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When will a strong earthquake happen in Kazakhstan?

Link Copy 2023-11-21 14:23:03

Prediction

In 2033 in the city of Almaty

Reason

The frequency of earthquakes in Almaty is 100-130 years. The last devastating earthquake was in 1911. There is a spontaneous development of the city with a formal check for earthquake resistance. The entire central part of Almaty is literally located on tectonic faults, some of which may be seismogenerating. Also, a metro is being built in the central part of Almaty, which actually blocks the course of underground water

In 2033 in the city of Almaty

In 2026, 45% of buildings will not be earthquake-resistant. The number of non-earthquake-resistant buildings will increase by 1.5% every 2 years

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Why won't Ukraine win the war?

Link Copy 2023-09-11 13:41:41

Prediction

There is no manpower, and Europe and the United States will not interfere, because Russia has nuclear weapons.

Reason

The conflict could have been avoided, but the United States and NATO did not even consider the possibility of negotiations with Russia, which led to sad consequences for themselves and for Ukraine.

There is no manpower, and Europe and the United States will not interfere, because Russia has nuclear weapons.

Now, a year and a half later, Ukraine is starting to say that there is no one to fight, Western aid has decreased, sanctions are no longer being imposed. And Europe started talking about the urgent need to start negotiations.

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What will be the results of the referendum on the construction of a nuclear power plant in Kazakhstan?

Link Copy 2024-09-27 05:03:54

Prediction

Vote for construction

Reason

The country is in dire need of cheap electricity

Vote for construction

Turnout will be low. 52% will vote for construction

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What happens if we start regulating AI?

Link Copy 2026-01-02 14:45:25

Prediction

The Americans are the leaders in AI, and regulation will only increase the technological gap of other countries.

Reason

Inequality between countries will lead to the fact that regions with strict regulation may lag behind less regulated ones. This could lead to a war of humans against robots, like in science fiction movies. Governments are trying to regulate AI, relying on experts, business and academia, but the balance of power is unequal: corporations have more resources and influence, independent specialists have less voice. As a result, the rules often reflect not the public interest, but the interests of the strongest players.

The Americans are the leaders in AI, and regulation will only increase the technological gap of other countries.

The spread of AI is already regulated by American companies that control all key aspects of AI. Video cards, processors, major data centers, scientific developments, etc. are controlled by the Americans.

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