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What will happen if Youtube is banned in Russia?

Link Copy 2022-05-22 09:32:01

Prediction

Most users will switch to Yandex.Zen , RuTube, VK, OK, and analogs. Those who earned money by YouTube will leave Russia. Youtube will lose market share

Reason

Inability to control content and channel blocking

Most users will switch to Yandex.Zen , RuTube, VK, OK, and analogs. Those who earned money by YouTube will leave Russia. Youtube will lose market share

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Will the United States withdraw from NATO?

Link Copy 2025-12-14 09:21:56

Prediction

There is no document where the United States commits to withdraw from NATO by 2027. There are strategies and projects where NATO is criticized and viewed as a burden, but this is not a decision to withdraw. The United States will remain in NATO as long as possible.

Reason

NATO will remain, but the role of the United States will change . The USA will: 1) maintain the nuclear umbrella and political leadership. NATO is turning from an American army in Europe into a coalition where the United States is the coordinator, not the main performer. 2)) Severe pressure on the allies. This is explicitly stated in the strategies. Tools: the requirement of 2% of GDP for defense, and in fact more, linking American aid to contributions, public pressure, including threats of we don't have to protect you. Europe pays and fights, the United States governs and supports. 3️) Shifting the focus to China 2025-2027 The USA will: build up the fleet and aviation in the Indo-Pacific region, reducing non-binding commitments in Europe, Japan, South Korea, Australia, and the Philippines are preparing allies. The United States needs Europe as a stable rear, not as the main theater of war. 4) Ukraine is a test model of the future of NATO. The United States tries not to fight directly . Maximum: money, weapon, intelligence service . We arm our allies, we don't fight ourselves.

There is no document where the United States commits to withdraw from NATO by 2027.
 There are strategies and projects where NATO is criticized and viewed as a burden, but this is not a decision to withdraw. The United States will remain in NATO as long as possible.

The US withdrawal from NATO: destroys the influence of the United States , frees Europe from dependence , hits the dollar and the military-industrial complex. It is much more profitable to stay , reduce costs , and maintain control . The final formula of the US strategy to remain in NATO, but to make it less American and more European. Maintain leverage without bearing the main burden.

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When will the energy crisis happen in Europe?

Link Copy 2023-09-15 00:42:40

Prediction

It will begin in the fall of 2025

Reason

With the loss of Africa, after coups d'etat and the outbreak of war in Africa, Europe will be cut off from African energy resources. After the change of leadership, the United States will have another energy program aimed at providing energy resources first for itself, and then only selling them to Europe. Cooperation between Russia and China. China will need energy resources for its growing economy. These factors will lead to an increase in energy prices worldwide. Demand will grow, but the number of offers will remain the same.

It will begin in the fall of 2025

European countries will be unevenly affected by the energy crisis. The crisis will be accompanied by a slowdown in economic growth

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What will happen to Russia's national debt?

Link Copy 2022-05-25 05:16:33

Prediction

Russia will pay the national debt in rubles

Reason

The United States refused russia to extend the license to service the external debt

Russia will pay the national debt in rubles

If creditors refuse to accept payments in rubles, a technical default will be declared.

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