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Who will win the war between Russia and Ukraine?

Link Copy 2022-12-07 04:16:38

Prediction

Russia

Reason

Ukraine cannot defeat Russia with an army five times larger, which also has nuclear weapons.

Russia

Allies will only help with weapons and money. They will not go to war themselves, because nuclear weapons could be used against them.

References

Accuracy 20

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Why is the war in Ukraine not ending?

Link Copy 2025-11-01 03:50:32

Prediction

The most likely scenario for concluding peace is an agreement mediated by third countries, if both sides consider it beneficial, but this option was postponed by the United States, ending negotiations for at least 6 months. The countries' goals are mutually exclusive, and neither side is yet ready to make concessions that the other deems acceptable.

Reason

Possible scenarios for the end of the war 1. Military exhaustion of one or both sides. 2. Political change is a change of government or an external course in one of the countries. 3. An agreement mediated by third countries, if both sides consider it beneficial. 4. Frozen conflict - cessation of active hostilities without final peace. 5. Victory in the war. Russia - if it starts mass mobilization and mass offensives. Ukraine - if the West starts fighting for it. Currently, the West (the United States, the EU, and NATO) supports Ukraine with weapons, intelligence, and finances, but it is not fighting for it.

The most likely scenario for concluding peace is an agreement mediated by third countries, if both sides consider it beneficial, but this option was postponed by the United States, ending negotiations for at least 6 months. The countries' goals are mutually exclusive, and neither side is yet ready to make concessions that the other deems acceptable.

Instead of starting negotiations, Ukraine was again pumped with weapons and money. They probably expect the Russian president to be overthrown.

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Will additional sanctions be imposed against China because of Taiwan?

Link Copy 2022-06-01 14:45:42

Prediction

Yes, the US is ready to use all its sanctions tools against China if Beijing takes aggressive actions against Taiwan.

Reason

In the United States, the question is being discussed that China will in any case, in 10-15 years, go to the separation from the global financial system. Therefore, they are simply trying to be proactive and cause social instability in China

Yes, the US is ready to use all its sanctions tools against China if Beijing takes aggressive actions against Taiwan.

Chinese operation to retake Taiwan was allegedly planned for fall 2022, Newsweek reports

References

Accuracy 40

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What are the causes of modern wars?

Link Copy 2023-11-01 01:54:16

Prediction

Economic interest, resources, territory

Reason

There may be other reasons, but whatever they may be, there is always an economic interest in all wars, even if the parties to the conflict talk about other, more noble reasons.

Economic interest, resources, territory

Throughout history, there have been wars on the territory of different states, but at the moment the development of technology has reached such a level that war leads to the largest human and economic losses in history.

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