What will happen if Russia wins the war?

2023-01-11 06:00:50

There will be a truce for a few years, and then the war will start again

A peace treaty will be signed with Ukraine with the renunciation of territories and other negative consequences for Ukraine. Ukraine will unite with Poland and the war will break out according to a new one, because Poland did not sign any treaties. The territory of Ukraine will be restored at the expense of frozen Russian assets. NATO will increase its reliance on U.S. support, as will the concerned, threatened Eastern European countries that find themselves frontline states along an expanded and uncertain line of contact with Russia, including Belarus and Russian-controlled parts of Ukraine.

Sanctions will not be lifted

POLAND IS PREPARING ITS REFERENDUM IN WESTERN UKRAINE

What if Russia wins?

Putin on the possibility of concluding a peace treaty with Ukraine: our goodwill is known

The Kremlin opposed the restoration of Ukraine at the expense of Russia's gold reserves

Named the amount of restoration of Ukraine with the help of Russia

Accuracy 50

What Happens After Trump's Tariffs Are Imposed?

2025-04-04 15:57:43

A global recession is expected. Mass layoffs and cost cuts will begin.

The GDP of the United States (24%) is almost a quarter of the world GDP. The United States has an impact on the entire world economy. International trade in 50% of cases is conducted in dollars. If the U.S. buys less because of tariffs, it will cause a downturn in the entire global economy in the short term. In the long term, confidence in the U.S. and the dollar will fall, and the focus will shift to China and the yuan as the world's second-largest economy. This whole process will be painful and will be accompanied by massive cost cuts, optimization of business processes, layoffs and closure of enterprises. The United States itself will suffer greatly and will not be able to recover from such a policy, since its factories are distributed around the world and depend on the supply of components and raw materials.

From April 3, 2025, 25% duties on car imports will come into effect, and by May 3, 2025, on auto parts manufactured outside the United States. From April 5, 2025, the minimum basic customs duty of 10% will come into force. From April 9, 2025, the rest of the tariffs will come into effect. The minimum base tariff of 10% will be applied to all countries. Most likely, this will all end after Trump's change as president in 2029. On April 8, Trump introduced a 3-month delay for those countries that did not impose retaliatory tariffs.

Will Iran go to war with Israel over the assassination of Haniyeh?

2024-08-03 17:02:29

No, but in the future he will take revenge.

Iran will not let the assassination of Ismail Haniyeh, the head of the political bureau of the Palestinian Hamas movement, go unanswered, but will try to ensure that the response does not lead to a large-scale war, because it knows that Britain, Europe and the United States will be on the side of the enemy. Iran will definitely respond, because this is their idea - it is impossible not to respond to the challenge of the enemy.

Iran is not doing anything in a hurry, like the Israelis. Israel does not claim responsibility, and Iran has no concrete evidence.

Will taxes be raised in Russia after the elections?

2024-03-13 16:59:20

Yes, a progressive tax will be introduced

Russia is short of money. For 3 months, the budget deficit is equal to the annual one. The main reason for such a budget deficit is too small revenues from the sale of hydrocarbons.

President Vladimir Putin instructed to modernize the tax system and consolidate it in a new form. He talks about it as if the choice has already been made. The tax hike will hit the Russian economy hard, as it will be easier to import than to produce. It would be better to honestly say that the money is needed for the war, and after the war we will return everything to its place.

Putin believes that society will normally accept the change of the tax system

The budget is bursting at the seams, for 2 months the budget deficit is equal to the annual one. Why this will lead to a catastrophe for the population immediately after the elections.