2026-07-13 15:44:51

The outlook is negative, and the situation is likely to worsen in the near future.

The European growth model of recent decades has largely been based on access to several external pillars - cheap resources from Russia, the huge US consumer market, and the industrial interconnection with China. Now Russia is under sanctions, China has turned from a client into a competitor, and the United States is imposing restrictions and tariff measures against certain categories of goods. The loss of 3 key sales markets at once cannot be fixed either with an injection of money or with new technologies.

Europe coordinates decisions between 27 countries, has more regulation, and takes industrial action more slowly. The United States and China are acting faster. At the same time, the EU wants to preserve the sovereignty of states and compete with powers where economic decisions are made faster. Therefore, individual countries are expected to leave the EU. And the main question is not even whether Europe will disintegrate, but whether it will be able to reform faster than it loses its industrial base.

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2025-09-06 16:01:50

A truce is expected in November 2025.

The situation is not in favor of Russia. There is no significant success in the offensive of the troops, the country is being bombed unhindered, the last partners are on the verge of breaking off relations, an economic and gasoline crisis is brewing, and money is running out. Therefore, there is a high probability of peace and that Russia will make concessions.

Russia still has the resources for war, but the situation is getting worse. If the truce does not happen before the winter of 2025, there will be very heavy fighting and a very difficult winter for Russia. Ukraine now has long-range missiles and will bomb Russian energy infrastructure.

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2025-04-14 11:36:57

No, it will not replace it, but competition for jobs will increase. And there will be a shortage of programmers in the future.

Executives at various IT companies are now publicly declaring that AI will soon replace programmers. Although the CEO of an IT company often understands little about the work of a programmer, for shareholders, the opinion of such people looks authoritative, and they believe him. Laying off programmers without losing profits is nothing more than the wet fantasies of managers and shareholders of companies. If a company cuts its programmers by a factor of five, its competitors will immediately try to overtake it, even if it costs them a couple of years of work without a profit.

What about Google laying off programmers? It lays off expensive American programmers and immediately hires cheap Indian ones. American programmer - 4,000, Indian programmer - 1,500.

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2025-09-06 16:01:31

A truce is expected in November 2025.

The situation is not in favor of Russia. There is no significant success in the offensive of the troops, the country is being bombed unhindered, the last partners are on the verge of breaking off relations, an economic and gasoline crisis is brewing, and money is running out. Therefore, there is a high probability of peace and that Russia will make concessions.

Russia still has the resources for war, but the situation is getting worse. If the truce does not happen before the winter of 2025, there will be very heavy fighting and a very difficult winter for Russia. Ukraine now has long-range missiles and will bomb Russian energy infrastructure.

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