2025-09-06 16:01:50

A truce is expected in November 2025.

The situation is not in favor of Russia. There is no significant success in the offensive of the troops, the country is being bombed unhindered, the last partners are on the verge of breaking off relations, an economic and gasoline crisis is brewing, and money is running out. Therefore, there is a high probability of peace and that Russia will make concessions.

Russia still has the resources for war, but the situation is getting worse. If the truce does not happen before the winter of 2025, there will be very heavy fighting and a very difficult winter for Russia. Ukraine now has long-range missiles and will bomb Russian energy infrastructure.

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2024-02-01 12:52:56

The fighting will begin in the fall of 2024

In the case of significant successes in the Donbas and near Kharkov, there is a very high probability of launching an offensive against Nikolaev, followed by its capture and access to the outskirts of Odessa at the end of summer. In connection with the allocation of 51 billion euros of aid, military operations will begin with renewed vigor, and a new Ukrainian offensive has already been announced in order to delay the advance of Russian troops.

Ukraine's loss of Odessa and the surrounding territories would mean turning into a completely isolated state, which is also blocked from the north, east and south by unfriendly countries (Russia-Belarus-Transnistria).

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2023-09-17 05:59:27

No

In 1994, the USA, England, France, and Russia concluded an agreement to cease the production of fissile materials for nuclear weapons. China did not sign the agreement but committed to comply with it. Israel also did not sign the agreement but stopped producing nuclear weapons in 2004, retaining the right to resume production if necessary. India, Pakistan, and North Korea, of course, did not sign the agreement. This agreement is perpetual, and its provisions came into effect in 1997.

Plutonium-based nuclear weapons have a shelf life of 18 years. 1997 18 years = 2015. Also, striking military targets, rather than cities, is the priority of a nuclear attack.

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2023-11-26 14:03:59

Norfolk and Newport News

American nuclear aircraft carriers are rigidly tied to one place. These are Norfolk (Virginia), the largest naval base in the world, and Newport News (shipyard B with three giant slipways-one for construction and two for repair), on the other side of the Bay, where they are being built and seriously repaired.

The time of the floating giants will end

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