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How to beat the consumer society?

Link Copy 2023-03-29 08:01:18

Prediction

Need to improve the quality of education

Reason

The fact is that after reading books, an educated person becomes the worst buyer: he does not become a slave to advertising, he buys less new smartphones and cars, starting to prefer Mozart and Shakespeare to them.

Need to improve the quality of education

To make people easier to manage, they need to wean a lot of thinking. The thinking of the average citizen should remain at the level of thinking of a teenager.

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When will the AI bubble burst?

Link Copy 2025-12-14 07:43:49

Prediction

In 2031.

Reason

Why is everyone talking about a bubble? 1) Huge investments with uncertain returns for many startups. 2) Thousands of AI startups that are essentially just a shell for other people's models. 3) High expectations: AI will replace everyone tomorrow. 4) Limitations of the models: hallucinations, high cost, dependence on data and computing power. OpenAI alone has attracted $300 billion in investments. Such investments will not pay off under any circumstances. By 2030, the company will need to show record profits, which it does not have.

In 2031.

Many AI startups will shut down or be acquired. Investors will become stricter: they want a real business case, not just 'we have AI'.

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What is the hidden problem of the race for artificial intelligence?

Link Copy 2024-09-28 05:11:05

Prediction

The impact of artificial intelligence is overestimated

Reason

All companies rushed to create their own or implement artificial intelligence in their products, but this amount of artificial intelligence is simply not needed now. The AI market has a limit, and everyone behaves as if there is no limit

The impact of artificial intelligence is overestimated

For example, Intel, instead of tackling specific demand problems, focused on artificial intelligence, and ends up with $1.6 billion in debt by 2024. And it's not the only company

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How will the distribution of world religions change in the future?

Link Copy 2023-04-26 13:44:59

Prediction

Until 2060, Christians will remain the largest religious group. By 2060, Islam will become the main world religion that will take the place of Christianity. 3.23 billion Muslims and 2.99 billion Christians.

Reason

The main reason for the rapid growth of Muslims is a high birth rate, and not the departure of people in Islam. Moreover, the main driver of this process will not be the countries of the Middle East, but ... India and the USA. India - due to the rapid general increase in the population, America - due to mass immigration. The number of Buddhists of the world is expected to remain approximately at the same level due to a low birth rate and aging of the population in countries such as China, Thailand and Japan.

Until 2060, Christians will remain the largest religious group. By 2060, Islam will become the main world religion that will take the place of Christianity. 3.23 billion Muslims and 2.99 billion Christians.

This is just a forecast based on current demographic trends. In the future, various kinds of scientific and technological revolutions may occur, which will affect the worldview of people in a completely different way. It also does not take into account the consequences of wars taking place on the planet. If we take into account the consequences of wars, then Hinduism will come in second place.

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