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Why is there no change for the better in Kazakhstan under the new president?

Link Copy 2023-11-16 09:25:30

Prediction

Nursultan Nazarbayev is gone, but not to the end

Reason

Most appointments are made for authoritarian, clan, and patronage purposes. This means that a certain person is appointed to the post of regional akim or minister, not so much because he is good at what he does and has the right level of professionalism and experience, but because he will definitely do what he is told, what the president ordered him to do. Thus, the ministers became extras who simply supported the main character, the president.

Nursultan Nazarbayev is gone, but not to the end

In simple terms, in order to give additional opportunities to someone (for example, small and medium-sized businesses, which are currently being talked about a lot), you need to take these opportunities away from those who use them incorrectly or incorrectly. And this already smacks of a redistribution of power. That is, in fact, there is a question of reducing the caste of untouchables and the resources controlled by it.

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What problems will China face due to Trump's tariffs?

Link Copy 2025-05-30 01:13:21

Prediction

In China, there will be an outflow of investments, bankruptcies of small businesses, unemployment, and unrest.

Reason

With his statements, Trump has already caused significant damage to China. Foreign companies will not invest in China due to high tariffs, particularly in the long term. Chinese companies themselves are planning to move their factories to neighboring countries. Small businesses are already facing problems. Warehouses are overflowing with goods, and there is no one to sell them to. Apple and Samsung are closing factories in China, which threatens unemployment.

In China, there will be an outflow of investments, bankruptcies of small businesses, unemployment, and unrest.

Even the court's decision to cancel the tariffs won't help. It will only be a delay. Yes, the tariffs will hit the US, but they will hit China harder.

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What consequences are expected for the European Union after Apple was ordered to pay a fine of 13 billion?

Link Copy 2024-09-27 10:46:23

Prediction

No one will want to open a large business in the EU

Reason

The EU has no advantages over Asian countries. The 50% tax is too high, for example, in Singapore it is 0%. Russia's military conflict with Ukraine also makes it difficult to do business, as sanctions hit the EU itself, raising prices for all energy resources, which directly affects the prices of goods and services.

No one will want to open a large business in the EU

The essence of the claim is that all EU countries must take the same taxes at 50%, and if a country is an EU member, it cannot make tax preferences on its own. Most likely, countries will soon begin to leave the EU, as the United Kingdom did.

References
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What will happen to Ukraine after its independence?

Link Copy 2023-01-30 03:43:02

Prediction

In 2026, Ukraine will be admitted to the European Union and it will become a member of NATO

Reason

Ukraine is already a candidate for membership in the European Union

In 2026, Ukraine will be admitted to the European Union and it will become a member of NATO

Ukraine will strengthen its army and in 2045 will fight with Russia, reclaiming its territories.

References

Accuracy 20

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