2026-07-13 15:44:51

The outlook is negative, and the situation is likely to worsen in the near future.

The European growth model of recent decades has largely been based on access to several external pillars - cheap resources from Russia, the huge US consumer market, and the industrial interconnection with China. Now Russia is under sanctions, China has turned from a client into a competitor, and the United States is imposing restrictions and tariff measures against certain categories of goods. The loss of 3 key sales markets at once cannot be fixed either with an injection of money or with new technologies.

Europe coordinates decisions between 27 countries, has more regulation, and takes industrial action more slowly. The United States and China are acting faster. At the same time, the EU wants to preserve the sovereignty of states and compete with powers where economic decisions are made faster. Therefore, individual countries are expected to leave the EU. And the main question is not even whether Europe will disintegrate, but whether it will be able to reform faster than it loses its industrial base.

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2025-09-06 16:01:31

A truce is expected in November 2025.

The situation is not in favor of Russia. There is no significant success in the offensive of the troops, the country is being bombed unhindered, the last partners are on the verge of breaking off relations, an economic and gasoline crisis is brewing, and money is running out. Therefore, there is a high probability of peace and that Russia will make concessions.

Russia still has the resources for war, but the situation is getting worse. If the truce does not happen before the winter of 2025, there will be very heavy fighting and a very difficult winter for Russia. Ukraine now has long-range missiles and will bomb Russian energy infrastructure.

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2023-06-07 14:32:46

The future business of delivering goods to other planets

In the near future, the exploration of near space - the moon, Mars - will take place. The planets will be delivered cargo from Earth on rockets. The cheapest delivery is now through Elon Musk's SpaceX.

Since no country other than the United States has been mass-producing missiles, competitors will not appear soon.

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2025-01-22 02:56:02

Quarrel with the United States, trade war, difficult economic situation, shortage of energy resources, rising unemployment

Some European countries have large trade surpluses with the United States. Trump is demanding that Europe buy more American goods to smooth out this surplus. An increase in the number of American goods on the European market means the automatic displacement of European manufacturers, the potential bankruptcy of medium and small enterprises, their consolidation and monopolization by American multinational companies and, ultimately, the subordination of the European economy to the United States, which Europe, of course, will not agree to. Gas transit through Ukraine has been stopped, and Europe has lost almost its last gas source through the pipeline. The EU is purchasing Russian LNG at a record pace, and the United States is pushing its allies to ban it. The EU should increase purchases of American hydrocarbons, if the EU ignores this, it will receive protective duties on its products supplied to America. It will end with a shortage of fuel and another price increase. Trump also intends to increase the military spending of NATO countries to 5% of their GDP.

Trump is putting forward exorbitant demands on Europe, which will significantly affect military-economic cooperation between the United States and Europe in the direction of deterioration and cessation. Because of this, some countries will leave the EU in the future. Europe, in which every country will fight for its own well-being, will return.

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