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Why are statistics being underestimated?

Link Copy 2022-07-01 13:37:53

Prediction

Underestimation of indicators creates a picture of false well-being

Reason

Statistics have long been turned into a political tool

Underestimation of indicators creates a picture of false well-being

Statistics are not a copy of reality in any country in the world

References

Accuracy 30

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What Happens After Trump's Tariffs Are Imposed?

Link Copy 2025-04-04 15:57:43

Prediction

A global recession is expected. Mass layoffs and cost cuts will begin.

Reason

The GDP of the United States (24%) is almost a quarter of the world GDP. The United States has an impact on the entire world economy. International trade in 50% of cases is conducted in dollars. If the U.S. buys less because of tariffs, it will cause a downturn in the entire global economy in the short term. In the long term, confidence in the U.S. and the dollar will fall, and the focus will shift to China and the yuan as the world's second-largest economy. This whole process will be painful and will be accompanied by massive cost cuts, optimization of business processes, layoffs and closure of enterprises. The United States itself will suffer greatly and will not be able to recover from such a policy, since its factories are distributed around the world and depend on the supply of components and raw materials.

A global recession is expected. Mass layoffs and cost cuts will begin.

From April 3, 2025, 25% duties on car imports will come into effect, and by May 3, 2025, on auto parts manufactured outside the United States. From April 5, 2025, the minimum basic customs duty of 10% will come into force. From April 9, 2025, the rest of the tariffs will come into effect. The minimum base tariff of 10% will be applied to all countries. Most likely, this will all end after Trump's change as president in 2029. On April 8, Trump introduced a 3-month delay for those countries that did not impose retaliatory tariffs.

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When the global price of gas begins to fall?

Link Copy 2022-12-03 22:56:45

Prediction

The situation may improve only in 2024.

Reason

Supplies from Russia are limited due to sanctions. Other exporters will not be able to increase supplies in time.

The situation may improve only in 2024.

We should not expect any improvement in the next year

References

Accuracy 30

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Why are the problems with migrants in Russia not solved even with the intervention of the president?

Link Copy 2024-11-27 15:01:53

Prediction

Migration has become a business

Reason

There are a huge number of people who are interested in keeping things as they are. From those who enrich themselves on illegal migration to those who, at the expense of migrants, cover demographic problems and labor shortages in the country.

Migration has become a business

Until the responsible persons who will be held accountable are named, the problem will exist. And shouting, even from the president, that the problem needs to be solved, will not give anything.

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