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What will happen if Youtube is banned in Russia?

Link Copy 2022-05-22 09:32:01

Prediction

Most users will switch to Yandex.Zen , RuTube, VK, OK, and analogs. Those who earned money by YouTube will leave Russia. Youtube will lose market share

Reason

Inability to control content and channel blocking

Most users will switch to Yandex.Zen , RuTube, VK, OK, and analogs. Those who earned money by YouTube will leave Russia. Youtube will lose market share

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What is the forecast for the elections in Russia?

Link Copy 2026-07-19 14:22:09

Prediction

No surprises are expected from the elections, there is no doubt about the victory of United Russia.

Reason

For various reasons, all candidates from various parties — with the exception of United Russia — are denied the right to participate in elections. The parties submit documents, and the Central Election Commission searches for and finds errors in them. In other words, it will simply be impossible to vote for any strong candidate from other parties.

No surprises are expected from the elections, there is no doubt about the victory of United Russia.

The elections are the basis of the legitimacy of the Russian political regime, which is why they have not been canceled or postponed. No one will agree that the elections should be canceled just so that the authorities make a decision without this, without this consent, at least formally, from the citizens. How this agreement is achieved is a separate issue, but the procedure itself must take place.

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Why is there no change for the better in Kazakhstan under the new president?

Link Copy 2023-11-16 09:25:30

Prediction

Nursultan Nazarbayev is gone, but not to the end

Reason

Most appointments are made for authoritarian, clan, and patronage purposes. This means that a certain person is appointed to the post of regional akim or minister, not so much because he is good at what he does and has the right level of professionalism and experience, but because he will definitely do what he is told, what the president ordered him to do. Thus, the ministers became extras who simply supported the main character, the president.

Nursultan Nazarbayev is gone, but not to the end

In simple terms, in order to give additional opportunities to someone (for example, small and medium-sized businesses, which are currently being talked about a lot), you need to take these opportunities away from those who use them incorrectly or incorrectly. And this already smacks of a redistribution of power. That is, in fact, there is a question of reducing the caste of untouchables and the resources controlled by it.

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How to speed up dedollarization?

Link Copy 2023-05-08 07:42:30

Prediction

Trade resources for local currencies, tie prices to gold or rare metals, trade only your own securities on the market, make the currency freely convertible

Reason

If Beijing wants to make the yuan the world's reserve currency, then it will have to first go for financial liberalization. In theory, the dollar can also be replaced by a system that is not based on a specific national currency. In this case, gold or cryptocurrencies can become a universal means of payment.

Trade resources for local currencies, tie prices to gold or rare metals, trade only your own securities on the market, make the currency freely convertible

If investors begin to massively get rid of dollar assets and return the American currency to their homeland, this will provoke a surge in inflation in the United States and a potential debt crisis. The problems of the USA will spread to the financial markets, which are still dependent on the dollar, and will cause a new round of the global economic crisis.

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