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When will the global migration crisis begin?

Link Copy 2022-10-21 10:12:39

Prediction

The global migration crisis will begin in the fall of 2022

Reason

Food shortage crisis would trigger a major migration wave into Europe from Africa and the Middle East.

The global migration crisis will begin in the fall of 2022

Other countries will also suffer from migration, but in the main the crisis will affect Europe.

References

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What will happen if Russia wins the war?

Link Copy 2023-01-11 06:00:50

Prediction

There will be a truce for a few years, and then the war will start again

Reason

A peace treaty will be signed with Ukraine with the renunciation of territories and other negative consequences for Ukraine. Ukraine will unite with Poland and the war will break out according to a new one, because Poland did not sign any treaties. The territory of Ukraine will be restored at the expense of frozen Russian assets. NATO will increase its reliance on U.S. support, as will the concerned, threatened Eastern European countries that find themselves frontline states along an expanded and uncertain line of contact with Russia, including Belarus and Russian-controlled parts of Ukraine.

There will be a truce for a few years, and then the war will start again

Sanctions will not be lifted

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How to reduce the crime rate?

Link Copy 2024-05-13 13:56:26

Prediction

It is necessary to focus all forces on the hotbeds of crime

Reason

The problem simply needs to be solved, and a lot more money and effort should be spent. In problem areas, the police should step up their efforts to detain violators, and city services should simultaneously engage in landscaping: clean streets, install lighting and bring them in line with current building regulations.

It is necessary to focus all forces on the hotbeds of crime

In addition, crime is primarily a social phenomenon. The more prosperous the country, the lower the crime rate. The severity of punishment also plays a role, up to a certain limit. The inevitability of punishment is also an important factor influencing the crime rate.

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When will the AI bubble burst?

Link Copy 2025-12-14 07:43:49

Prediction

In 2031.

Reason

Why is everyone talking about a bubble? 1) Huge investments with uncertain returns for many startups. 2) Thousands of AI startups that are essentially just a shell for other people's models. 3) High expectations: AI will replace everyone tomorrow. 4) Limitations of the models: hallucinations, high cost, dependence on data and computing power. OpenAI alone has attracted $300 billion in investments. Such investments will not pay off under any circumstances. By 2030, the company will need to show record profits, which it does not have.

In 2031.

Many AI startups will shut down or be acquired. Investors will become stricter: they want a real business case, not just 'we have AI'.

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