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Who will win the war between Russia and Ukraine?

Link Copy 2022-12-07 04:16:38

Prediction

Russia

Reason

Ukraine cannot defeat Russia with an army five times larger, which also has nuclear weapons.

Russia

Allies will only help with weapons and money. They will not go to war themselves, because nuclear weapons could be used against them.

References

Accuracy 20

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The reason why the two Koreas will unite?

Link Copy 2024-10-27 16:10:58

Prediction

Kim Jong-un's daughter will not hold on to power

Reason

The unification of Korea is the political goal declared by the governments of the DPRK and the Republic of Korea. The unification will take place by military means. The war will begin soon after the DPRK's main allies - China and Russia - begin hostilities. The DPRK will have to choose. Now Russia, due to the mistakes of the leadership, is beginning to depend on China.

Kim Jong-un's daughter will not hold on to power

The main burden of unification will fall on South Korea. So far, this association is disadvantageous to the neighbors. Russia will not be happy about the emergence of a very unstable state with nuclear weapons next door. China is also in favor of maintaining the status quo and is willing to systematically invest serious sums of money in North Korea. China's main task is to prevent the unification of Korea, since this will create a number of difficulties and change the balance of power in the East.

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Who will win in the early presidential elections in Kazakhstan?

Link Copy 2022-10-25 10:42:16

Prediction

The current president of Kazakhstan wins with the score of 79.16%. Election turnout will be 81.66%

Reason

There would be no special election if there was no intention to win. Statistically, incumbent presidents have always won. The opposition did not have time to prepare for the elections because the elections were called in a short period of time.

The current president of Kazakhstan wins with the score of 79.16%. Election turnout will be 81.66%

According to the Constitution of the Republic of Kazakhstan, the current president of Kazakhstan cannot be nominated for a second term. Participation in the election of the current president is illegal.

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What to expect from Trump?

Link Copy 2024-11-29 08:40:09

Prediction

Trump will impose his demands and end up quarreling with everyone. He has not yet taken office, but has already promised to raise duties on non-American goods. He is expected to resolve the conflict in Ukraine, reduce spending, and escalate the trade war with China. European interests will be completely ignored.

Reason

If the U.S. imposes tariffs of 60 percent on all imports from China and raises tariffs on imports from other countries, lowers personal and corporate taxes, and deports millions of illegal immigrants, we can expect lower U.S. output, increased inflationary pressures, and increased market volatility. The U.S. economy has a strong impact on the global economy because of its size: the U.S. accounts for more than a quarter of global GDP. As a result, in the next three years, the growth rate of the world economy will decline by 2-3% per year. With global GDP growing at about 3% per year, it can be assumed that the world will stagnate at best and recession at worst.

Trump will impose his demands and end up quarreling with everyone. He has not yet taken office, but has already promised to raise duties on non-American goods. He is expected to resolve the conflict in Ukraine, reduce spending, and escalate the trade war with China. European interests will be completely ignored.

Most likely, after his rule, few people will talk to America. Non-U.S. companies will have to look for other markets because they will be pressured by tariffs. South Korea is already subsidizing its chip companies due to the start of Trump's rule.

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