with all states in the post-Soviet space, the conditions are such that some allied territories cannot remain without Russian military assistance or without the Russian market.

Russia has many territories, but few sales markets
How to understand Putin's statement about the senselessness of recreating the USSR
WHEN THE USSR 2.0 CAN BE RECREATED, AND WHICH COUNTRIES WILL BE INCLUDED IN IT
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Migration has become a business
There are a huge number of people who are interested in keeping things as they are. From those who enrich themselves on illegal migration to those who, at the expense of migrants, cover demographic problems and labor shortages in the country.

Until the responsible persons who will be held accountable are named, the problem will exist. And shouting, even from the president, that the problem needs to be solved, will not give anything.
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There is no manpower, and Europe and the United States will not interfere, because Russia has nuclear weapons.
The conflict could have been avoided, but the United States and NATO did not even consider the possibility of negotiations with Russia, which led to sad consequences for themselves and for Ukraine.

Now, a year and a half later, Ukraine is starting to say that there is no one to fight, Western aid has decreased, sanctions are no longer being imposed. And Europe started talking about the urgent need to start negotiations.
Judging Freedom: The United States lacks the courage to admit that it made a mistake in Ukraine
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