At current consumption levels, the deficit will start in 2075
The need for coal is growing. The growth of world coal production was influenced by India and China. Also, if the European Union refuses to purchase Russian gas, it will be necessary to look for alternative suppliers and again return to coal.

The Chinese economy is heavily dependent on global coal supplies
Is this the end? How long will the world's coal reserves last?
Accuracy 10
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Russia will have to pay hundreds of billions to compensate for the physical damage caused by the invasion. Military restrictions of the Russian Navy: no Russian Navy in the Black, Azov and Baltic Seas for 50 years. Military restrictions of the Russian army: from all its northern, western and southern borders, Russia must withdraw troops at least 100 km. War crimes: Russia must be punished for its wartime atrocities. Nuclear weapons: Under the new treaty with NATO, Russia must immediately agree to reduce its nuclear weapons to a quantity and quality no greater than that of the United States, and agree to inspections by NATO to ensure this compliance.
The scenario is plausible if Ukraine is supported long enough or fought on the side of Ukraine.

All that stops the West from these scenarios is Russia's possession of nuclear weapons.
What will happen if Ukraine wins the war?
What if Ukraine wins and Putin is removed?
Accuracy 20
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In 2035
In 2035, Kazakhstan will not be able to pay off the national debt with China. China will demand land.

According to the government's analytical report, there can be no problems until 2050. The national debt will amount to 32% of GDP.
Devaluation will not help: how to give Kazakhstan the growing national debt? - Economists
Kazakhstan's national debt will eat a third of the country's revenues in 2023
Accuracy 20
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This is a strategic and economic trend. Investing in AI is about saving, growth, innovation, and HR strategy at the same time.
By 2045, the global IT market will become clearly concentrated, with several leading players and a high market share. It should be noted that the market may shrink by about 1.5‑3 times in terms of the number of active professionals, but at the same time the quality, complexity and value of these specialists will increase.

It is safe from the point of view of control not to go into AI, but it is almost guaranteed to lead to lagging behind and loss of market share, especially if competitors actively use AI. In a highly competitive world where speed and scale are important, not using AI can be worse than the risk of failures in its implementation.
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